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Report: How Newcastle United’s Squad Value Could Reach £1.9 Billion

What do Amanda Staveley, Mehrdad Ghodoussi and the rest of the consortium have in store for Newcastle United?
What do Amanda Staveley, Mehrdad Ghodoussi and the rest of the consortium have in store for Newcastle United?

Like it or loathe it, call it Saudi Arabia or the Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, a new era for Newcastle United is upon us. A Newcastle United with £320,000,000,000 behind it. 

Read that again. 

Three. Hundred. And. Twenty. BILLION. Pounds.

Fourteen years of the despised Mike Ashley regime are now over in the north-east, and an exciting future seemingly now lies ahead. Newcastle United finished 12th in the 2020/21 season, exactly the same position that they finished in the 2007/2008 campaign, the first full season they were under the control of Mike Ashley. At the conclusion of that season, whilst finishing a modest 9th, Manchester City were about to embark on their own renaissance thanks to the riches of Sheikh Mansour and the Abu Dhabi United Group and prepare for five Premier League titles, two FA Cups, and six League Cups (we won’t mention the Champions League...) for the most successful age of the 140-year-old club’s history. The silverware speaks for itself, and the template is there for Newcastle United to follow.

In the 14 years of Mansour and the Abu Dhabi United Group, Manchester City’s squad value has increased by an incredible 674.417%, from a humble £125.20m mid-table outfit in 2007 to the £969.57m behemoth that dominates the top of the Premier League today. Their average player value has increased by £38.25m. Meanwhile, during this time Newcastle’s total squad value has increased by £99.16m (81.4641%), with the average player value by £5.14m.

Using Man City as the model Newcastle United are most likely to follow, with their obvious parallels, has predicted the Toon trajectory across the same period of time from 2021 across the next 14 years. By the end of the decade, Newcastle’s squad value should be teetering close to the £Billion mark, (estimated value: £957.17m). By 2032, we could be dissecting a £1,898.64m unit. Take a look at how City’s project has developed to reveal the stratospheric numbers Newcastle United could reach.


Manchester City Squad Value Since 2007

year total squad value average player value squad value increase in %
2007 £125.20m £3.91m - -
2008 £223.97m £6.22m £98.77m 78.8898%
2009 £282.06m £7.05m £58.09m 25.9365%
2010 £363.76m £10.39m £81.70m 28.9655%
2011 £448.74m £14.02m £84.98m 23.2616%
2012 £451.90m £13.29m £3.16m 0.704194%
2013 £412.48m £15.28m -£39.42m -8.72317%
2014 £407.03m £12.72m -£5.45m -1.32128%
2015 £449.42m £16.05m £42.39m 10.4145%
2016 £546.03m £13.00m £96.61m 21.4966%
2017 £908.10m £31.31m £362.07m 66.3095%
2018 £1,083.11m £29.27m £175.01m 19.2721%
2019 £943.81m £29.49m -£139.30m -12.8611%
2020 £940.05m £27.65m -£3.76m -0.398385%
2021 £969.57m £42.16m £29.52m 3.1406%

Total Increase: £844.37m

Percentage Increase: 674.417%

Average Player Value Increase: £38.25m

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year total squad value average player value squad value increase in %
2007 £121.71m £3.69m - -
2008 £121.10m £3.46m -£0.60m -0.501191%
2009 £68.47m £1.67m -£52.63m -43.46%
2010 £107.53m £3.26m £39.06m 57.0469%
2011 £145.53m £4.55m £38.00m 35.339%
2012 £181.58m £5.19m £36.05m 24.7715%
2013 £158.67m £4.96m -£22.91m -12.617%
2014 £126.00m £3.50m -£32.67m -20.5899%
2015 £178.20m £4.69m £52.20m 41.4286%
2016 £155.41m £3.79m -£22.79m -12.789%
2017 £187.45m £5.21m £32.04m 20.6164%
2018 £220.19m £6.48m £32.74m 17.466%
2019 £227.23m £6.68m £7.04m 3.19724%
2020 £229.82m £6.96m £2.59m 1.13981%
2021 £220.86m £8.83m -£8.96m -3.987%

Total Squad Value Increase: £99.16m

Percentage Increase: 81.4641%

Average Player Value Increase: £5.14m

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Potential Newcastle United Squad Value (based on Manchester City trajectory since 2007)

year potential percentage increase potential squad value
2021 - £220.86m
2022 78.8898% £395.10m
2023 25.9365% £497.57m
2024 28.9655% £641.69m
2025 23.3616% £791.60m
2026 0.704194% £792.16m
2027 -8.72317% £723.06m
2028 -1.32128% £713.51m
2029 10.4145% £787.81m
2030 21.4966% £957.17m
2031 66.3095% £1,591.86m
2032 19.2721% £1,898.64m
2033 -12.8611% £1,654.46m
2034 -0.398385% £1,647.87m
2035 3.14026 £1,699.61m
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