Barnsley vs. Bolton Betting Tips: Morley a marvellous price in the fouls market

After a 1-1 draw in the first leg, Bolton Wanderers travel to Barnsley on Friday evening in the League One Play-Offs. We’ve got two tips for the game from our man Anthony Eadson, both of which come from the player fouls market.

Barnsley took the lead through a Nicky Cadden goal six days ago before Dion Charles hit back  for the Trotters just four minutes later. Michael Duff’s side let off 19 shots in comparison to just seven by the hosts at the University of Bolton Stadium and arrive at this second leg as the 4/9 favorites to advance to the final at Wembley.

Bolton on the other hand can be backed 17/10 with most betting sites to qualify. Ian Evatt’s men finished just four points behind Barnsley in the regular season and boast a strong away record in the division having not lost on the road since February.

My main play on Friday night is for Aaron Morely to give away one or more fouls in the match, which at the time of writing is on offer at a rather eye-catching price of 6/5 with Paddy Power or Betfair. 

In the first leg, the defensive midfielder gave away one foul and his totals in his last five starts read: 2,0,2,2,1. This alone gives plenty of appeal to the 6/5 showing which implies a 45.5.% chance that this bet will click. Couple that with the fact that there is a place in the play-off on the line here and I think this looks a great bet for a player that has also collected six yellow cards in all competitions this season. 

I’ve also picked out a double with two players each to commit 2+ fouls in the match. The first of those is Barsnley’s centre-back Mads Andersen. No player has picked up more cards this season than the 6ft 4 Dane, with 11 yellows and one red to his name.

When it comes to fouls. Andersen is currently on a streak of 10 consecutive games where he has conceded at least one. The 2+ line has been cleared in all of his last three matches and with it clicking in five of his most recent 10, I think there is plenty to like about the 11/5 offering with Paddy’s for 2+ here.

Another Tykes player I’m backing to give away at least two fouls is their goal scorer from the first leg, Nicky Cadden. The 26-year-old has committed 1+ foul in four of his last six and 2+ in two of his last four, including on the road at Bolton six days ago.

Combining both Andersen and Cadden to give away 2+ fouls in this second leg pays 17/1 and looks worthy of a bit of loose change, especially after landing in the reverse fixture.