Odds shown as:

UFC 264 Tips: McGregor to get the job done early?

UFC Tips: McGregor is 2/1 for an early KO.
UFC Tips: McGregor is 2/1 for an early KO.

Conor McGregor and Dustin Poirier face off for a third time this weekend at UFC 264 which will be an incredibly tough card to beat in 2021 in terms of entertainment value. Poirier “shocked the world” in their last bout and became the first man to KO Conor McGregor in the Octagon. 

It might be to many people’s surprise that Conor McGregor is now the underdog for this rematch which is the only time other than fighting Khabib that he has been the betting underdog since his historical win over Jose Aldo. Though he is only a slight underdog (EVS compared to the 4/5 of Dustin Poirier) the value is still with him in my opinion. We saw what happened to Nate Diaz when McGregor took the rematch and it was an incredible performance from the Irishman. I'm expecting Conor to adapt and change back to his old karate-esque style that he’s become famous for this weekend. 

How will the fight will go?

This fight should definitely live up to expectations. We have a hungry Dustin Poirier who only has one loss in his last nine fights (the loss is to Khabib) and a Conor McGregor who is putting everything on the line and determined to put things right in this trilogy. As well as all this, these two simply love stoppages. Poirier has recorded 13 knockouts on his record with 7 submissions and McGregor has a solid 19 knockouts in his 22 wins and one submission. With all that in mind it should come as no surprise to see that the bookies have got this at 2/9 to not go the distance

Like I said earlier I do think there’s value in McGregor being the underdog, and there’s even more value in him winning by an early knockout. The Notorious is a 7/5 shot to win via knockout which doesn’t seem too good value wise to me but I do like the look of him to win in Rounds 1-2 at 2/1 with Paddy Power. I think if McGregor does get this done, it happens early. It took him two minutes to finish Dustin in their first fight and that’s where most of Conor’s knockouts have come, in Rounds 1 and 2.

Boxing odds

Alternatively, if you fancy Dustin to win again, he could be worth a look at in the submission area. Poirier has just as many submissions as he does decision wins in his career and he managed to secure a take down on McGregor very fast in their last fight. 

McGregor has five losses in his MMA career and four of them have been to submissions, his grand game simply isn’t on the level of many other fighters but he does back it up with incredible takedown defence. If Dustin sticks to his words “I might not even try the calf kicks this time” then we could see him get his wrestling background out which may not go well for Conor.

If you wanted anything to back up Poirier’s ground game, he managed to scramble well with Khabib and even locked in a guillotine attempt which probably would have got anyone but Khabib. Poirier is priced at 15/2 for a submission which given Conor’s record of losing via this method, could prove to be a decent play. 

At the end of the day this fight in my opinion goes either two ways. Conor comes in and gets the job done in the first two rounds or Dustin starts to take over on the ground. The trash-talking McGregor looks to be in full flow this time so I’ll be leaning towards backing the 32-year-old when he’s like this. A confident, hungry, trash-talking McGregor with something to prove to the world, as the betting underdog? I’ll take that any day of the week.

Conor McGregor to win by KO/TKO in Round 1 or 2
Odds correct as of 2021-07-07 14:40 Odds subject to change.
Free betting offers
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Money Back As CASH Up To £20 (APP Only)
#AD New customers only. Deposit £20 using card or Trustly. Up to your first £20 of losses will be refunded as CASH within 24 hours of qualifying bet having been settled. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Open Account Offer. Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code ‘100BET365’ can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. 18+ begambleaware.org.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 On Football & Get £40 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD £/€10 deposit using promo code "10FREE" - Minimum stake £/€10 at odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager the bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days - Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & full T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 + 30 Free Spins
#AD New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 30 Free Spins on Blue Wizard at £0.10 per spin. 7-day expiry. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Get Up To £100 In Free Bets
#AD New customer offer. Place 5 x £10 or more bets to receive £20 in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD. New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from acceptance (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. 18+
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply

Bet £10 On Football & Get £50 In Free Bets

#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. Place a pre-match £10 bet on any Football market between 2nd December and 24th December, at min. odds 1/2 (1.5) — get a total of £50 in free bets, £30 on bet settlement and an additional £20 the following day. Your qualifying bet must settle by Friday 23:59, 24th December. Only deposits via Cards will qualify (Apple Pay deposit excluded). T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. 18+ begambleaware.org

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins

#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.

AC Milan v Liverpool Bet £10 & Get £20 + a £5 Free bet in Play when you bet £5 on Bet Builder

#Ad. 18+. UK/IRE mobile customers only. Min Odds of (2/1). Place a bet of £/€5 on any Bet Builder in the AC Milan v Liverpool match on 07/12/2021. Free Bet can be used on any in-play single for the same match. One qualifying bet per match (first bet placed). Free/void/cashed out bets won’t qualify. Free Bet will be credited after kick off and expires 7 days later. T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org