Brentford vs. Chelsea Betting Tips: Back Bryan to rack up the shots against the Blues
Posted: 16:24 Tuesday 18th October 2022
Five Premier League fixtures take place on Wednesday evening with the quintet all available to be viewed live on Amazon Prime. Chelsea make the short trip to the Brentford Community Stadium as they look to maintain their unbeaten record under new boss Graham Potter and here at BettingOdds.com we’ve previewed the action and have provided you with two data-driven bets that we like the look of.
Both of these two sides managed 2-0 victories at the weekend with Brentford seeing off Brighton on home soil on Friday night, before Chelsea inflicted more pain on Aston Villa and Steven Gerrard on Sunday.
Brentford have the opportunity to win their first ever midweek Premier League match in this clash against Chelsea and will be hoping for a repeat of the scoreline when they travelled to Stamford Bridge in April and managed a memorable 4-1 victory over the Blues.
Graham Potter has managed five wins in his first five matches as Chelsea manager, with four of those coming with a clean sheet. Just four points separates Chelsea and Manchester City in the table with the Potter’s men looking to close the gap on the three sides above them in the table on Wednesday.
Brentford’s extra preparation time for this game could prove pivotal, although Thomas Frank will be without Aaron Hickey and Christian Norgaard.
For the visitors, Wesley Fofana, N’golo Kante and Reece James are all confirmed absentees, while Thiago Silva will be assessed on the day after leaving Villa Park with tightness in his thigh on Sunday.
Brentford vs Chelsea Tips
Bryan Mbeumo Over 1.5 Shots
Both our selections on Wednesday centre around Brentford’s Bryan Mbeumo and first up we are backing him to have Over 1.5 shots in the match, which is available at 11/10 with bet365. This game looks a really tricky one for Chelsea and the Bees have once again continued their solid home form that was shown in their first season back in the top-flight since 1947.
Brentford have taken 10 points from a possible 15 infront of their own fans this season and we think they will create plenty of chances against Chelsea who were lucky to not concede against Villa on Sunday, thanks to a series of stunning saves from goalkeeper Kepa Arrizabalaga.
Aston Villa racked up 14 shots to Chelsea’s seven on Sunday winning the expected goals battle 2.65xG - 1.38xG. There’s scope for Brentford to use their home support and put Chelsea under pressure here and despite Ivan Toney’s excellent performances of late, it’s the prices around Mbeumo in the shots markets that are catching the eye.
In his five appearances at the Brentford Community Stadium this season, Mbeumo has recorded 2+ shots in four of those. Taking a look back a little further into last season and in his last 21 Premier League matches he has cleared this line of over 1.5 in 16 of them, giving plenty of appeal to the 11/10 on show.
Bryan Mbeumo Over 2.5 Shots & Over 0.5 Shots on target
No player at Chelsea let off more shots last season than Bryan Mbeumo and at 6/1 we will also be having a bit of loose change on him to record Over 0.5 Shots on target as well as Over 2.5 shots.
This same selection pays just 3/1 over at Betfair and Paddy Power and it is one that has landed in four of the Frenchman’s 10 matches so far this season. With odds of 6/1 implying just a 14.3% chance of this selection landing, we think this looks a nice bit of value and should go close on Wednesday evening.
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