Leeds United vs. Manchester City Predictions: Best bets for Pep's trip to Elland Road

The race for the Premier League title is well and truly on with Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City narrowly ahead of Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool. The Citizens visit Leeds who are unbeaten in the last five and held the blue side of Manchester to a score draw in this fixture last season.

With just five games left this campaign maximum points is a must for Man City as they look to regain the Premier League title, Pep’s men have been the best performers on the road this season which has seen them win 75% of away trips. The hosts have walked away victorious at Elland Road just four times in 16 attempts.

t’s certainly very difficult to think of anything other than an away win here given the gulf in class between the sides but at a best price of 3/10 it’s something I will be avoiding personally. Backing against a whole load of goals could be dangerous given the teams involved however the statistics show that City away from home aren’t as goal crazy as some may think.

Across the visitors 16 matches on the road this season there has been an average of 2.38 goals per 90, they have conceded just eight times whilst scoring 30. From their 12 wins 11 of those have seen four or less goals in the match and is something I’m happy to combine alongside an away win, with a reasonable price of 4/5 on offer.

A bet builder approach is how I’m going to tackle a longer odds shot for this match with Bet 365 being the preferred bookmaker. A significant corner count has been a consistent theme for Man City this season, they have averaged 8.06 alone away from home which has seen them take six or more on 12 occasions. With plenty of technically gifted players on either side in attack in the likes of Riyad Mahrez and Phil Foden, it's easy to understand the high number of corners they amass.

Leeds’ opponents are more often than not booked after the break, 14 of the 16 teams who have played in West Yorkshire this season have been cautioned by the referee in the second half of matches. Paul Tierney has been appointed to officiate this encounter, he’s brandished 92 yellow cards across 23 games in the competition at an average of 4 yellow cards per game.

Heavily involving the visitors once again here in regards to shots, Pep’s side have accumulated exactly 18 per game on average whilst Jesse Marsch’s men allow over 14 when the hosts. The three previous matches between these clubs have seen City take 31, 29 and 23 attempts at goal.

• Manchester City 6+ Corners
• Manchester City 1+ Second Half Card
• Manchester City 19+ Shots

This bet builder pays 5/2 via Bet 365 and with the pressure being on the visitors to perform on Saturday evening I’m hopeful the favourable stats come in favour in a game where it should be largely dominated by the current league leaders.