Odds shown as:

Champions League Top Scorer Betting: Which players are in-form ahead of the last 16?

Champions League Top Scorer Betting: Ronaldo is 8/1 in the market
Champions League Top Scorer Betting: Ronaldo is 8/1 in the market

At long last! Tonight the Champions League returns, and just in time. With the constant bombardment of Premier League football, there has definitely been a slight drop in quality in the top-flight so a refreshing change of competition comes as extremely welcome news. 

With just 16 teams left in Europe’s most prestigious knockout tournament, the race to be crowned kings of the continent is now reaching its business end. However, that is not the only enthralling prize up for grabs. 

On a more personal level, there is still the small matter of which player will win the UCL Golden Boot award in the coming months. As always at this stage, the front-runners have broken away from the chasing pack and realistically the contest is now between just a small number of Europe’s elite. 

Dortmund’s destroyer leads the betting

Borussia Dortmund wonder-kid Erling Haaland currently leads the way in the market. The 20-year-old marksman has been deadlier than ever this time out, notching six goals in only four European outings - a return which makes him favourite at 4/1. 

The Norwegian prodigy is replicating his form in the Bundesliga, too, third behind Bayern’s Robert Lewandowski (25 goals) and Frankfurt’s Andre Silva (18 goals) in the division’s top-scorer chart with 15 goals to his name in 16 outings, while he has notched a further two in the DFB Pokal.   

Haaland enters Wednesday’s first-leg round of 16 tie against Sevilla brimming with confidence and bearing the brunt of Dortmund’s goalscoring responsibilities. It is a task that he has in the past proven to be up to, though, and with a three-goal cushion on second-favourite in the market, the free-scoring Lewandowski, you have to feel confident in his ability to drive BVB further towards this season’s finale. 

Ucl Top Scorer Creative
Champions League top scorer betting

Lewandowski’s name always in the frame

It is, however, worth noting that Lewandowski is not to be underestimated. Bayern’s goal-addicted freak of nature may currently be three goals behind Haaland heading into the last-16 but as we have seen countless times in this competition’s history - and indeed from his exploits in the Bundesliga - this could all change during one game should the Pole be in the mood for it. 

The 32-year-old laid claim to his first UCL Golden Boot award as Bayern stormed their way to the Champions League title in 2019-20, scoring 15 goals, and this time out he has notched three in just four outings for the Bavarian heavy-hitters. 

While this tally ranks him third in the chart behind the aforementioned Haaland and Mr. Champions League himself, Cristiano Ronaldo, it is Lewandowski’s domestic form which acts as the biggest telltale sign that he will hit the ground running in this competition during the coming months. 

25 goals in 20 appearances in the German top-flight is a return which, however impressive to the eye, is now deemed as normality for the Eastern European, who is just two goals shy of hitting 70 career Champions League goals.

Lewandowski is currently 5/1 second-favourite in the race for the Golden Boot, a price which to me offers some good value given his pedigree in the competition and the fact that Bayern - presented with a very winnable fixture against Lazio in the last-16 - are still the team to beat for the aspiring champions left in the tournament.

Mr. Champions League

But then you remember that Cristiano Ronaldo is still about, in his truest goalscoring form and hot on the heels of Haaland with four goals in his four UCL appearances this season. The Portugese, now well into his thirties but still performing like a 25-year-old at the height of his career, can be found at 8/1 to clinch the Golden Boot, making him third-favourite in the market. 

Like Bayern, Juventus have a last-16 tie which they will view as totally winnable, against an out-of-sorts Porto side who currently sit 10 points off top-spot in the Portuguese first division. 

With an astonishing 19 goals in 22 domestic appearances for Juve this term, Ronaldo - the Champions League’s all-time record goalscorer - carries a huge deal of momentum into the last-16 and has every chance of seizing the gap against his countrymen across the forthcoming two legs. But should he find the net either once, twice or even three times during those two games then his price will be slashed considerably. It could prove to be a case of getting it before it’s gone.

