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Chelsea vs. Borussia Dortmund Betting Tips: Blues bid to salvage their season

Betting preview and tips for Chelsea vs Borussia in the Champions League on Tuesday
Betting preview and tips for Chelsea vs Borussia in the Champions League on Tuesday

Chelsea bid to salvage their season as they look to overturn a 1-0 first-leg defeat to Borussia Dortmund and book their place in the Champions League quarter-finals.

The teams clash at Stamford Bridge on Tuesday night in the last-16 second-leg, live on BT Sport 1 at 8pm.

Jimmy The Punt has assessed the markets and picked out two bets below.

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Chelsea vs. Borussia Dortmund Odds

A 1-0 victory over relegation-stricken Leeds at the weekend has done little to paper over the cracks at Stamford Bridge where patience is wearing thin for Graham Potter. 

It took £22m to pry Potter away from David Bloom on the south coast but so far the Blues have lost as many games (10) as they have won (10) under their new supremo. An expensive gamble that is faltering with the Blues boss priced at 9/4 in the Sack Race.

The West Londoners have only won two of their last 12 and three of their last 15 in all competitions.

One of those victories came against relegation-stricken Bournemouth, another against an out-of-sorts Crystal Palace, and the most recent one was the aforementioned over Leeds at the weekend. Up until that game, Potter's side had lost their last three on the spin, failing to score a goal over that period.

The Blues are 5/4 to overturn a 1-0 deficit tomorrow but could have as many as eight absentees. 

Mason Mount is suspended and Edouard Mendy, Cesar Azpilicueta, Thiago Silva, N'Golo Kante, and Armando Broja are all sidelined with injury. Christian Pulisic and Reece James face late fitness tests.

Borussia Dortmund come into this in great form having won their last 10 games in all competitions on the spin. 

Over that period Die Schwarzgelben have scored 25 goals and any sort of result in the capital on Tuesday will see them progress to the quarter-finals. 

Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund Tips

Champions League Odds
Under 2.5 Goals
42/41
Odds correct as of 2023-03-07 07:55 Odds subject to change.

I expect goals will be of a premium at Stamford Bridge on Tuesday, as they have been for the majority of Potter's tenure.

Siding with unders would have paid out in 70% of his 27 games in charge, including the first leg of this clash. 

This is a bet that has clicked in each of Chelsea’s last eight games, over which time their games have averaged just a goal a game.

At Signal Iduna Park, Chelsea were perhaps unfortunate not to score, generating an xG of 2.34.

Coming to London with a league to protect, I think we will see a lot more of a pragmatic approach from Edin Terzic’s side. 

Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund Odds
No first goalscorer
12/1
Odds correct as of 2023-03-07 07:55 Odds subject to change.

Backing no first goalscorer is essentially siding with a 0-0 draw, however, the bet is paid out as a winner if the only goals of the game are own goals. 

11% of Potter's games in charge of Chelsea have finished goalless, 10 have seen one goal scored or less. 

The underlying data shows how consistently wasteful the Blues have been. In the last 10 league games they have generated an xG of 16.08 but only scored five times.

Best of luck if you are backing any of the selections and please remember to gamble responsibly. 

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