Odds shown as:

Lazio v Roma Tips: Smalling to find the book in this intense Italian rivalry

Lazio v Roma Tips: Chris Smalling has been booked twice in his last three outings
Lazio v Roma Tips: Chris Smalling has been booked twice in his last three outings

Tonight we head to Italy for the eagerly anticipated Derby della Capitale as Lazio bout with bitter foe Roma. The hatred between both clubs usually fuel intense encounters that are not shy of cards therefore I have turned to this market and found two tempting selections at 5/1 and 77/1. 
 
The Bianscocelesti come into this fresh off the back of two victories and their attacking options have been bolstered by the return of Joaquin Correa. VIsitors Roma eagerly await an update on the availability of winger Pedro, however, it is unlikely the Spaniard will start here. This means that Lorenzo Pellegrini and Henrikh Mkhitaryan are expected to start behind Edin Dzeko. 

Lazio v Roma
Fri, 19:45
JimmyThePunt: Chris Smalling to be carded
5/1
  • Smalling has picked up 2 cards in his last 3 appearances
  • The Derby della Capitale’s last 6 H2H’s has seen an average of 6Y and 0.33R per game
  • Ref, Daniele Orsato has brandished an average of 5.67Y and 0.33R per game in Serie A this season
Odds correct as of 2021-01-15 09:25 Odds subject to change.

Some games just lend themselves to certain markets and this Italian match-up throws itself at the mercy of cards. The last six head to heads have seen a total of 36Y and 2R and referee Daniele Orsato has averaged exactly six cards per game domestically this season, making the perfect concoction of circumstances for a few to be brandished at the Stadio Olimpico this evening.
 
My selection comes courtesy of ex-Manchester United centre back Chris Smalling. In his last three appearances he has had his name taken twice. Tonight, he will most likely be opposing Immobile, who has drawn an average of 1.5 fouls per game, and Correa, Lazio’s most fouled player drawing 2.4 per game. 
 
Bet365’s price of 5/1 makes him the joint longest price for an outfielder to go into the book. Elsewhere, Smalling is as short as 11/4! 
 
Given that Smalling has averaged a card every 0.10 games in Serie A, you could make a case that this price does not represent value. However, given his recent record, the short fuse of the referee and Derby della Capitale’s tendency to involve a lot of cards, I think 5/1 is certainly worth a punt! 

Football betting
JimmyThePunt: Smalling, Dzeko and Sergej Milinkovic-Savic all to be carded
80/1
  • Dzeko has picked up three cards in his last four apps vs Lazio
  • Smalling has been booked twice in his last three outings
  • Sergej Milinkovic-Savic is also a serial offender with two cards in his last three appearances and averages 1.4 fouls pG this season
Odds correct as of 2021-01-15 09:25 Odds subject to change.

Given this fixture's reputation for cards, I have combined a Smalling card with Edin Dzeko and Sergej Milinkovic-Savic to join him in the book at odds of 77/1 with bet365.

In his last four appearances in this fixture, Dzeko has picked up three cards. Sergej Milinkovic-Savic is also a serial offender with two cards in his last three appearances. The Serbian midfielder has also averaged 1.4 fouls per game this season.

Good luck to anyone following these tips and please remember to gamble responsibly.

Free betting offers
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Money Back As CASH Up To £20 (APP Only)
#AD New customers only. Deposit £20 using card or Trustly. Up to your first £20 of losses will be refunded as CASH within 24 hours of qualifying bet having been settled. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Open Account Offer. Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code ‘100BET365’ can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. 18+ begambleaware.org.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 On Football & Get £40 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD £/€10 deposit using promo code "10FREE" - Minimum stake £/€10 at odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager the bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days - Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & full T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 + 30 Free Spins
#AD New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 30 Free Spins on Blue Wizard at £0.10 per spin. 7-day expiry. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Get Up To £100 In Free Bets
#AD New customer offer. Place 5 x £10 or more bets to receive £20 in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD. New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from acceptance (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. 18+
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply

Bet £10 On Football & Get £50 In Free Bets

#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. Place a pre-match £10 bet on any Football market between 2nd December and 24th December, at min. odds 1/2 (1.5) — get a total of £50 in free bets, £30 on bet settlement and an additional £20 the following day. Your qualifying bet must settle by Friday 23:59, 24th December. Only deposits via Cards will qualify (Apple Pay deposit excluded). T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. 18+ begambleaware.org

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins

#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.

AC Milan v Liverpool Bet £10 & Get £20 + a £5 Free bet in Play when you bet £5 on Bet Builder

#Ad. 18+. UK/IRE mobile customers only. Min Odds of (2/1). Place a bet of £/€5 on any Bet Builder in the AC Milan v Liverpool match on 07/12/2021. Free Bet can be used on any in-play single for the same match. One qualifying bet per match (first bet placed). Free/void/cashed out bets won’t qualify. Free Bet will be credited after kick off and expires 7 days later. T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org