Cross Game Multi Tips: Back Kane to hit the target this Sunday
Sundays early FA Cup tie is tough from a betting perspective. Chelsea should win this comfortably as they’ve been incredibly impressive under Tuchel so far, but he rotates so much that it’s hard to have too much faith in his selections and this is Sheffield United's biggest game of the season now and I think they will really go for it. However, after being thumped last time out and managing just a single shot against Leicester, then even if they have the desire that may not be enough to make a game of this given the lack of quality Chelsea possess.
I think the one safe selection for Tuchel will be Mason Mount, after missing the Champions League tie through suspension it would be likely he gets the full 90 here and he did manage to score against them just last month. The England man is 7/2 for 2 shots on target and 14/1 for 2 shots on target from outside the box and I'll be having a small bet on each; he’s been playing as a number 10 of late and with Chelsea likely to give Giroud a rare start he could be the perfect foil for Mount here.
Sunday’s London derby looks to be game of the day. Arsenal will still be buoyant after the NLD win, despite only scraping through in the Europa League they will still see that competition as their number 1 target. West Ham will be looking to bounce back from an underwhelming performance against Manchester United last weekend but they do have Lingard back available, he’s been key to their success in recent months, scoring 4 goals in his 6 appearances. The England international is averaging 3.17 shots per game and there’s no West Ham or Arsenal player coming close to that level so I’m surprised to see 11 players with shorter shot prices than him currently.
Lingard is 13/5 for 3 shots and I’ll happily take that, it’s landed in 4 of his 6 matches including against Manchester City which shows he’s been able to create shooting chances against sides who dominate possession and that should be the same here with West Ham looking to use their pace on the counter.
Sunday night's final match hinges on the fitness of one player, Jack Grealish. If he is fully fit and able to start then the 2/1 available on a Villa win will look very big especially given the demoralising defeat for Spurs midweek, but when Grealish doesn’t play Villa simply aren’t the same team and you wouldn’t fancy their chances against a “big 6 side”.
I’m banking on Mourinho demanding his players impress this weekend and with no Son and Lamela then even more pressure will be on Harry Kane to be the man to produce. He has a great record against Villa with 5 goals in his last 3 appearances against them and a remarkable 8 shots in their last meeting. I’m backing him to have 2+ shots on target here at 11/10, it’s landed in 5 of his last 6 starts, only failing to land against Arsenal where he did still manage 3 shots.
Aston Villa concede more shots and shots on target than any top half side, and last season they conceded more shots than any side in the league so it’s clear that defensive organisation is Dean Smith's weakness and Kane should get ample opportunities to test Martinez in the Villa goal.