Odds shown as:

Atalanta v PSG Tips: Back the boys from Bergamo in what should be a barnstormer

Neymar took seven shots in his most recent game against Lyon with three hitting the target and the Brazilian features in our 2 point tip for this one
Neymar took seven shots in his most recent game against Lyon with three hitting the target and the Brazilian features in our 2 point tip for this one

The first of the Champions League quarter-finals sees Atalanta take on PSG at the Estadio de Luz in Lisbon this Wednesday in what looks to have the potential to be a real thriller. 

PSG have already won three trophies this season: the Ligue 1 title, the Coupe de France and the Coupe de la Ligue. Here in Portugal though they face an Atalanta side here who have come into this one with nothing to fear. The boys from Bergamo finished third in Serie A this season and scored an impressive 98 goals in the process, 17 more than any other side.

There’s some concern on the injury front however for the Parisiens with Kylian Mbappe a major doubt after picking up a knock against Lyon in last month’s Coupe de la Ligue final. He faces a race against time but most likely will start from the bench. Angel Di Maria is suspended for the game and striker Edison Cavani has now left the club after his contract expired. Atalanta will be without first choice keeper Pierluigi Gollini which could see Marco Sportiello come into the starting line up.

Having a look at the match prices and Paddy Power have gone 10/11 for a win for PSG inside 90 minutes which does look a little short in my opinion. The Italians can be backed at 5/2 with the draw being offered at 3/1. The game kicks off at 20:00 and can be seen live on BT Sport. I’ve had a delve into the markets for this one and have picked out three football tips I like the look of for this game. 

Neymar to have 2+ shot on target - 2pts @ 6/5 Betfair

Atalanta to win and both teams to score - 1pts @ 9/2 Paddy Power

Icardi & Zapata 1+ shot on target, De Roon & Bernat to be carded

Atalanta v PSG Tip #1
20:00
Neymar 2+ shots on target
Averages an impressive 2.5 shots on target per game this season Penalty and Free-kick taker   
Odds correct as of 2020-08-11 16:40 Odds subject to change.

The first of my three selections comes in the form of Neymar to have two or more shots on target in the game. As I mentioned earlier, the fitness and question marks surrounding Kylian Mbappe is a huge one. I don’t think he will start and with no Di Maria or Cavani, I now think it’s time for Neymar to grab the baton and perform on the big stage. 

Having a look at his numbers this season and the Brazilian is averaging a league high 4.7 shots per game with 2.5 of those hitting the target. He’s also scored 12 goals in his last 16 knockout matches in the Champions League and without other star performers present, I’m expecting him to step up.

Another bonus is that he also should be on both penalties and free-kicks here for PSG which could bring some joy. Having a look at the prices elsewhere and SkyBet have this one odds-on at 5/6, giving appeal to the 6/5 on offer from Betfair.

Atalanta v PSG Tip #2
20:00
Atalanta to win and both teams to score
Atalanta scored 98 league goals this season, 17 more than any other side They play a high press and we should be in for plenty of goals PSG could be without key players Atalanta used to playing at a neutral venue in the Champions League
Odds correct as of 2020-08-11 17:40 Odds subject to change.

Next up I’m backing Atalanta to win and both teams to score at 9/2 with Paddy Power. Gian Piero Gasperini’s side have been one of the highlights of the European football season with a combination of hard work and high pressing football making them an exciting side to watch; their stats speak for themselves with a monumental 98 goals in Serie A.

One key angle for me here is how Atalanta have not actually been playing Champions League games at their home ground this season due to their stadium not being deemed up to Uefa Standards. As a result they have been playing at Milan’s San Siro which should help when you consider that tomorrow’s game will also be played at a neutral venue for them, this time in Lisbon due to Covid19. 

Another plus here for Atalanta is that PSG have actually lost eight of their last 16 knockout games in the Champions League, conceding 30 goals in doing so. They’ve failed to win or keep a clean sheet in their last six in the tournament against Italian sides and I believe the underdogs can claim a moral victory for football here. 

