Bristol City vs Southampton Prediction and Betting Tips: Adam Armstrong leads a 28/1 double
Posted: 16:28 Monday 12th February 2024
A midweek Championship slate is headlined on Tuesday by a duel between Bristol City and automatic promotion candidates Southampton at Ashton Gate.
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Consistency has been the Achilles heel of Bristol City, who are 12 points above the relegation places and six away from the play-offs. Last weekend's 2-1 victory over fellow mid-table side Middlesbrough helped break a six-game winless streak in the Championship, ongoing since their 4-1 slating of Watford on Boxing Day.
2nd by a point and still holding a game in hand, Southampton recorded a fourth straight league win in Saturday's 5-3 win over Huddersfield and have asserted themselves in pole position to follow Leicester City to the Premier League via the automatic promotion places.
Bristol City vs Southampton Tips
Southampton To Win, Southampton Most Corners & Most Cards
Saints have won four matches on the spin and remain unbeaten in 25 games since a 2-1 defeat to Middlesbrough in September. Compare that to Bristol City, who just ended a six-game winless streak and have lost two of their last three at home. With Southampton winning seven away from home this campaign, including three of the last four, we're happy to side with the superior team to do the business at Ashton Gate.
Southampton have won the corner count in 10 of 15 Championship away fixtures this term, topping the league's average corners for chart with 7.5 - a far cry from the lowly 5.1 Bristol City are mustering on average per game. In the pair's earlier meeting last year, Saints managed six to Bristol City's three.
Finally, Saints are the division's third-worst disciplined side, behind only Stoke and Sheffield Wednesday for the most cards accrued (75), while the Robins's tally of 45 is only one more than Leeds United who are the Championship's least violent entity. Liam Manning's men have picked up just seven cautions in their last eight matches, receiving one booking to Saints' three in this season's first head-to-head.
Adam Armstrong To Score & Be Carded
At a whopping 28/1 we're backing Adam Armstrong to find the net and the referee's book in Tuesday's televised Championship game.
The 27-year-old has almost double the number of goals of any Southampton or Bristol City player with 15 in 30 matches and three in his last four. Only Samuel Szmodics and Morgan Whittaker have outscored him in this league, with almost half of his efforts (84) hitting the target (40).
Across these 30 league outings, Armstrong has found himself carded five times, giving appeal to the 10/1 available with Sky Bet for him to be shown a yellow in this match. The double has dropped three times already this term, including once in his last four fixtures, lending plenty of reasoning to throw some loose change on this double.
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