This website uses cookies
Cookies help us and our partners provide statistics. By browsing this website, you consent to the use of cookies in accordance with our Cookies Policy.
Accept & Close
Football
Football Odds Premier League Championship FA Cup Champions League Europa League Transfer Odds Leagues & Cups
Football Tips
Football Tips Football Acca Tips
Sack Race
Sack Race Odds Next PL Manager To Leave Next Leeds Manager Next Tottenham Manager Teams Managers Casualties Appointments Job Centre
Specials
TV Specials Britain's Got Talent Strictly Come Dancing Politics
Sports
Sports Boxing Cricket Darts F1 Golf Racing Rugby L Rugby U Snooker Tennis French Open UFC
Betting Sites
Betting Sites Free Bets PayPal Betting Fast Withdrawal Bookmaker Reviews New Betting Sites
News
Betting News Betting Guides
Calculator
  • twitter
  • youtube
  • instagram
  • About Us
  • Authors
  • Contact Us
  • Betting Sites
  • New Bookmakers
  • Free Bets
  • Responsible Gambling
  • Privacy Policy
  • Cookie Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Free Bets Disclaimer
  • USA Betting Odds
FootballFootball TipsSack RaceSpecialsSportsBetting SitesNewsCalculator
NEW
Free Bets
Betting News Betting Guides

Champions League Tips: Back the big guns to bring their firepower

By JimmyThePunt
Posted: 20:38 Monday 7th December 2020
Ronaldo features in our Champions League tips.
Ronaldo features in our Champions League tips.

There are some huge fixtures this week in the Champions League's final group stage games. I've scoured tomorrow nights action and have explained my favourite fancies priced at 7/2 and 73/1 below.

Tuesday nights UCL action in Group H pits two of the greatest players in existence against one and other at the Camp Nou so expect a show! As we know from their time playing in La Liga together a bout between Messi and Ronaldo's clubs usually means the supremo's perform with a vengeance. Therefore, I'm keen to get the pair onside in the shots on target market and Betfair's boost presents us with a valuable opportunity.

Barcelona are the bookies favourites to win this, however, Juventus have won 43% of their games when priced at 23/10 despite the odds given them an implied probability of victory at just 30%.

My longshot comes via Rome as Lazio welcome Group F rivals Club Brugge to the Stadio Olimpico. It's an excitingly poised fixture; Club Brugge simply must win whilst hosts Lazio need a point but victory could see them top the group if Dortmund don't win at Zenit. Goals are very much in the ascendency in Italy!

  • Ronaldo & Messi  2 or more shots on target each at odds of 7/2 with Betfair
  • Rabiot Booking at odds of 7/2 with William Hill
  • Dennis, Fares and Alberto to be booked at odds of 73/1 with Paddy Power.
Today's football tips
Tue, 20:00
Barcelona v Juventus
JimmyThePunt: Ronaldo & Messi 2 or more shots on target
7/2
  • Messi has registered at least two SoT in 8/13 apps this season. 
  • Ronaldo has registered at least two SoT is 7/9.
  • They have both accounted for just under a third of their sides shots in games they have featured in! 
Odds correct as of 2020-12-07 20:15 Odds subject to change.

Cristiano Ronaldo missed the reverse fixture and his Juventus side succumbed to a shock 2-0 defeat, so I expect the Portuguese all time top goalscorer too be seeking vindication here. Unsurprisingly, Ronaldo tops the Old Lady's shot averages and only Zlatan Ibrahimovic has a higher shots per game than him in Serie A.

Ronaldo's shooting statistics are simply frighting... In competitive fixtures this season for club and country (Serie A, UCL and the Nations League) he has had a total of 59 shots in 13 appearances! He has had a total of 17 shots on target with two or more landing in seven of his nine appearances in Serie A and the Champions League! Perhaps the most staggering statistic, however, is that in the games he has featured in, he has being responsible for just under 1/3 of Juventus' shots and scored 47% of their league goals. Obviously, he'll be on shooting set piece and penalty duty as well tomorrow.

