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Canelo vs. GGG 3 Odds: Three bets ahead of Saturday night's highly anticipated trilogy fight

Saturday night sees the conclusion of the trilogy.
Saturday night sees the conclusion of the trilogy.

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Canelo vs GGG 3 Odds

We've got another huge fight in the Super-Middleweight division with a clash for all the marbles between the current WBC, IBF, WBO and Ring Magazine champion Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez and the WBA world champion Gennady ‘GGG’ Golovkin. We've asked our boxing head honcho @PeteMarsden_ to preview this one and provide us with his best bets for the highly anticipated trilogy conclusion.

Canelo vs GGG Tips

Where and when is the fight taking place?

The fight will be at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas yet again, on Saturday September 17th and will be broadcast live and exclusively on DAZN PPV. The event will start at 1am with the ring walks for the main event expected around 4:30am. The card is a Matchroom promotion by Eddie Hearn. 

Full Fight card:

Order and times TBC

  • Canelo Alvarez vs Gennady Golovkin III: 12 rounds - super-middleweight, WBA, WBO, IBF, WBC, Ring Magazine titles
  • Jesse Rodriguez vs Israel Gonzalez: 12 rounds - super-flyweight, WBC title
  • Ammo Williams vs Kieron Conway: 10 rounds - middleweight
  • Diego Pacheco vs Enrique Collazo: 10 rounds - super middleweight
  • Ali Akhmedov vs Gabriel Rosado: 10 rounds - super middleweight
  • Marc Castro vs Kevin Montiel Mendoza: 8 rounds - lightweight

Main fight officials: 

Referee:

  • Russell Mora (Nevada)

Judges: 

  • David Sutherland (Oklahoma)
  • Dave Moretti (Nevada) 
  • Steve Weisfeld (New Jersey)

To say this has been a calm build up would be frankly a lie. There’s no love lost between these two fighters heading into the third fight, after Canelo won a majority decision in fight number two. This follows a contentious opening split draw, which many, including myself, thought should have been a W for GGG. These two men have made it clear that they don’t like each other, which hopefully sets us up for a barnstormer of a scrap on Saturday night.

Since their second fight, it is the Mexican who has gone on to have the more impressive resumé, fighting eight times since 2018, beating everyone in his path before moving up to super-middleweight, claiming the undisputed crown for the first time in history. That led to him jumping up in weight again, taking on Dimitry Bivol for the light-heavyweight for the WBA crown. That fight was where Alvarez more than met his match, as Bivol claimed a majority decision in an impressive showing.

That loss will bring hope to Golovkin, who has only fought four times since his loss to Canelo, winning all four, and claiming the WBA title. That has led us to this moment, where we may finally see a knockout, or Golovkin claim what many will say is a deserved victory following his previous two showings against the Mexican. With that said, let’s take a dive into our three bets for the fight.

The Tale of the Tape for Saturday night.
The Tale of the Tape for Saturday night.
Will the fight go the distance: Yes
4/6
Odds correct as of 2022-09-15 12:47 Odds subject to change.

So, here we go…

Looking back at the two previous fights, we saw boxing at the most elite level. Speed, accuracy, ring knowledge, and everything in between are the reason that fans have been pandering for a finale.

Although Canelo is eight years younger than his counterpart, it’s fair to say that GGG is a young 40. The man can still go, and his will and grit to stay in there should allow this fight to see the full 12 rounds. Although both fighters will want to end with a highlight reel knockout, the chins on the pair of them are something to marvel at, as shown below. The odds of 4/6 for the fight to go all the way seem fair, and that’s where we start our bets at.

Boxing Odds
Canelo to win by decision or technical decision
21/20
Odds correct as of 2022-09-15 12:48 Odds subject to change.

Next up, we’re looking at Canelo to regain his undisputed crown, with what will most likely be a majority decision again.

Although the judging in the first two fights was questionable to say the least, Canelo has seemingly improved even more so since 2018, highlighted by his ability to jump up and challenge in the light heavyweight division. This isn’t to say that he will outbox the former pound-for-pound number 1 GGG, but I believe that age will eventually play a factor in this, and the Mexican should get the result again from the judges.

Eubank vs Benn Odds
Canelo to win in rounds 9-12
5/1
Odds correct as of 2022-09-15 12:49 Odds subject to change.

Now, a bit of a bigger priced bet at 5/1 for our final shout.

IF someone is able to knockout Golovkin for the first time in his career, then it will most likely be Canelo. His power and speed is something to be marvelled at, and if he can wear down GGG into the later round, he may be set up for the spectacular KO that he’s craving. I don’t think he’ll be able to put him away early, so the group betting for rounds 9-12 looks like a good shout to me.

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