Bayern Munich vs. Man City Betting Tips: Expect goals in potential barnstormer at the Allianz

Bayern have it all to do when they welcome Manchester City to the Allianz for the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final. Pep Guardiola’s side have a three goal advantage coming into this one and data guru Scott Thornton has provided us with his best bets for the game. 

Thomas Tuchel’s Bayern performed reasonably well for large parts of the first leg but they were the masters of their own demise. Errors when playing out from the back and sloppy play for Yann Sommer took a heavy toll on the German champions. Tuchel was bullish in his post-match press conference but a comeback on Wednesday night would be one of the most miraculous in the history of the Champions League.

Manchester City are favourites to be crowned the best team in Europe this season. However, this is a position they have found themselves in before and they have failed to capitalise. The Champions League remains the only prize that City haven’t won since they were taken over in 2009. The Citizens have swept all before them domestically and there is a growing feeling that this is their year. The acquisition of Erling Haaland has been crucial. The Norwegian is going to beat the Premier League scoring record at a canter but it will be his exploits in the remainder of this competition that define their season.

Manuel Neuer is out with a long term injury. The veteran sweeper keeper was sorely missed in the first leg. Eric Choupo-Moting is also a doubt. Phil Foden is the only injury doubt that Pep Guardiola has to worry about.

Despite the 3-0 thumping, Bayern did manage to have 12 attempts at the Etihad. Tuchel’s side looked dangerous in spells and the absence of a traditional number nine proved costly. Don’t expect them to go down without a fight here. The Bavarians have fierce home support and they will be willing their team on from the very first whistle.

Over the course of the last three seasons, Bayern Munich are averaging 18.2 shots per game at the Allianz Arena. Manchester City are a tremendously difficult opponent so they won’t have it all their own way. However, the nature of this second leg means they will be forced to throw the kitchen sink at Pep’s men early doors. 

Bayern have been exceptional going forward this season and they always look a threat They are averaging 20.26 shots per home match across all competitions. They need a minimum of three goals to force this one into extra time. They will also know that a clean sheet seems unlikely against this rampant Manchester City attack.

Goals also seem inevitable in this one. It’s hard to envisage Bayern drawing a blank and while City don’t need to score, there will be space left in behind for them to exploit. Erling Haaland is used to coming up against deep defensive lines at City but he should thrive on the counter this Wednesday.

Bayern’s matches this season are averaging 3.83 goals per game. Manchester City’s matches have also been goal laden affairs with an average of 3.43 goals per game.

For our longer odds bet, we are going to take the same angles as the first but increase the shot line. Tuchel has the attacking options to strike fear into any defence and they should rack up the shots in the early parts of the game. An early goal for the home side would give them a real injection of belief. Expect the Bavarians to go all out in pursuit of this early breakthrough.

Both Bayern’s shot and match goal averages are above what is required for this bet to land. Let’s hope this encounter turns into the barnstormer it has the potential to be.