By Lionel Messi's standards, we haven't see him hit the goalscoring form that we're used too but he is still shooting just as much. He has a domestic SpG of 4.9 which is one more than La Liga's second greatest average (Luis Suarez with 3.9).

In 13 La Liga and UCL appearances he has attempted 66 shots- 15 in his last two games- which accounts 32% of Barcelona's total shots in those games. He's had a total of 34 SoT with two or more landing in seven of his last nine appearances and eight of his 13 this season (in La Liga or the UCL). Unbelievably, 53/66 (80%) have being goal-bound (on target or blocked)!

Ronaldo and Messi to each have two shots on target is 7/2 with Betfair, Ladbrokes have it at 2/1 and William Hill have priced it at evens! This does rank Betfair's boost the best price by some distance but it does not mean it is a dead cert... The main issue being that with this been somewhat a dead rubber contest both of the big gun's may be rested so I would advise anyone to wait until the teams are confirmed before backing this. 

Champions League betting
JimmyThePunt: Rabiot to be booked
7/2
  • Rabiot has been carded 6 times in 14 appearances this season.
  • 7/2 with William Hill but only 2/1 elsewhere.
  • He was booked in the reverse fixture. 
Odds correct as of 2020-12-07 20:20 Odds subject to change.

Adrien Rabiot has averaged two fouls per game in the Champions League (first for Juve) and 1.4 in Serie A (third), accumulating five yellows and one red card in 14 appearances for Juventus this season. Tomorrow's game- line-ups permitting- will likely see him oppose Lionel Messi, he was tasked with this in the reverse fixture and had his name taken. I fancy history to repeat itself tomorrow in Spain.

Elsewhere, this bet is as short as 2/1 but at William Hill's price of 7/2 the implied probability of this landing is 22.2%. However, this season he has being booked in 35.7% of his games! 

Tue, 17:55
Lazio v Club Bruges
JimmyThePunt: Dennis, Fares and Alberto to Be Booked
73/1
  • Dennis has 2/4 in the UCL.
  • Feres has been booked in 2/2 of his last Serie A games.
  • Luis Alberto has been carded in 25% of his apps this season.
Odds correct as of 2020-12-07 20:20 Odds subject to change.

The visitors talisman, Emmanuel Dennis, has had his name taken in four of the ten games he has started, that's half of his UCL appearances! It is also worth noting he has committed the most fouls per game (2.8) for Club Brugge during their European campaign this season.

For Lazio, Mohamed Feres is amongst the front runners in terms of cards, fouls and tackles per game. He has been booked in both of his last two domestic appearances and with a total of four cards in all competitions only Akpa Akrpo has more yellows then him. Luis Alberto is one of the longest priced players for a card tomorrow. This season in the UCL he has averaged 2.7 tackles per game and picked up three yellows in 12 appearances. Usually in the thick of it he'll have his work cut out tomorrow against a pacey, tricky Brugge side.

As always with these long-shots, keep stake sensible and fun.

Free betting offers

Related Articles

30th May 2023

Sevilla vs. Roma Betting Tips: Best bets for the Europa League Final

By Tipster Wizard
30th May 2023

Sevilla vs. Roma Bet Builder Tips: Back Brazilian duo to be carded in Europa League Final

By Anthony Eadson
30th May 2023

Harry Kane Next Club Odds: Man Utd odds-on to sign England captain

By Steven McQuillan
30th May 2023

Next Crystal Palace Manager Odds: Roy Hodgson, Brendan Rodgers and Graham Potter all linked

By Jack Kitson
29th May 2023

Four options to lead Leeds in the Championship

By Jack Kitson
29th May 2023

Four candidates to replace Russell Martin at Swansea

By Gabriel Sutton
26th May 2023

Leeds vs. Tottenham Betting Tips: King Kane to bag 29th of the season at Elland Road

