Croatia vs. Wales Betting Tips: Ethan Ampadu overpriced in the fouls market

Wales travel to Croatia as the two teams face off in a Euro 2024 qualifier on Saturday evening, with both sides looking to kick-start the campaign with three points. We’ve called upon our man Anthony Eadson to snaffle out some value in the betting markets and provide us with two tips for the game.

The Checkered Ones head into this game having only suffered one defeat in their last 13 matches in all competitions. After a superb third place finish at the World Cup in Qatar, Croatia will be expected to qualify comfortably for the Euros, although they will be well aware that players such as Luka Modric and Ivan Perisic are coming towards the end of their international careers.

There is no denying this is a tough fixture for Wales who begin life without Gareth Bale after his retirement. Turkey, Armenia and Latvia are the other sides who Wales will face in this qualification campaign as Rob Page looks to guide his side to another major tournament.

The first selection I’m siding with on Saturday evening is from the increasingly popular player fouls market, where I’m backing Ethan Ampadu to give away 2+ fouls. This is available with Paddy Power at 6/4 or other betting sites such as the Betfair Sportsbook at the same price.

Last season in Serie A, the midfielder collected 11 yellows and two red cards in just 29 appearances for Venezia and already has another five cautions this campaign.

When it comes to fouls, this selection of 2+ has landed in 15 of Ampadu’s 29 appearances in all competitions this season, giving appeal to the 6/4 on show. Furthermore, when looking at Ampadu’s foul totals in Internationals, we can see that this bet has landed in five of his last six with foul totals of 2,5,2,1,2,2. 

I’ve also taken a punt on Welsh forward Kieffer Moore to pick up a card in the game, which is currently best priced at 9/2 with either 10bet, LiveScore Bet or Sky Bet. 

The Bournemouth forward may not have been brandished a single card in his 12 top-flight starts this season, but his disciplinary record for his National side makes for much more colorful reading. 

Since making his debut in 2019, Moore has made 31 appearances for Wales and has been shown a yellow card in 11 of those. Again, that gives plenty of appeal to the price of 9/2 considering his strike-rate, and taking a deeper dive we can see five of those yellow cards have arrived in his last 11 internationals.