Odds shown as:

England’s potential route to the final of Euro 2021 explained

Who's up next for the Three Lions?
Who's up next for the Three Lions?

England have now secured qualification to the last 16 of Euro 2021 as winners of Group D. The Three Lions made it four 1-0 wins from five on Tuesday evening, beating the Czech Republic at Wembley thanks to a Raheem Sterling header early on. But who will they play in the run up to the final? We take a look at the potential run-in below.

Jediv2

Last 16

Gareth Southgate’s men will now face the runner-up of Group F in the first knockout stage next Tuesday - most likely to be one of Germany, Portugal or France barring a hugely unlikely late surge from bottom side Hungary in this evening’s final group stage encounter. 

Germany are fancied to finish second in Group F and have therefore been given a 41.7% implied chance of being England’s opponents next week based on the World Football Elo Ratings - a system which takes various football-specific variables into account, like the margin of victory, importance of a match, and home field advantage. 

France, currently top of Group F, play Portugal this evening with a win securing their position as group winners. Should they lose that clash, however, and Germany beat Hungary as expected, Les Bleus will finish as runners-up and Joachim Low’s side will win the group. This result would see France play England in the last 16 and has been given a 27% chance of happening according to the Elo Ratings. 

Portugal’s 22.8% chance of facing England in the next round would come to fruition if they draw with France in this evening’s tie, and Germany lose to Hungary in theirs.

Quarter-final 

So, assuming England beat whoever they face in the last 16 (optimistic, I know), the Elo Ratings suggest Sweden (30.6%) will be the Three Lions’ opposition in the quarter-final, in what would be a repeat of the 2018 World Cup. This could all change drastically given Group E still also have one game remaining and the goalposts could shift depending on this evening’s results. 

As it stands, though, with Sweden qualifying as group winners, they would face one of the third-placed qualifying teams in the last 16, and should they win that clash would then face England in the QF. 

Spain (27.2%) could easily change all this with a victory against Slovakia this afternoon. Should Luis Enrique’s men win that do-or-die clash, and Sweden fall to a defeat against Poland, the Euro 2008 and 2012 champions would become England’s likely opponents in the quarter-finals, providing they also win their last 16 tie against whichever third-placed team they are pitted against.

Today's football tips

Semi-final

Now it’s really starting to heat up. If, in this hypothetical (and incredibly hopeful) situation, England make it through to the semi-finals, their most likely opponents would be the Netherlands (36%), who would have beaten Czech Republic or the team who finish third in Group F - likely to be Portugal - in the last 16 before knocking out either Wales or Denmark in the quarter-finals. 

Denmark are given a 26.4% chance of playing England in the semis, but they face a stern test against Wales (17.2%) in the last 16 this weekend and an even bigger one against the Netherlands in the quarters should they progress past Rob Page’s side, especially given how strong the Dutch have looked at the tournament so far. 

Final

Wow, we made it. A series of 1-0 wins has seen England through to the final of a major tournament for the first time since 1966 without a single goal conceded. Dreamland. Okay, so it’s a stretch, but let’s say we do make it to the final hurdle; who would we play? 

The Elo Ratings make Belgium the most likely opponent for Southgate’s hearty Lions at 31.1%. Roberto Martinez’s side play the best performing third-placed team from either one of Group’s A, E or F (most likely one of Poland, Slovakia, Spain or Portugal) this Sunday before going up against the victor of Italy v Austria in the quarter-finals. 

Should that prove to be Italy as many predict, we will have a corker on our hands in the form of Belgium v Italy in the quarters. The winner of that tie will progress through to the semi-finals where they will most likely play France, who would have beaten either Switzerland, Finland or Ukraine in the last 16 before seeing off either Croatia, or the runner-up from Group E - which is yet to be decided but definitely one of Spain, Sweden, Poland or Slovakia - in the quarters. 

Somewhat surprisingly, the ratings give both Belgium (31.1%) and Italy (21.2%) a better chance of progressing against France (18.8%) in the semi-final despite the fact neither have appeared at a major tournament final in the last eight years. This is most probably due to the fact they have not 100% qualified as of yet with still a game to play in the group stage this evening.   

So, it’s as simple as that. We’ve now won the European Championships. Get in.

