Play-Off Tips: The bet that's landed in six of Brentford's last seven games

Live on Sky Sports, Brentford host Bournemouth in the 2nd leg of the promotion playoff semifinals this Saturday at 12.30pm. Brentford were unbeaten in 12 league matches going into the first leg but were beaten 1-0 by Bournemouth who produced an impressive counter attacking performance.

However, this tie is still very much open and Brentford will be hoping to be a lot more ruthless in the final third in front of their own fans to qualify to make back to back play-off final appearances. A thrilling clash is on the cards and I have 3 bets for you as usual:

Team News:

Shandon Bapiste and John DaSilva are out for Brentford. Lewis Cook is out for Bournemouth while Junior Stanislas and Steve Cook are doubtful.

Brentford possible starting lineup:

Martin, Rasmussen, Jansson, Norgaard, Pinnock, Henry, Janelt, Jensen, Mbuemo, Forss, Toney

Bournemouth possible starting lineup:

Begovic, Smith, Mepham, Carter-Vickers, Kelly, Pearson, Lerma, Brooks, Billing, Groeneveld, Solanke

Neither team is expected to commit excessively in the first half. The first half ended 0-0 in the first leg with not many clear cut chances and the same will be expected again here. This bet has landed in 6 of Brentford’s last 7 league games and Bournemouth will be looking to keep it tight for as long as possible. This bet also landed in their league game a few weeks ago and at worst I would expect a refund here if there is 1 goal in the first half. Take Under 1.0 first half goal line @ 9/10 for our main bet for this game.

Brentford average 13.4 shots per game in the league but considering they are 1-0 down on aggregate, I expect them to come out aggressive and have a lot more efforts on Begovic’s goal. For them to get 16 shots or more will be our 2nd bet of the game with a 0.5pt stake @ 21/10.

Lerma is Bournemouth’s most booked player meanwhile Billing has received the 2nd most yellow cards for them. Pontus Jansson was booked in his last 2/2 meetings against Bournemouth including a sending off in the league game. With all these 3 players likely playing the full 90 minutes, this treble has a realistic chance of landing. I will have this as my longshot @ 33/1 with a very small stake of 0.25p