Leeds United v Leicester City Tips: In-form Bamford to rack up the shots against the Foxes
Both Leeds United and Leicester City have the chance to jump into the top-four with a win at Elland Road on Monday evening.
Leeds were impressive in their 3-0 romping away at Aston Villa last time out, but they will be wary of a Brendan Rodgers side who have won their last four on the road in all competitions, which includes wins at Manchester City and Arsenal. I’ve picked out three football tips I like the look of for the game which can be seen live on Sky Sports Main Event, kicking off at 8pm.
Kalvin Phillips remains sidelined for the hosts which could see Jamie Shackleton start after the midfielder replaced Pascal Struijk early in the first half against Villa. Liam Cooper comes back into the starting line up, however Adam Forshaw and Diego Llorente remain on the treatment table.
Timothy Castagne is the latest name in the Leicester squad to be added to their ever-growing injury list. Wilfred Ndidi, Ricardo Pereira, Daniel Amartey and Caglar Soyuncu are all absentees with Jonny Evans facing a late fitness test ahead of this match.
Both sides are similarly priced with bookmakers for the win this evening with Beilsa’s side at 8/5, an implied probability of 38.5%. Leicester have been given odds of 17/10, an implied probability of 37%, while the draw is available to be backed at 5/2 with most firms.
Patrick Bamford to have 4 or more shots - 1.5pts @ 9/5 Paddy Power / Betfair
James Maddison 1+ shot on target from outside the box - 1.5pts @ 21/10 Paddy Power / Betfair
Vardy & Bamford 1+ shot on target, Klich & Mendy to be carded - 0.25pts @ 40/1
The first of three selections I’m starting the week off with is Leeds United’s Patrick Bamford to have four or more shots during the game. This is priced at 9/5 and available with both Betfair and Paddy Power. First up, this selection has landed in three of Bamford’s last four games for Leeds, with total shot figures in those matches of 4,4,3,9.
The 27-year-old does often need a lot of chances but after his hat-trick against Aston Villa last week he should be brimming with confidence and looking to get a shot away at every opportunity. Leeds’ high tempo should be a real issue for Leicester and just like at Arsenal I think they may decide to sit back a little which could lead to plenty of chances for the Yorkshire side.
With six league goals to his name already, ‘Hat-trick Bamford’ has repaid the faith shown by his manager in keeping him as the lead striker in the Premier League. His nine shots against Villa last week showed that he does not have a ceiling when it comes to shots taken. Sky Bet and Coral both have this selection priced at EVENS (1/1), so I’ll be taking a little of the 9/5 on offer from both Betfair and Paddy Power.
Next up I’m fancying James Maddison to have one or more shots on target from outside the area. Again, this is available with both Betfair and Paddy Power, priced at 21/10. The attacking midfielder had been out with a calf injury this season, and made his first start of the campaign in the Premier League just over a week ago against Arsenal. Maddison took four shots in goal during that match and all four of them came from outside the area.
With his two appearances off the bench in the league and from his game against Arsenal, Maddison has now taken six shots, with 100% of those coming from outside the box. He was on the scoresheet against Manchester City from outside the area after coming on as a sub and with him being on free-kick duty, I’d much rather be behind the 21/10 for him to have a shot on target from outside the area than the 10/11 for just a standard shot on target from anywhere on the field. It could be worth waiting for team news with this selection as this would be Maddison’s third start in a just over a week after coming back from injury.
I’ve also picked out a longshot for the game that I like the look of and at 40/1 I’ve gone for Jamie Vardy and Patrick Bamford both to have a shot on target, with both Mateusz Klich and Nempalys Mendy to be carded.
Starting off this Same Game Multi is Patrick Bamford to have one or more shots on target. This selection has landed in all six of the 27-year-olds' games so far this season and with the form he’s in, it should well and truly oblige again tonight.
Jamie Vardy is the penalty taker for the Foxes and I’m also fancying him to have one or more shots on target in the match. Over the course of last season Vardy averaged 1.2 shots on target per game, and with six to his name already this season he should manage another in Yorkshire tonight.
Moving onto the bookings for the game and the first of two I’ve selected is Mateusz Klich of Leeds United. The central midfielder has been booked twice in six league games so far this campaign and has also committed four more fouls than anyone else in Marcelo Bielsa’s squad.
To bring home this 40/1 play is Leicester City’s Nampalys Mendy to be carded. A constant starter in the absence of Wilfred Ndidi, Mendy has been booked twice this season. No player at Leicester has committed more fouls than the defensive midfielder in the league this term and he’s a player who does not mind breaking up play with a cynical tackle.
Best of luck to those following any of the selections on Monday evening. Let’s hope for an enjoyable game, please gamble responsibly.