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Darts Betting Tips: A 9/1 treble for Day 12 at Ally Pally

Michael Smith features in Day 12's treble
Michael Smith features in Day 12's treble

As the PDC World Darts Championship third round reaches its conclusion and the fourth round commences, @tomsportsjourno is on-hand to provide the lowdown ahead of the action. 

As we move into the latter stages of the World Darts Championship, there are a series of interesting ties to tuck into.

PDC World Championship Day 12 Tips

Darts odds
Luke Humphries to win
1/1
Odds correct as of 2021-12-28 20:22 Odds subject to change.

In an interesting battle on Wednesday afternoon, ‘Chizzy’ Dave Chisnall takes on the exciting, former world youth champ and UK Open finalist, Luke Humphries. The Newbury-based thrower enjoyed a run to the quarter-finals on his Ally Pally debut and he’ll be looking to repeat that feat if not surpass it as he faces a tricky customer in Dave Chisnall. 

Humphries has enjoyed arguably his best year as a PDC professional in 2021, reaching the final of the UK Open back in March and several great performances on-tour. As for Chisnall, he’s gone under the radar slightly, but still possesses that natural ability and is still regarded as one of the big-hitters when it comes to piling in maximums. 

Comparatively, based on their performances at Ally Pally, this year, Chisnall averaged 96 to Humphries’ 93, with both players winning their respective ties in straight sets. Accuracy on the outer ring proved to be problematic for both players, missing a total of 32 darts at double between them, with Chisnall missing 17 of those 32 attempts. 

The bookmakers are finding it hard to split the pair in terms of determining who will emerge victorious, but I really fancy Humphries to just edge his way to victory, having reached a major final already in 2021 and given Chisnall’s ‘mixed’ form in previous world championship campaign’s, I’m siding with a Luke Humphries win, available at evens.

Betting Previews
Over 14.5 180’s (Aspinall vs Rydz)
1/1
Odds correct as of 2021-12-28 20:24 Odds subject to change.

In the final third round tie at Alexandra Palace, two-time semi-finalist at Ally Pally, Nathan Aspinall takes on the north-east young gun, Callan Rydz. 

Despite Aspinall’s ranking, his credentials and his impressive form at the World Darts Championship, I wouldn’t be surprised if Rydz went on to win this one. The Bedlington-based thrower has enjoyed a fantastic year on the PDC tour, picking up two senior ranking titles, some notable performances on the televised stage and his performances at Ally Pally so far, this year. 

Rydz produced one of the performances of the event, so far, seeing off Brendan Dolan 3-0, despite the Irishman averaging 100, with Rydz piling in a 102.73 average, with 9/14 checkout success. 

In that red-hot form, Rydz will take some beating. But, let’s not forget, when he’s at his peak, Nathan Aspinall can be unplayable at times. But, given his injury woes, suffering from an elbow injury, can Aspinall produce the blistering level of play that we’ve seen him produce at the Palace, previously?

‘The Asp’ wasn’t quite at the races in his opening match, just edging out Joe Murnan in a tense affair, but really got into his stride from 2-1 behind to secure his place in round three. Despite not being at the top of his game, Aspinall still averaged 93, and that’s with missing 23 darts at a double, which signifies just how powerful his scoring power can be. 

I think this tie has sets in it, but given the scoring power and more particularly, their maximum-hitting, I’m expecting a barrage of 180’s from the pair. Aspinall fired in eight maximums in five sets, whereas Rydz produced four in his straight sets win over Dolan. But, the pace that both players like to play at, should throw up opportunity for more maximums and I expect the pair to throw the kitchen sink at one another, metaphorically. 

For over 14.5 180’s to be hit, is available at evens.

Michael Smith to win
6/4
Odds correct as of 2021-12-28 20:25 Odds subject to change.

In arguably one of the ties of the fourth round, and probably the two biggest performers at the world championship, so far, sees Jonny Clayton, a four-time major winner, this year taking on former Premier League and World Championship finalist, Michael Smith. 

Smith backed up his explosive straight sets win over Ron Meulenkamp, averaging 106 with another solid display, seeing off Irishman, William O’Connor 4-2, producing ten maximums and a 97.42 average, with 40% accuracy on the outer ring and as I alluded to in my event preview, I fancy him for the title. 

But, as aforementioned, Clayton has picked up four televised major titles in 2021 and is the player to beat, this year. The Welshman showed real class in his opening round win over Keane Barry, producing five ton-plus checkouts in that win over the Irishman and Clayton backed up that win with a 4-0 rout of Germany’s Gabriel Clemens, averaging a staggeringly-impressive 102.56 average with 37.5% accuracy on the outer ring. 

It’s set to be a high-quality, dramatic and emotional encounter, with both players having the utmost respect for one and we’re all expecting one hell of a battle. But which player will cement their place in the quarter-finals? 

I’m sticking with my guns, here and I think that Michael Smith will hold his nerve and get the job done. His scoring power is relentlessly-good and with such accuracy on the outer ring, can Clayton keep up with Smith at his rampant best? I think, yes he will to a certain extent, but Smith just gets over the line, showing his quality and maturity, which he’s maybe lacked in recent years. A Michael Smith win is available at 6/4.

Luke Humphries to win, over 14.5 180's in Aspinall vs Rydz and Michael Smith to win
9/1
Odds correct as of 2021-12-28 20:27 Odds subject to change.

Michael Smith
WIN PROB: 22%
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Peter Wright
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Jonny Clayton
WIN PROB: 4%
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Luke Humphries
WIN PROB: 5%
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WIN PROB: 2%
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Nathan Aspinall
WIN PROB: 2%
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Dave Chisnall
WIN PROB: 2%
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Damon Heta
WIN PROB: 1%
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WIN PROB: 1%
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WIN PROB: 1%
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WIN PROB: 1%
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Callan Rydz
WIN PROB: 1%
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WIN PROB: 1%
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WIN PROB: 0%
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Ian White
WIN PROB: 0%
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Mervyn King
WIN PROB: 0%
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Each Way Terms
Odds correct as of 2023-01-26 16:03 Odds subject to change.
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