Cross Game Multi Tips: Traore to find the target against Clarets
Wolves come into this game as strong favourites and I think the bookies are certainly underestimating Burnley, with Wolves having nothing to play for and Burnley needing one more win still then those dynamics have to be factored in. Wolves are also missing key players through injury and illness so the 3/1 available on a Burnley win is tempting.
In the shots market it is actually a Wolves player who catches my eye, now that Neto is injured Traore becomes their senior attacking figure and I feel he will relish that responsibility. Over the last month or so the Spaniard has evolved into a more all round attacking threat, he used to just hold the right touch line beat his man and get a cross in, these days he drifts between both flanks and is more at home cutting in and getting shots away. Traore has had a shot on target in 3 of his last 4 matches and he managed 3 off target shots in the other game; he’s 6/4 for 1 shot on target and 9/1 for two, I'll happily take both of those prices.
Even though this game means little to either side from a points perspective it will be seen as a huge game for the supporters, I fully expect Leeds to turn up bang at it as they seem to in every game against big sides, even if they don’t get a result they will almost certainly give United a good game. So far this season against the “big 6” they’ve averaged 4.2 shots on target per game and 6 corners per game, so the fact we can get 7/4 on them for 4 shots on target and 5 or more corners is a price I’m happy to take.
I’m also going to take a smaller punt at a bigger price on 6+ shots on target and 7 or more corners at 15/1, it’s a bigger price than I expected and if Leeds do go 1-0 down I expect them to pin United in to their own half where they could rack up plenty of shots and corners. It’s something Man United are normally happy to do too as it allows them to use their pace on the counter as we witnessed when these two met earlier this season.
You’d hope this one would be a lively derby match but Villa have gone completely off the boil since Grealish got injured and even though West Brom had found some form that dismal performance against Leicester last time out will surely have dented their confidence.
I’m sticking to a bet I tipped up unsuccessfully last time and that Is McGinn for shots, he’s been playing slightly further forward the lasts few weeks, managed 3 shots against Fulham and scored vs City after 20 seconds so I think the 7/5 on him having 2 shots here is very generous and is perhaps my favourite bet this weekend.
I’m also going to be backing him for 3 shots at 9/2 as well, no team concede more shots than West Brom this season and that bodes well for the Scot. I’m going to place a small longshot on Pereira and McGinn for 2 shots on target each at 75/1, too, just in case it is a high energy end to end derby those two could be the key to each side playing well.