By Dean Woodward
26th May 2023

Coventry vs. Luton Betting Tips: Best bets for the Championship Play-Off Final

By Tipster Wizard
26th May 2023

Mason Mount Next Club Odds: Man Utd the new favourites to sign Chelsea midfielder

By Steven McQuillan
26th May 2023

Barnsley vs. Sheffield Wednesday Tips: Palmer to be carded for the seventh time in eight matches

By Anthony Eadson
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Bet £10 Get £20 + £10 Casino Bonus
#AD New UK customers (Excluding NI) mobile only. £30 in FREE Bets (FB) as £20 in sports bets & a £10 casino bonus (CB). Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. FB applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. FB 7 day expiry. 1 FB offer per customer, household & IP address only. Payment restrictions. 14 days to accept £10 CB, then active for 3 days. CB 5x wagering & max redeemable £100. Game restrictions apply. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. 30 days to qualify. 18+. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 get £20 in Free Bets
#AD 18+ New members only. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from crediting (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. T&Cs apply, BeGambleAware.org
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD. *New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of each-way bets only. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from acceptance (ex. each-way & multiple bets), stakes not returned. **Max Free Bet £10. Bet must be placed within 48hrs of 1st race each day - 1st cash bet on the 1st race each day of Cheltenham Festival (main market, ex antepost & specials). Win part e/w bet. Selection must lose. Free Bet: non-withdrawable, use in 7 days on sportsbook only. Stake not returned. Full T&C's apply. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. 18+
Money Back As A Bonus Up To £40 If Your First Bet Loses + £10 casino
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org. New customers only. Min deposit £10. Money back as bonus if first sports bet loses. Wagering requirements: sportsbook 3x at min. odds of 1.40 (2/5), casino 50x. Unless forfeited the sportsbook bonus must be wagered before using the casino bonus. Bonus expires 7 days after opt-in. Visit Unibet.co.uk for full T&C's.
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. From 00:01 on 18.10.2022. £30 bonus, credited as 3x £10 bets. New customers only. Minimum £10 stake on odds of 1/2 (1.5) or greater on sportsbook (excluding Virtual markets). Further terms apply.
Bet £10 & Get up to £30 In Free Bet Builders
#AD New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on the Sportsbook on odds of min 1/2 (1.5), get £10 in Free Bet Builders. Rewards valid for 30 days. Repeat up to 3 times (max £30 in free bets). Only deposits via cards will qualify. Please Gamble Responsibly. T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get it Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any market at odds of min 2.0 (EVS) and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.. Please Gamble Responsibly.
Welcome Offer
#AD Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Bet £5 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £5 at odds 1/1 or greater within 7 days of registering, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 1/1+. 7 day bonus expiry. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, begambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly
Bet £10 Get £40 in Bonuses
New 18+ UK customers only. Register using the promo code WELCOME40, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets and £10 in Free Spins (50x20p) credited within 10 hours of bet settlement. Free Bet stakes are not included in any returns. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
Double the odds, any sport, any bet, any odds!
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org Only valid for new registrations to Grosvenor Existing members do not qualify, Bet must be placed using real money in combination with the Odds Boost Token, Offer applies to Sport bets only. Max stake is £10. Each way bets are a maximum of £5 each way (£10 total). Customers have 60 days after registration to use the Odds Boost token. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10, Get £20 in Free Bets
#AD 18+, New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 on any sports (odds 2.00+) in 7 days. No cash out. Get 4x£5 sports free bets for set markets (odds 2.00+), which expire in 7 days. Offer is valid from 10:00 UK time on 16/01/2023. Card payments only. T&Cs Apply. begambleaware.org | Please Gamble Responsibly
£30 Matched Free Bet if Your First Acca Loses + 50 Bonus Spins
