Germany vs Italy Prediction, Lineups & Betting Tips: Best bets for second-leg showdown

Germany and Italy meet in Dortmund for the second leg of their Nations League quarter-final showdown.

Germany hold the edge after a hard-fought 2-1 win in Milan; their first away victory over Italy in almost 40 years.

Read on for our top betting tips ahead of this crucial return fixture.

Germany’s landmark win in Milan - their first on Italian soil in 39 years - continued a strong run in this fixture. They've now gone unbeaten in the last seven meetings with Italy, winning five and drawing two, while the Azzurri haven’t tasted victory since 2012.

With that momentum and a first-leg advantage, I’m backing Germany to finish the job and book their place in this summer’s Nations League finals. That said, recent history suggests we can expect goals, with both teams finding the back of the net in eight of the last nine encounters.

Germany’s last two victories over Italy came by scorelines of 5-2 and 2-1 - both in the Nations League - and there’s definite value in backing them to win again with both teams to score at 12/5 this Sunday.

Germany’s Tim Kleindienst is in red-hot form this season, netting 15 goals in 25 Bundesliga appearances for Borussia Mönchengladbach following his summer switch from 1. FC Heidenheim.

The 29-year-old only received his first international call-up in October and the following month grabbed his first goals for Germany in a commanding 7-0 win over Bosnia and Herzegovina, before scoring a vital equaliser against Italy in the first leg of this quarter-final tie, which took his tally to three goals in five international appearances.

Brimming with confidence with seven goals in his last 10 games for club and country, Kleindienst is an attractive price at 9/5 to score again on Sunday.

Germany vs Italy Lineups

The official starting lineups for Germany vs Italy will be displayed in the graphic below before kick-off.