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Brighton v Arsenal Prediction: Three stats based tips for the Premier League clash

Brighton v Arsenal Prediction: Trossard features.
Brighton v Arsenal Prediction: Trossard features.

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Brighton missed the chance to go top of their table with the draw in their rival game v Crystal Palace. However, if the results go in their favour before their 5:30 kick off this could still be achievable for the Seagulls. 

Brighton v Arsenal Tips

Arsenal come into the game on the back of a fantastic recent result in their North London derby. They seemed to have a turned a corner since the international break when they fired blanks in their first two away games but overcame a tough match away versus Burnley. They will be hoping to carry that on to another tough away game at the Amex. 

Brighton v Arsenal Odds

Today's football tips
Ben White over 50.5 passes
5/6
Odds correct as of 2021-10-02 15:00 Odds subject to change.

Ben White back against his former club on Saturday. When this happens the player more often than not tries to step up their game a bit more. Therefore, with Ben White and Gabriel pass averages being of a similar amount, (White: 51 attempted passes per game) it could see the former Seagulls centre half want to get on the ball more than he usually would.

Palace CBs hit 65 and 62 in the first half alone in Brighton's most recent game. 

Leicester CBs also hit 50 and 32 in the first half. Which shows the longer the game stays 0-0 the more passes are likely to be made by White.

Brighton v Arsenal odds
Trossard 1.5+ shots, White 50.5+ passes, 4.5+ goal kicks for ARS & 3.5+ goal kicks BHA
3/1
Odds correct as of 2021-10-02 15:05 Odds subject to change.

Ben White passes where explained above, more than happy to play again with extras. Trossard is averaging two shots per game having hit 2/5/2 in his three home games this season at home. The two sides like to play progressive possession based football which should lead to goal kicks. Both sides are having and conceding goal kicks at higher averages than the numbers the lines placed for the bet.

Brighton to score a penalty
11/2
Odds correct as of 2021-10-02 15:05 Odds subject to change.

John Moss has awarded four penalties this season with two being over turned by VAR. Brighton where awarded a penalty in their last home game which Neal Maupay scored and Arsenal conceded one in their most recent away game versus Burnley before VAR overturned it. Therefore I think 11/2 is to big in this one for Brighton to score one given Maupay's record from the spot being great!

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