#AD 18+ New UK customers only. Min Deposit: £5. Maximum Free Bet: £30. First bet on a Football or Horse Racing multiple with 3+ selections. Overall odds: 3.00 (2/1) or higher. Free Bets available upon settlement of the qualifying bet. This is offer is valid for 7 days from your new account being registered. 50 Bonus Spins credited on placement of qualifying Acca bet.50x bonus wagering applies as do weighting requirements, bonus Spins only available on selected games and expires 7 days after being awarded. Debit card deposits only (exclusions apply). 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Bet The Responsible Way. Full terms apply
Bet £25 get £50 In Bonuses
#AD Place a qualifying £25 fixed odds bet at odds of 1/2 or greater and get £50 in bonuses 5 x £5 free fixed odds bets, 4 x free £5 spread bets + 50 free spins on Starburst. Qualifying bet cannot be placed in-play or cashed out early. T&Cs Apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets (APP Only)
#AD New UK, IE & Malta customers only. Min £10/€10 first deposit using a Debit Card. Place a bet of £10 at min odds of 1.5 and get £10. A further £10 credited after 7 days and a further £10 credited after 14 days. 18+. BeGambleAware.org, T&Cs apply.
£35 Free Bet + 10 Free Spins
#AD If your account has Sportsbook losses at the end of your first day's betting, QuinnBet will refund 50% of your losses as a Free Bet up to £35 (min 3 bets) Plus 10 Free Spins. Even if your account is up, you're guaranteed a £5 Free Bet Plus 10 Free Spins provided you place at least 1 bet of £10 or greater at the minimum odds. T&Cs apply | 18+ New UK Customers Only | BeGambleAware.org
100% Profit Boost up to £100 (Mobile Only)
#AD New UK customers only. Claim by placing a min deposit £10 via "My Offers" page within 30 days. Skrill/Neteller deposits excluded. 7 days to stake max £10 in-play. Max. extra winnings £100.T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 get £15
#AD New customers only. 18+ begambleaware.org 1st Deposit, Min Deposit: £10, max £15 bonus, valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at a min. odds of 1/1 (2.00) or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement.T&C's apply.
Bet £10 get £10
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org, Welcome Bonus: This offer is for new customers only and is available once per household. Max. FreeBet amount: £10 Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is: £10 void/cancelled or cashed out bets do not count towards wagering to activate the free bet. Offer valid only to customers making a first deposit of £10 or more. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 get £20
#AD New customers only, welcome bonus: 1st deposit, min deposit: £10, max £20 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. system bets are not eligible. Neteller, Skrill, and PayPal are not eligible. , 18+ begambleaware.org
50% Up To £50 Welcome Bonus
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org; New bettors get 50% of deposit up to £50; Once per household; Min deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller); Wager a total of 8 times deposit + bonus, with max qualifying bet stake equal to your initial bonus amount; Bonus expires after 60 days; Min odds of 4/5 on singles, or 2/5 per leg for acca; Some bet types excluded; See full terms.
gamcare logo 18 plus icon be gamble aware logo gambling therapy logo raig logo

BettingOdds.com is committed to supporting Reponsible Gambling Initiatives - For additional information visit : GamCare | BeGambleAware | Gamblers Anonymous

Content on BettingOdds.com is not intended for anybody under 18 years of age.

  • About Us
  • Authors
  • Contact Us
  • Betting Sites
  • New Bookmakers
  • Free Bets
  • Responsible Gambling
  • Privacy Policy
  • Cookie Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Free Bets Disclaimer
  • USA Betting Odds
twitter youtube instagram

* Odds are updated regularly using our bookmaker partners feeds but all are subject to change. Please click through to the bookmaker to view the very latest odds.

All original material is Copyright © 2023 by BettingOdds.com. Other material is copyright their respective owners.

Bet £10 Get £20 + £10 Casino Bonus
#AD New UK customers (Excluding NI) mobile only. £30 in FREE Bets (FB) as £20 in sports bets & a £10 casino bonus (CB). Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. FB applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. FB 7 day expiry. 1 FB offer per customer, household & IP address only. Payment restrictions. 14 days to accept £10 CB, then active for 3 days. CB 5x wagering & max redeemable £100. Game restrictions apply. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. 30 days to qualify. 18+. T&Cs apply
get offer