Burnley v Leeds Prediction: Three selections from Scott Thornton for Sunday's game at Turf Moor

Leeds have started the season with the same attacking intent that they displayed last season, and it’s already made for some good viewing. Bielsa’s side’s games have seen 10 goals in just the two games.

Burnley have started the season with two defeats and will look to stop Leeds’ marauding attack here. Dyche’s side gave a decent account of themselves in a 2-0 defeat at Anfield last week, but now points on the board are a priority.

Koch looks likely to miss out for Leeds and Vydra is a doubt for the home side, who will have to rely on their usual forward pairing of Barnes and Wood.

Burnley’s last ten league matches are seeing an average of 2.9 goals per game and Leeds’ last ten league matches are averaging 3.1 goals per game.

Last season’s clash at Turf Moor finished 4-0 to the visitors, but Burnley have presented a significant attacking in recent matches and were unlucky not to find the net at Anfield.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in Burnley’s last five matches at home and the need for the points here should mean they go full tilt from the off.

The way both of these sides play lends itself to offsides and Chris Wood is more than happy to help. Burnley were caught offside a staggering seven times at Anfield last week and last seasons meetings with Leeds suggest they high offside count trend is set to continue. When Leeds came to Turf Moor last season there were eight offsides in the games, there were five offsides in the meeting at Elland Road.

In Burnley’s last ten matches there has been an average of 4.4 offsides in the games. Leeds last ten matches are seeing an average of 3.6 offsides.

The data also supports the shots angle, in the last ten matches Burnley opponents are averaging just under 18 shots per game. Leeds average exactly 14.5 in their last ten matches. 

Burnley have shipped a lot of shots in recent games and while the 21 shot line is high, it does present some value as our long shot.

Newcastle managed 18 shots in the League Cup against Burnley midweek and Leeds had 28 shots as they faced Crewe. Dyche’s men provide A much sterner test, but hopefully Leeds carry the same attacking impetus here. Liverpool lay siege to the Burnley goal in their last Premier League as they managed 27 shots.