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Chelsea vs. Bournemouth Betting Tips: Two data-driven plays from Stamford Bridge

Chelsea Vs Bournemouth Tips

Chelsea welcome Bournemouth to Stamford Bridge on Tuesday and our man Scott Thornton is on hand to preview the action and provide us with his best bets. 

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Chelsea vs Bournemouth Odds

Pressure began to mount on Graham Potter before the World Cup break. The talented English coach hasn’t been in the hot seat at Stamford Bridge for long but Chelsea are hardly known for their patience when it comes to managers. 

It’s an approach that has served them well in recent years. They have been one of the most successful teams in the country over the last two decades. Todd Boehly looks as though he might take a similar approach after sacking Tuchel so quickly.

Bournemouth won their last league game against Everton. The Cherries are 3 points clear of the relegation zone and have made good progress since their nightmare start to the season.

Gary O’Neil was given an 18 month contract at the end of November, putting an end to the talk of Marcelo Bielsa taking over. Bournemouth were unbeaten in their first 6 matches under their new manager. However, they have won just 1 of their last 5 league games and will need to put together another run of good form to avoid being dragged back into the bottom 3.

Chelsea vs Bournemouth 

Premier League Odds
Jorginho Over 68.5 Passes & Over 36.5 Throws In The Match
4/5
Odds correct as of 2022-12-23 14:45 Odds subject to change.

Chelsea have been unable to dominate the ball in their last 4 league matches, against Man United, Brighton, Arsenal and Newcastle but they should have the lion share of possession here. Bournemouth are averaging just 38% possession in the league this season. They also allow the most passes in the league before making a defensive action.

Jorginho made 88 passes the last time Chelsea saw more than 60% of the ball and he is set to start at the heart of the midfield and he should rack up the passes. The Italian will be afforded a lot of space to pull the strings. He is averaging 60.5 passes per 90 minutes in the league this season but he should have more against a side that is so reluctant to press.

There have been 37 throws or more in all except 1 of Graham Potter’s league matches in charge of Chelsea. The game against Arsenal saw just 33 throws.

Bournemouth’s match at Stamford Bridge the last time they were in the top-flight saw 46 throws. The Cherries’ away matches this season in the league are averaging 39.14 throws per game. They will have to be direct if they want to get past the Chelsea press and this should lead to more throws.

Chelsea vs Bournemouth Odds
Jorginho Over 78.5 Passes & Over 41.5 Throws In The Match
11/2
Odds correct as of 2022-12-23 14:45 Odds subject to change.

There have been 42 throws or more in 4 of Bournemouth’s 7 away matches this season and there has also been over 42 throws in 2 of Potter’s 3 home games in charge.

Jorginho is known for his passing range and he likes to dictate the play from deep. Goals haven’t been in abundance for Chelsea of late and the Italians skillset could prove to be key in unlocking the opposition defence. 

Jorginho broke a Premier League record for most passes in a game in 2018 with 180 passes (this has since been broken). He is very capable of racking up the passes when given the time and space.

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