Fulham vs. Huddersfield Predictions: We have two stats based bets for Saturday morning

Fulham have a six point lead at the top of the Championship table and look well on course to return to the top flight next season. The team are 12 points clear of QPR, who currently occupy 3rd place, and should hold on to an automatic promotion spot, barring a complete capitulation in terms of results. Marco Silva’s men have been free scoring to say the least, and they have scored a whopping 78 goals in their 30 league games so far. They have lost just two league games in their last 20, winning 13 games in that time.

Huddersfield have put an impressive run of their own together in recent months, the team are unbeaten since they succumbed to a 2-1 home defeat against Middlesbrough at the end of November. This good run has seen them climb to 5th place in the table, but the chasing pack is hot on their heels for the playoff spots, so they will be keen to try and collect all the points on Saturday, despite the stern test in front of them.

Fulham have scored in the first half of three of their four home games since a series of cancellations due to covid disrupted their Christmas schedule. They’ve scored 16 goals in those four home matches and 10 of those goals came in the first half of the match. Fulham are also chasing the record for the most goals scored by a team in an English Football League season. This record was set by Peterborough in 1961, when the team scored a staggering 134 goals in 46 games. To beat this record, Fulham would be required to score an average of 3.5 goals per game for their remaining fixtures. This could prove to be a step too far for Silva’s men, but they will be confident of surpassing the Championship record of 98, set by Bournemouth in 2014/15. Mitrovic is also chasing the record for the most goals scored by an individual player in the season; the record is 42 and it was set by Guy Whittingham in the 1992/93 season.

In their last five matches where they have been priced similarly for the win, Fulham are averaging 3.4 goals per game. In the last five matches where Huddersfield have been similarly priced for the win, their opponents average 3.6 goals per game. Both of these statistics point towards the significant goal threat needed from the home side for this bet to land, and Fulham will be keen not to take their foot off the gas with Bournemouth lurking behind them in the battle for top spot.

This bet landed in the reverse fixture this season, when there were six goals, four cards and 12 corners. The cards aspect of this bet has landed in the last four meetings between the sides. 

Both of these teams last 10 matches average over nine corners per game and the cards averages only fall marginally short, with Fulham’s last 10 averaging 33 and Huddersfield’s averaging 3.5. All things considered, I’m happy to take this bet as a bit of a long shot.

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