Odds shown as:

Lazio v Roma Tips: Smalling to find the book in this intense Italian rivalry

Lazio v Roma Tips: Chris Smalling has been booked twice in his last three outings
Lazio v Roma Tips: Chris Smalling has been booked twice in his last three outings

Tonight we head to Italy for the eagerly anticipated Derby della Capitale as Lazio bout with bitter foe Roma. The hatred between both clubs usually fuel intense encounters that are not shy of cards therefore I have turned to this market and found two tempting selections at 5/1 and 77/1. 
The Bianscocelesti come into this fresh off the back of two victories and their attacking options have been bolstered by the return of Joaquin Correa. VIsitors Roma eagerly await an update on the availability of winger Pedro, however, it is unlikely the Spaniard will start here. This means that Lorenzo Pellegrini and Henrikh Mkhitaryan are expected to start behind Edin Dzeko. 

Lazio v Roma
Fri, 19:45
JimmyThePunt: Chris Smalling to be carded
  • Smalling has picked up 2 cards in his last 3 appearances
  • The Derby della Capitale’s last 6 H2H’s has seen an average of 6Y and 0.33R per game
  • Ref, Daniele Orsato has brandished an average of 5.67Y and 0.33R per game in Serie A this season
Odds correct as of 2021-01-15 09:25 Odds subject to change.

Some games just lend themselves to certain markets and this Italian match-up throws itself at the mercy of cards. The last six head to heads have seen a total of 36Y and 2R and referee Daniele Orsato has averaged exactly six cards per game domestically this season, making the perfect concoction of circumstances for a few to be brandished at the Stadio Olimpico this evening.
My selection comes courtesy of ex-Manchester United centre back Chris Smalling. In his last three appearances he has had his name taken twice. Tonight, he will most likely be opposing Immobile, who has drawn an average of 1.5 fouls per game, and Correa, Lazio’s most fouled player drawing 2.4 per game. 
Bet365’s price of 5/1 makes him the joint longest price for an outfielder to go into the book. Elsewhere, Smalling is as short as 11/4! 
Given that Smalling has averaged a card every 0.10 games in Serie A, you could make a case that this price does not represent value. However, given his recent record, the short fuse of the referee and Derby della Capitale’s tendency to involve a lot of cards, I think 5/1 is certainly worth a punt! 

Football betting
JimmyThePunt: Smalling, Dzeko and Sergej Milinkovic-Savic all to be carded
  • Dzeko has picked up three cards in his last four apps vs Lazio
  • Smalling has been booked twice in his last three outings
  • Sergej Milinkovic-Savic is also a serial offender with two cards in his last three appearances and averages 1.4 fouls pG this season
Odds correct as of 2021-01-15 09:25 Odds subject to change.

Given this fixture's reputation for cards, I have combined a Smalling card with Edin Dzeko and Sergej Milinkovic-Savic to join him in the book at odds of 77/1 with bet365.

In his last four appearances in this fixture, Dzeko has picked up three cards. Sergej Milinkovic-Savic is also a serial offender with two cards in his last three appearances. The Serbian midfielder has also averaged 1.4 fouls per game this season.

Good luck to anyone following these tips and please remember to gamble responsibly.

Free betting offers
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets (APP Only)
#AD New UK, IE & Malta users only. Min. £10/€10 first deposit only using Debit Card or Trustly. Free bets expire in 90 days. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £60 in Bonuses
#AD New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
100% Up To £50 Welcome Bonus + 25 Spins
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org; New bettors get 100% of deposit up to £50; Once per household; Min deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller); Wager a total of 8 times deposit + bonus, with max qualifying bet stake equal to your initial bonus amount; Bonus expires after 60 days; Min odds of 4/5 on singles, or 2/5 per leg for acca; Some bet types excluded; Free spins validity: 7 days; Free spins max. winnings = £100; See full terms; Terms apply.
Bet £10 & Get £30 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD Promo code: 30FB • Min deposit £10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days • Free Bet stakes not included in returns • Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days and expires after 14 days • To withdraw any winnings from the Casino Bonus, wager the Bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & Full T&Cs apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins on Big Bass Bonanza, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD Place a min £10 bet on the Sportsbook on odds of min 1/2 (1.5), get £30 in Free Bets. Rewards valid for 30 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly
Get £35 In Free Bets
#AD Place a qualifying £25 fixed odds bet at odds of 1/2 or greater. Qualifying bet cannot be placed in-play or cashed out early. A first free £5 fixed odds bet will be credited upon settlement of the qualifying bet. 4 x following £5 free fixed odds bets will be added to your account on consecutive days. T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org