Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama Prediction and Betting Tips: Back Pablo Vegetti in the Shots on Target Market
Posted: 14:42 Wednesday 22nd November 2023
We have a six-pointer in the Brazilian top-flight on Wednesday evening as Cruzeiro take on Vasco da Gama in the city of Belo Horizonte. Read below about our best bets for the game which include a selection from the shots on target market with bet365.
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Heading into Wednesday’s match both squads currently share an even playing field with 40 points each. However, the looming threat of slipping into the bottom four with just a few games remaining is very apparent, adding to the significance of this meeting.
Cruzeiro are teetering just two points above the relegation zone. The weight of this precarious position intensifies the pressure on Paulo Autuori and his squad, despite picking up a win in their most recent outing.
In the Brasileiro standings, the visitors mirror their counterparts with an identical points tally of 40 points occupying 15th and 16th in the table. With a mere two-point buffer separating them from the relegation zone, there is no margin for error, however despite the tight situation, the visitors enter the contest riding a wave of strong form off the back of three straight wins.
Cruzeiro vs Vasco de Gama Tips
Pablo Vegetti Over 1.5 Shots on Target
Vasco de Gama’s three consecutive victories have lifted them above Wednesday’s opponents in the Brazilian Serie A table and two players who have been pivotal in those successes are Dimitri Payet and Pablo Vegetti.
It’s the latter of who we are focusing our attention on for our main bet of the evening as we’ve decided to take a punt on him registering Over 1.5 Shots on target in the match, priced at 5/4 with bet365.
Since making the switch from Belgrano in Argentina, where he scored 13 goals in 27 appearances in 2023, he has netted a further nine in just 16 matches for Vasco.
When it comes to shots, he is averaging a whopping 3.8 per game, while his six most recent shots on target totals read: 2,2,2,2,0,2. With this bet landing in five of his last six games, we like the look of a repeat here and are surprised to see odds of 5/4 available.
Cruzeiro Win to Nil
Along with backing Vegetti to record a couple of shots on target, we are also plumping for Cruzeiro to win the game to nil. At the time of writing Sky Bet are the best priced bookmaker on this selection, with odds of 5/2 implying a 27% chance of success.
A large proportion of our reasoning behind this one is due to Cruzeiro’s defensive record this season. Despite being 16th in the league standings, they have the second best defence in the division, having shipped only 28 goals in just 33 matches!
Vasco have vastly improved in recent weeks, but we think their run comes to an end here on Wednesday. There have been Under 2.5 goals in eight of Cruzeiro’s last 10 matches and we envisage this to be another tight, low scoring affair, with the hosts coming out the narrow winners.
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