England Euro Betting
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus
#AD Minimum deposit of £10 using deposit code 30F - A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 placed on any sports market - Minimum odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager bonus amount x40 within 14 days • Wagering req. vary by game • Withdrawal restrictions and Full T&C’s apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 Get £40 in Free Bets
#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. New customers using promo code M40 only. 1x per customer. Min £/€10 bet. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Free bets of 2 x £/€15 issued after first qualifying bet settles. Max £/€10 Bonus. 35x wagering requirement. Max redeemable bonus: £25. Casino bonus expires after 72 hours. UK & Eire only. Additional T&Cs, including free-bet, game, location, payment method and stake contributions apply. See full terms below 18+ begambleaware.org
Welcome Offer
#AD Open Account Offer. Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code ‘100BET365’ can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. 18+ begambleaware.org.
£20 Risk Free First Bet Money Back In Cash
#Ad. New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £/£20. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD. New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from acceptance (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. 18+
Bet £10 Get £30 + 60 Free Spins
#AD New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 7 days. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 60 Free Spins on Justice League Comics. 7-day expiry.  Full T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
Up To £50 Welcome Bonus
#AD New Customers only; Min. deposit £15; Bonus amount 50% of deposit up to £50; Wager deposit and bonus 8x within 60 days; 4/5 Min. single odds or 2/5 min. acca selection odds; Max. stake contribution equal to the initial bonus; Certain bet types and payment methods excluded; See full terms; Terms apply; 18+
Bet £5 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min £5 bet on the SBK. Rewards valid for 7 days. Free bets must be placed at min odds of 1.5. Exchange free bet limited to certain markets. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 Get £40 In Bonuses
#AD 18+ new customers only. Deposit, opt-in and place a £10 qualifying bet at odds of 2.00 or greater within 7 days of opening a new account; excludes cashed out bets. Receive 3x £10 Sports Free Bets, valid on set events only at odds 2.00 or greater. Plus, a £10 Game Show Bonus, selected games, wager 40x to withdraw a max of £250. Bonuses expire in 7 days. T&Cs Apply, see below. Please Gamble Responsibly. 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply
Bet Slip
Log In
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
Click on any of the odds selections on Betting Odds website to add them to the betslip.
Betting Odds is an officially endorsed Paddy Power betting partner. All bets are placed securely via our API link-up with Paddy Power and no data or transactional information is sahred with or accessible by Betting Odds. Bets are accepted in accordance with the operator's Rules and Terms and Conditions.
Open
Settled
Bet Placed
Retain Selections
Clear Slip
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
| Join Now
Balance: £0.00
Refresh
Log Out
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Go to Betfair website Remove All
Singles
Click a price to add a selection
Multiples
To view multiples
Multiple options are restricted for the highlighted selections
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Accept Changes
Total Stake:
£ 0.00

Estimated Returns:
£ 0.00
£ Place Bet

Bet £5 Get £20 In Free Bets

#AD Min £5 bet on the SBK. Rewards valid for 7 days. Free bets must be placed at min odds of 1.5. Exchange free bet limited to certain markets. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
PPB Counterparty Services Limited, having its registered address at Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA, is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority under Licence Number MGA/CRP/131/2006 (issued on 01 August 2018).
For customers in the UK, PPB Counterparty Services Limited is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission.
Betting Odds is an officially endorsed Paddy Power betting partner. All bets are placed securely via our API link-up with Paddy Power and no data or transactional information is sahred with or accessible by Betting Odds. Bets are accepted in accordance with the operator's Rules and Terms and Conditions.
Open
Settled
Bet Placed
Retain Selections
Clear Slip
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
| Join Now
Balance: £0.00
Refresh
Log Out
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Go to Paddypower website Remove All
Singles
Click a price to add a selection
Multiples
To view multiples
Multiple options are restricted for the highlighted selections
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Accept Changes
Total Stake:
£ 0.00

Estimated Returns:
£ 0.00
£ Place Bet

£20 Risk Free First Bet Money Back In Cash

#Ad. New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £/£20. T&Cs apply.
PPB Counterparty Services Limited, having its registered address at Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA, is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority under Licence Number MGA/CRP/131/2006 (issued on 01 August 2018).
For customers in the UK, PPB Counterparty Services Limited is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission.
Betting Odds is an officially endorsed Paddy Power betting partner. All bets are placed securely via our API link-up with Paddy Power and no data or transactional information is sahred with or accessible by Betting Odds. Bets are accepted in accordance with the operator's Rules and Terms and Conditions.
Open
Settled
Deposit
Quick Deposit
Deposit
CV2
Deposit Funds
Change Payment Method
Bet Placed
Retain Selections
Clear Slip
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
| Join Now
Balance: £0.00
Refresh
Log Out
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Go to Bet365 website Remove All
Singles
Click a price to add a selection
Multiples
To view multiples
Multiple options are restricted for the highlighted selections
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Accept Changes
Total Stake:
£ 0.00

