Report: How Newcastle United’s Squad Value Could Reach £1.9 Billion
Updated: 11:57 Wednesday 20th October 2021
What do Amanda Staveley, Mehrdad Ghodoussi and the rest of the consortium have in store for Newcastle United?
Like it or loathe it, call it Saudi Arabia or the Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, a new era for Newcastle United is upon us. A Newcastle United with £320,000,000,000 behind it.
Read that again.
Three. Hundred. And. Twenty. BILLION. Pounds.
Fourteen years of the despised Mike Ashley regime are now over in the north-east, and an exciting future seemingly now lies ahead. Newcastle United finished 12th in the 2020/21 season, exactly the same position that they finished in the 2007/2008 campaign, the first full season they were under the control of Mike Ashley. At the conclusion of that season, whilst finishing a modest 9th, Manchester City were about to embark on their own renaissance thanks to the riches of Sheikh Mansour and the Abu Dhabi United Group and prepare for five Premier League titles, two FA Cups, and six League Cups (we won’t mention the Champions League...) for the most successful age of the 140-year-old club’s history. The silverware speaks for itself, and the template is there for Newcastle United to follow.
In the 14 years of Mansour and the Abu Dhabi United Group, Manchester City’s squad value has increased by an incredible 674.417%, from a humble £125.20m mid-table outfit in 2007 to the £969.57m behemoth that dominates the top of the Premier League today. Their average player value has increased by £38.25m. Meanwhile, during this time Newcastle’s total squad value has increased by £99.16m (81.4641%), with the average player value by £5.14m.
Using Man City as the model Newcastle United are most likely to follow, with their obvious parallels, BettingOdds.com has predicted the Toon trajectory across the same period of time from 2021 across the next 14 years. By the end of the decade, Newcastle’s squad value should be teetering close to the £Billion mark, (estimated value: £957.17m). By 2032, we could be dissecting a £1,898.64m unit. Take a look at how City’s project has developed to reveal the stratospheric numbers Newcastle United could reach.
Manchester City Squad Value Since 2007
| year | total squad value | average player value | squad value increase | in % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | £125.20m | £3.91m | - | - |
| 2008 | £223.97m | £6.22m | £98.77m | 78.8898% |
| 2009 | £282.06m | £7.05m | £58.09m | 25.9365% |
| 2010 | £363.76m | £10.39m | £81.70m | 28.9655% |
| 2011 | £448.74m | £14.02m | £84.98m | 23.2616% |
| 2012 | £451.90m | £13.29m | £3.16m | 0.704194% |
| 2013 | £412.48m | £15.28m | -£39.42m | -8.72317% |
| 2014 | £407.03m | £12.72m | -£5.45m | -1.32128% |
| 2015 | £449.42m | £16.05m | £42.39m | 10.4145% |
| 2016 | £546.03m | £13.00m | £96.61m | 21.4966% |
| 2017 | £908.10m | £31.31m | £362.07m | 66.3095% |
| 2018 | £1,083.11m | £29.27m | £175.01m | 19.2721% |
| 2019 | £943.81m | £29.49m | -£139.30m | -12.8611% |
| 2020 | £940.05m | £27.65m | -£3.76m | -0.398385% |
| 2021 | £969.57m | £42.16m | £29.52m | 3.1406% |
Total Increase: £844.37m
Percentage Increase: 674.417%
Average Player Value Increase: £38.25m
| year | total squad value | average player value | squad value increase | in % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | £121.71m | £3.69m | - | - |
| 2008 | £121.10m | £3.46m | -£0.60m | -0.501191% |
| 2009 | £68.47m | £1.67m | -£52.63m | -43.46% |
| 2010 | £107.53m | £3.26m | £39.06m | 57.0469% |
| 2011 | £145.53m | £4.55m | £38.00m | 35.339% |
| 2012 | £181.58m | £5.19m | £36.05m | 24.7715% |
| 2013 | £158.67m | £4.96m | -£22.91m | -12.617% |
| 2014 | £126.00m | £3.50m | -£32.67m | -20.5899% |
| 2015 | £178.20m | £4.69m | £52.20m | 41.4286% |
| 2016 | £155.41m | £3.79m | -£22.79m | -12.789% |
| 2017 | £187.45m | £5.21m | £32.04m | 20.6164% |
| 2018 | £220.19m | £6.48m | £32.74m | 17.466% |
| 2019 | £227.23m | £6.68m | £7.04m | 3.19724% |
| 2020 | £229.82m | £6.96m | £2.59m | 1.13981% |
| 2021 | £220.86m | £8.83m | -£8.96m | -3.987% |
Total Squad Value Increase: £99.16m
Percentage Increase: 81.4641%
Average Player Value Increase: £5.14m
Potential Newcastle United Squad Value (based on Manchester City trajectory since 2007)
| year | potential percentage increase | potential squad value |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | - | £220.86m |
| 2022 | 78.8898% | £395.10m |
| 2023 | 25.9365% | £497.57m |
| 2024 | 28.9655% | £641.69m |
| 2025 | 23.3616% | £791.60m |
| 2026 | 0.704194% | £792.16m |
| 2027 | -8.72317% | £723.06m |
| 2028 | -1.32128% | £713.51m |
| 2029 | 10.4145% | £787.81m |
| 2030 | 21.4966% | £957.17m |
| 2031 | 66.3095% | £1,591.86m |
| 2032 | 19.2721% | £1,898.64m |
| 2033 | -12.8611% | £1,654.46m |
| 2034 | -0.398385% | £1,647.87m |
| 2035 | 3.14026 | £1,699.61m |
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