Barcelona vs. Real Madrid Betting Tips: Best bets for Copa del Rey semi-final second leg
Two Spanish titans run it back in the Copa del Rey semi-final on Wednesday as Real Madrid look to overturn the 1-0 deficit that Barcelona achieved at the Santiago Bernabeu in March's first leg.
After a full house in his last outing which included 10/11 and 7/2 winners, @LukeHam94 is back to hopefully clean up once again with these two recommended bets...
Despite exiting the Europa League at the hands of Manchester United in March, there's plenty to be positive about in the Barcelona camp. They sit 12 points clear of their bitter rivals at the top of La Liga, defeated Madrid to extend their gap to this number and come into Wednesday's second leg with a one goal lead and home advantage.
For Real Madrid, this trophy has eluded them since 2014. By Los Blancos' standards that's a long time to not taste success in this particular cup competition. Two El Clasico defeats in the past month will have dampened Madrid's spirits slightly, but if there's one thing we know about them by now, it's that you can never count Madrid out.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Tips
SpreadEx and 10Bet have just about the best price on the market for Barcelona to win on the night.
FCB have won their last five matches since stumbling into back-to-back defeats. One of those was March's El Clasico, where Barcelona were good value for their 2-1 win over Madrid at Camp Nou. That makes Barcelona triumphant in four of their last five meetings, which offers a huge psychological boost over their rivals heading into this second leg.
Madrid may have three more head-to-head victories over Barca in La Liga meetings, but the hosts have the superior record in this competition - winning 16 of the 36 clashes, while Real have only been victorious on 12 occasions.
Wednesday's hosts have also established outstanding form on home soil, winning 11 of their fixtures at the Camp Nou and drawing the remaining two. Madrid, on the other hand, have shown frailties on their travels, losing 4/14 of their La Liga away fixtures.
Most importantly, that first leg was a good indicator of Barcelona's resilience. Although they snatched a lead against the run of play in Madrid, the home side threw the kitchen sink at them and still didn't look like troubling them much.
If they can weather a storm like they did in the Spanish capital just over a month ago, this tie should present even more opportunities to put Madrid to the sword again.
With the onus on Real Madrid to claw things back in this cup tie, we've formed a 2/1 triple-headed bet builder with bet365. Allow us to quickly run you through the numbers involved with this stats-based punt:
Vinicius Junior's shot numbers over the past 10 games: 2, 2 (vs Barca), 6, 2, 2 (vs Barca in Copa del Rey first leg), 2, 2, 0, 2, 3.
The forward is averaging 2.72 shots per 90 this season, and has cleared this line in 21 of his 26 league appearances.
Real Madrid throw-ins from the past 10 games: 27, 17 (vs Barca), 31, 20, 17, 25 (vs Barca in Copa del Rey first leg), 22, 19, 21, 13.
With only one goal separating the two, expect Madrid to pile on the pressure. Those 25 throw-ins from the first leg offer a lot of promise for this part of the bet.
Real Madrid offsides from the past 10 games: 0, 4 (vs Barca), 5, 0, 1, 4 (vs Barca in Copa del Rey first leg), 2, 0, 5, 2.
While there are a few exceptions, Madrid have been successful with this particular offside count in four of their last five El Clasico meetings.
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