Estimated Returns:
£ 0.00
£ Place Bet

Up To £100 In Bet Credits

#AD Open Account Offer. Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code ‘100BET365’ can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. 18+ begambleaware.org.
PPB Counterparty Services Limited, having its registered address at Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA, is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority under Licence Number MGA/CRP/131/2006 (issued on 01 August 2018).
For customers in the UK, PPB Counterparty Services Limited is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission.
Betting Odds is an officially endorsed Paddy Power betting partner. All bets are placed securely via our API link-up with Paddy Power and no data or transactional information is sahred with or accessible by Betting Odds. Bets are accepted in accordance with the operator's Rules and Terms and Conditions.
Open
Settled
Bet Placed
Retain Selections
Clear Slip
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
Balance: £0.00
Refresh
Log Out
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Go to 888sport website Remove All
Singles
Click a price to add a selection
Multiples
To view multiples
Multiple options are restricted for the highlighted selections
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Accept Changes
Total Stake:
£ 0.00

Estimated Returns:
£ 0.00
£ Place Bet

Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus

#AD Minimum deposit of £10 using deposit code 30F - A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 placed on any sports market - Minimum odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager bonus amount x40 within 14 days • Wagering req. vary by game • Withdrawal restrictions and Full T&C’s apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
PPB Counterparty Services Limited, having its registered address at Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA, is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority under Licence Number MGA/CRP/131/2006 (issued on 01 August 2018).
For customers in the UK, PPB Counterparty Services Limited is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission.
Betting Odds is an officially endorsed Paddy Power betting partner. All bets are placed securely via our API link-up with Paddy Power and no data or transactional information is sahred with or accessible by Betting Odds. Bets are accepted in accordance with the operator's Rules and Terms and Conditions.
Open
Settled
Bet Placed
Retain Selections
Clear Slip
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
Balance: £0.00
Refresh
Log Out
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Go to Williamhill website Remove All
Singles
Click a price to add a selection
Multiples
To view multiples
Multiple options are restricted for the highlighted selections
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Accept Changes
Total Stake:
£ 0.00

Estimated Returns:
£ 0.00
£ Place Bet

Bet £10 Get £40 in Free Bets

#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. New customers using promo code M40 only. 1x per customer. Min £/€10 bet. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Free bets of 2 x £/€15 issued after first qualifying bet settles. Max £/€10 Bonus. 35x wagering requirement. Max redeemable bonus: £25. Casino bonus expires after 72 hours. UK & Eire only. Additional T&Cs, including free-bet, game, location, payment method and stake contributions apply. See full terms below 18+ begambleaware.org
PPB Counterparty Services Limited, having its registered address at Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA, is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority under Licence Number MGA/CRP/131/2006 (issued on 01 August 2018).
For customers in the UK, PPB Counterparty Services Limited is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission.
Betting Odds is an officially endorsed Paddy Power betting partner. All bets are placed securely via our API link-up with Paddy Power and no data or transactional information is sahred with or accessible by Betting Odds. Bets are accepted in accordance with the operator's Rules and Terms and Conditions.
Open
Settled
Bet Placed
Retain Selections
Clear Slip
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
Balance: £0.00
Refresh
Log Out
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Go to Betfred website Remove All
Singles
Click a price to add a selection
Multiples
To view multiples
Multiple options are restricted for the highlighted selections
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Accept Changes
Total Stake:
£ 0.00

Estimated Returns:
£ 0.00
£ Place Bet

Bet £10 Get £30 + 60 Free Spins

#AD New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 7 days. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 60 Free Spins on Justice League Comics. 7-day expiry.  Full T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
PPB Counterparty Services Limited, having its registered address at Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA, is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority under Licence Number MGA/CRP/131/2006 (issued on 01 August 2018).
For customers in the UK, PPB Counterparty Services Limited is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission.
Betting Odds is an officially endorsed Paddy Power betting partner. All bets are placed securely via our API link-up with Paddy Power and no data or transactional information is sahred with or accessible by Betting Odds. Bets are accepted in accordance with the operator's Rules and Terms and Conditions.
Open
Settled
Bet Placed
Retain Selections
Clear Slip
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
Balance: £0.00
Refresh
Log Out
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Go to Betvictor website Remove All
Singles
Click a price to add a selection
Multiples
To view multiples
Multiple options are restricted for the highlighted selections
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Accept Changes
Total Stake:
£ 0.00

Estimated Returns:
£ 0.00
£ Place Bet

Bet £10 Get £40 In Bonuses

#AD 18+ new customers only. Deposit, opt-in and place a £10 qualifying bet at odds of 2.00 or greater within 7 days of opening a new account; excludes cashed out bets. Receive 3x £10 Sports Free Bets, valid on set events only at odds 2.00 or greater. Plus, a £10 Game Show Bonus, selected games, wager 40x to withdraw a max of £250. Bonuses expire in 7 days. T&Cs Apply, see below. Please Gamble Responsibly. 18+ begambleaware.org
PPB Counterparty Services Limited, having its registered address at Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA, is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority under Licence Number MGA/CRP/131/2006 (issued on 01 August 2018).
For customers in the UK, PPB Counterparty Services Limited is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission.