Leeds v Aston Villa Tips: Get behind Bielsa's boys on home turf

Live on Sky Sports, Leeds United host Aston Villa at 5.30pm this Saturday hoping to build on their 3-0 win against Southampton midweek. The big news yet again is going to be Jack Grealish’s absence as Aston Villa have not quite looked the same team without him in the line-up. They were lucky to get a point against Brighton proven by the xG figures of 2.43-0.14 in favour of Brighton and then losing 1-2 against Leicester City at home where they looked out-of-sorts and the margin of Leicester’s win could easily have been bigger.

Team News:

Kalvin Phillips and Rodrigo are out for Leeds while Mateusz Klich and Jamie Shackleton are doubtful.
Jack Grealish, Matty Cash and Kortney Hause are set to miss out for Aston Villa.

Leeds United possible starting lineup:

Meslier; Ayling, Llorente, Cooper, Alioski; Raphinha, Struijk, Dallas, Harrison; Roberts; Bamford

Aston Villa possible starting lineup:

Martinez; Elmohamady, Konsa, Mings, Targett; Luiz, McGinn; Traore, Barkley, El Ghazi; Watkins

• Full time result: Leeds United @ 2.20 - 1pt (William Hill)
• Tyler Roberts Anytime Assist (1+ assist) @ 5.00 – 0.5pt (Betfair/PaddyPower)
• Douglas Luiz carded @ 4.33 – 0.5pt (bet365)

Leeds have already beaten Aston Villa 3-0 earlier this season where Patrick Bamford scored a hat-trick. Villa are winless at Elland road in their last 6 attempts and Jack Grealish is going to be a big miss for the visitors. Back Leeds to get the job done at home and complete the double over Villa to leapfrog them in the table.

Tyler Roberts has been getting more game time recently because of injuries suffered by Leeds United but his versatility and ability to break between the lines has not gone unnoticed. He has provided 2 assists in his last 3 premier league appearances and odds of 5.00 look big for him to get another assist.

Douglas Luiz will be Villa’s most booked player in their starting XI vs Leeds and has received a yellow card in his last 3/3 premier league appearances. Considering we have a card-happy ref in Peter Bankes (avg. 4.13 pg) and the average odds on other bookmakers are around 3.30, there is value to be had on the 4.33 offered by bet365.