Atalanta scored four goals in each of their games against Valencia in the last round and they are a team who are growing in confidence. I don’t think it will be one way traffic and the high press may leave plenty of holes in their defence, but with all things considered I’m taking a bit of the 9/2 available for a Atalanta win and both teams to score.

Atalanta v PSG Tip #3
20:00
Icardi & Zapata 1+ shot on target, De Roon & Bernat to be carded
Icardi averages 1.3 shots on target per game this season and should come in for Mbappe Zapata has 18 league goals in 25 games this season De Roon has been booked more times than any other Atalanta player this season (14) Bernat has been booked five times in 16 games this season and looks better value than others who are as short as 10/11
Odds correct as of 2020-08-11 17:05 Odds subject to change.

Finally I’ve picked out something at a little bit of a price and I’m sticking with the formula that has produced 40/1 and 66/1 winners in the last couple of months: two players to have a shot on target and two players to be carded - which can be seen here in our recent winners.

At 25/1 with PaddyPower and Betfair I’m backing Mauro Icardi and Duvan Zapata to have one or more shots on target with both Marten De Roon and Juan Bernat to be carded.

Besides being 1/20 to have a shot on target, I just don’t think Kylian Mbappe will start this one and at 4/9 Mauro Icardi looks the much better option to throw into this Same Game Multi. The Argentine averages over a shot on target per game every time he has started this season (1.3) and I’m hoping he should get a few chances in this one. 

For Atalanta I’ve decided to add in Duvan Zapata to land one between the sticks. The Colombian has 18 league goals in 25 games this season and has been superb for the side from the Lombardy region over the course of the campaign. He averages 1.3 shots on target per game and I think he should be the main threat for Gasperini’s side on Wednesday evening.

Moving onto the cards and first up it’s Juan Bernat for Paris Saint-Germain. The left-sided defender/midfielder has actually been booked five times in just 16 starts this season and considering there are players as short as 10/11 to be carded here, he makes appeal at the 13/5 on show. 

Rounding off the quartet of elements that make up this 25/1 shot is Marten De Roon to pick up a card and find his way into Anthony Taylor’s notebook. The former Middlesborough midfielder has picked up a staggering 14 yellow cards across Serie A and the Champions League this season and he’s the one I want on side to be booked here for Atalanta.

Putting those four together gives us the price of 25/1 with Paddy Power, however it is worth noting that most customers should have a free ‘power up odds boost’ which would take this one up to 28/1. 

Enjoy the first of the UCL quarter-finals and please remember to gamble responsibly. 

Free Bets
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Money Back As CASH Up To £20 (APP Only)
#AD New customers only. Deposit £20 using card or Trustly. Up to your first £20 of losses will be refunded as CASH within 24 hours of qualifying bet having been settled. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Open Account Offer. Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code ‘100BET365’ can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. 18+ begambleaware.org.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 On Football & Get £40 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD £/€10 deposit using promo code "10FREE" - Minimum stake £/€10 at odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager the bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days - Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & full T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 + 30 Free Spins
#AD New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 30 Free Spins on Blue Wizard at £0.10 per spin. 7-day expiry. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Get Up To £100 In Free Bets
#AD New customer offer. Place 5 x £10 or more bets to receive £20 in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD. New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from acceptance (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. 18+
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply

Bet £10 On Football & Get £50 In Free Bets

#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. Place a pre-match £10 bet on any Football market between 2nd December and 24th December, at min. odds 1/2 (1.5) — get a total of £50 in free bets, £30 on bet settlement and an additional £20 the following day. Your qualifying bet must settle by Friday 23:59, 24th December. Only deposits via Cards will qualify (Apple Pay deposit excluded). T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. 18+ begambleaware.org

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins

#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.

AC Milan v Liverpool Bet £10 & Get £20 + a £5 Free bet in Play when you bet £5 on Bet Builder

#Ad. 18+. UK/IRE mobile customers only. Min Odds of (2/1). Place a bet of £/€5 on any Bet Builder in the AC Milan v Liverpool match on 07/12/2021. Free Bet can be used on any in-play single for the same match. One qualifying bet per match (first bet placed). Free/void/cashed out bets won’t qualify. Free Bet will be credited after kick off and expires 7 days later. T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org