Odds shown as:

Championship final day permutations; there is still everything to play for in the second-tier

This is certainly the craziest end to a Championship campaign in recent history
This is certainly the craziest end to a Championship campaign in recent history

It’s the final day of the Championship season this Wednesday, and while Leeds United may have claimed the trophy at the top of the division, the Whites’ promotion to the top-flight is currently the only nailed on certainty in a league which could still go a number of ways depending on how the final round of fixtures pan out. 

Here, we dissect the various different permutations and assess which clubs are still in contention to go up, and which could face relegation to League One. 

Automatic promotion

With Leeds now confirmed as members of the 2020-21 Premier League, the battle for the second automatic promotion spot is being fiercely contested between three teams - West Brom in second, Brentford in third and Fulham in fourth. 

West Brom are still in the driving seat and if they beat QPR - who have nothing to play for - at the Hawthorns in their final game then they will be promoted, regardless of results elsewhere. 

Championship match odds

However, if they fail to beat QPR and Brentford beat relegation-threatened Barnsley in their final match then it will be the Bees who join Leeds in the top-flight next season. 

If Brentford draw with Barnsley and West Brom lose to QPR, then Brentford will be promoted thanks to a far superior goal difference, but if they both draw then it’ll be the Baggies who go up automatically by a single point.

The only way that Fulham can obtain automatic promotion is if they beat Wigan, Brentford drop points against Barnsley and West Brom lose, which seems highly unlikely. 

Automatic Promotion Odds

Odds correct as of 2022-08-18 08:20 Odds subject to change.

With Fulham’s hopes of automatic promotion looking slim, it’s most likely that the Cottagers will have to settle for a spot in the play-offs. 

Indeed, Scott Parker’s side (and either Brentford or West Brom) are the only teams completely guaranteed a spot in the top-six, with just three points separating fifth-place Nottingham Forest and seventh-place Swansea heading into the season’s finale. 

The only way that Swansea can break into the top-six is if Welsh rivals Cardiff lose their final game and The Swans beat Reading away from home, or if Cardiff avoid defeat BUT Nottingham Forest lose their final game at home to Stoke by three goals or more, and Swansea win theirs by a three-goal margin, which again seems very unlikely but is still a slight possibility. 

To recap, both Cardiff and Forest just need a draw to secure their play-off status but if Cardiff lose and Swansea win, Steve Cooper’s side will finish sixth and Cardiff will be faced with another season in the second-tier. 

Top-six finish odds

Odds correct as of 2022-08-19 10:09 Odds subject to change.


Here’s where it gets really interesting (and complicated). 24th-placed Hull are essentially already down, with their only realistic hopes of survival relying on a 12-point deduction being handed to Wigan for entering administration - something which still hangs firmly in the balance at this moment in time. 

They could still stay up, but a footballing miracle will be required. Hull would have to record a massive win over play-off chasers Cardiff, hope Barnsley don’t beat Brentford, and Charlton and Luton would both have to lose by big margins for them to avoid relegation to the third-tier. It’s pretty safe to assume that they are down.

Assuming that Wigan are awarded their hefty points penalty next season instead of this one, and that the three sides relegated from the Championship are done so purely on footballing merit, the battle for the drop is realistically between Middlesbrough, Birmingham, Charlton, Luton and Barnsley.

The only way Barnsley can stay up is if they beat Brentford away from home (tall order), and results elsewhere work in their favour. If Charlton and Luton both record positive results, though, then the South Yorkshiremen are down. 

Today's football tips

Charlton face a tough trip to champions Leeds, but the fact that Marcelo Bielsa’s side have already won the division and will already be ‘on the beach’ could massively work in their favour and boost their chances of getting a result. 

Luton, meanwhile, host a Blackburn side who also have nothing to play for so could well come out on top. 

Middlesbrough in 19th and Birmingham in 20th could still mathematically go down if results work against them and they fail to register at least a point in their respective final matches against Sheffield Wednesday and Derby, while 18th-place Huddersfield have been saved by the skin of their teeth thanks to a superior goal difference, effectively rendering their final match against Millwall a dead rubber. 

Possible points deductions

As briefly touched on earlier, there is still a lot of uncertainty surrounding points penalties for both Wigan and Sheffield Wednesday.

Any side who enter administration are awarded a significant 12-point deduction by the EFL, which would see the Latics drop into the bottom-three despite the fact that they are currently sat safely in 13th-place.

The EFL released a statement on Monday night, in it stating that Wigan would be awarded the aforementioned points deduction after their final game against Fulham on Wednesday evening.

"In the case of Wigan Athletic the 12-point sporting sanction, as a result of the club entering administration, will apply immediately following the end of the game against Fulham but is subject to appeal."

However, with Wigan set to appeal the decision it is likely that such a penalty will be imposed at the start of the 2020-21 season as opposed to now. 

Sheffield Wednesday have been charged with financial misconduct relating to an accused breach of the EFL's profit and sustainability rules which, if found guilty, could see them deducted a maximum of 21 points. 

Due to the length of the appeals process it is probable that, like Wigan, the Owls' points penalty would be applied next season - if at all - making them safe from the drop this week.

If it does come in affect for this term, though, it would mean that Sheffield Wednesday would be relegated to League One.

Due to all of the complications mentioned above, bookmakers are currently not offering any odds on Championship relegation betting.

Bookmaker offers
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets (APP Only)
#AD New UK, IE & Malta customers only. 18+. Min £10/€10 first deposit using Debit Card or Trustly. Place a bet of £10 at min odds of 1.5. Free bets expire in 90 days. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £60 in Bonuses
#AD New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
100% Up To £50 Welcome Bonus + 25 Spins
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org; New bettors get 100% of deposit up to £50; Once per household; Min deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller); Wager a total of 8 times deposit + bonus, with max qualifying bet stake equal to your initial bonus amount; Bonus expires after 60 days; Min odds of 4/5 on singles, or 2/5 per leg for acca; Some bet types excluded; Free spins validity: 7 days; Free spins max. winnings = £100; See full terms; Terms apply.
Bet £10 & Get £30 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD Promo code: 30FB • Min deposit £10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days • Free Bet stakes not included in returns • Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days and expires after 14 days • To withdraw any winnings from the Casino Bonus, wager the Bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & Full T&Cs apply. 18+ & Begambleaware
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins on Big Bass Bonanza, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD Place a min £10 bet on the Sportsbook on odds of min 1/2 (1.5), get £30 in Free Bets. Rewards valid for 30 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly
£40 In Bonuses
#AD Place a qualifying £25 fixed odds bet at odds of 1/2 or greater. Qualifying bet cannot be placed in-play or cashed out early. A first free £5 fixed odds bet will be credited upon settlement of the qualifying bet. 4 x following £5 free fixed odds bets will be added to your account on consecutive days. Free bets and spins must be claimed within 28 days of opening. Free bet/spin stake not included in any winnings. Ts&Cs Apply. 18+ begambleaware.org