Leo an each-way play, Morata not to be discounted

You cannot mention Ronaldo without talking about Messi. Vice Versa. Barcelona’s majestic No.10 may have endured a slow start to the campaign but he has since made up for it. Without a Champions League win since 2015, Barcelona will be chomping at the bit to right their wrongdoings in Europe this time out and if they are to stand any chance of winning the tournament, Messi will have to be firing on all cylinders. 

Currently a 14/1 outsider in the betting, the Argentine playmaker could be viewed as a value play, even at each-way odds, ahead of the last-16 kicking off. Messi is just three goals behind Haaland at the time of writing but faces a stern test in the next round as Barca face last season’s finalists Paris-Saint Germain. 

Champions League betting

Indeed, the 33-year-old heads into the game with the wind firmly in his sails following yet another wonder-strike during the Catalonians’ 5-1 demolition job on Alaves at the weekend - the South American’s 11th goal in his last eight league outings. 

One player I am yet to mention is Atletico Madrid’s Alvaro Morata. The Spaniard is actually level on goals with Haaland (6) at this stage but is still a 10/1 shot in the market. 

This could be because Atletico face a tricky test against Thomas Tuchel’s invigorated Chelsea in the last-16 and the fact that, although Atleti are deservingly top of La Liga and have performed really well in the UCL this season, their game-plan under Diego Simeone will always be tailored towards defending first and attacking second - something which will only be accentuated now that the knockout phase has been introduced and a more tactical approach is required, in turn potentially hindering Morata’s chances of adding to his haul.

Best of the rest

Elsewhere, PSG’s Neymar (9/1) is, like Haaland and Morata, also on six goals but the Brazilian will yet again miss a crucial knockout game for the Parisians in Europe due to injury, which deals a gargantuan blow to his chances in this market and, to me, rules him out of the conversation. 

Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah has three goals for his efforts so far and is a 20/1 shot, while Real Madrid stalwart Karim Benzema - who has bagged four goals in this season’s renewal - is a 25/1 outsider at this stage.

Both could be good options if you’re looking to lay a bit of a higher stake on an each-way selection, but if you’re looking for an on the nose shout, my money would be on Ronaldo at 8/1 with bet365.

UCL Top Scorer Odds

  • PROB
Karim Benzema
WIN PROB: 100%
Mohamed Salah
Odds correct as of 2022-04-28 08:21 Odds subject to change.
Today's football tips
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets (APP Only)
#AD New UK, IE & Malta users only. Min. £10/€10 first deposit only using Debit Card or Trustly. Free bets expire in 90 days. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £60 in Bonuses
#AD New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
100% Up To £50 Welcome Bonus + 25 Spins
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org; New bettors get 100% of deposit up to £50; Once per household; Min deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller); Wager a total of 8 times deposit + bonus, with max qualifying bet stake equal to your initial bonus amount; Bonus expires after 60 days; Min odds of 4/5 on singles, or 2/5 per leg for acca; Some bet types excluded; Free spins validity: 7 days; Free spins max. winnings = £100; See full terms; Terms apply.
Bet £10 & Get £30 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD Promo code: 30FB • Min deposit £10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days • Free Bet stakes not included in returns • Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days and expires after 14 days • To withdraw any winnings from the Casino Bonus, wager the Bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & Full T&Cs apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins on Big Bass Bonanza, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD Place a min £10 bet on the Sportsbook on odds of min 1/2 (1.5), get £30 in Free Bets. Rewards valid for 30 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly
Get £35 In Free Bets
#AD Place a qualifying £25 fixed odds bet at odds of 1/2 or greater. Qualifying bet cannot be placed in-play or cashed out early. A first free £5 fixed odds bet will be credited upon settlement of the qualifying bet. 4 x following £5 free fixed odds bets will be added to your account on consecutive days. T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org