Odds shown as:

Brentford v Swansea Tips: Toney to find the book at Wembley

Brentford v Swansea Tips: Back Toney to find the book in north London
Brentford v Swansea Tips: Back Toney to find the book in north London

It’s billed as the most valuable match in football, and the play-off final sees two clubs with opposing styles battling it out for the final place in next seasons Premier league. It could be make or break for either club with Brentford likely to lose star striker Ivan Toney, and potentially others too, if they fail to win this weekend where as Swansea’s manager Steve Cooper has been touted for the vacancy at Crystal Palace if he doesn’t guide Swansea into the promised land this time out.

The game itself looks evenly balanced; both previous matches this season ended 1-1 and the two sides were both battling for automatic promotion for much of the season. Brentford scored a remarkable 23 more league goals than the Swans this season although Steve Cooper's men do have a slightly better defensive record, if it’s a low scoring game it will likely suit Swansea very well and they will fancy their chances of nicking it where as if it’s a more open high scoring game then Brentford would surely be the most likely victors. Swansea to win and under 2.5 goals looks quite appealing at 6/1 as does Brentford and over 2.5 goals at 13/5. I certainly wouldn’t be putting anyone off splitting stakes on both outcomes here but personally I’m going to avoid the outright's and look for a stats-based bet.

Brentford v Swansea Tips

Today's football tips

Swansea over 2.5 offsides
Odds correct as of 2021-05-28 14:00 Odds subject to change.

Swansea over 2.5 offsides is currently evens with bet365 which looks a very solid play, they ranked number 1 for offsides in the Championship this season and amassed 4 offsides in both matches against the Bees during the campaign.

Brentford will try to dictate the pace of the game which will suit Swansea who will be most effective in counter attacking situations utilising the pace of Lowe and Routledge. Lowe has been offside 40 times this season which is second most in the league, Ayew ranks 8th in the same table and when you calculate offsides per minute played then Routledge is number for the entire league, and with those 3 all rumoured to start I’m happy to make this my main play of the weekend.

Championship betting
Ivan Toney to be carded
Odds correct as of 2021-05-28 14:00 Odds subject to change.

Next I want to look at the cards market and the player who stands out most is Ivan Toney at 7/2 with Betfair. He’s Brentford’s joint-most booked player this season and he gives away fouls more frequently than any other player for either club.

Toney will almost certainly play the full game barring injury so it seems strange that Betfair have 26 other players at the same or lower odds than him for a card in a match where 5+ cards is an odds on price.

Toney and Guehi both to be carded
Odds correct as of 2021-05-28 14:05 Odds subject to change.

I’m going to finish with a bookings double and the player I want to add is Guehi. I mentioned earlier that Toney commits more fouls than any other player playing but he also gets fouled more frequently than anyone else, so that makes him the ideal player for these type of bets.

Guehi has been impressive all season; he’s quick, strong and very aggressive and it will be an interesting battle between these two to see who comes out on top, he’s also Swansea’s second-most booked player so the 19/1 for them both to be carded is a nice price especially if we can get a few flair ups similar to which we saw In Brentford’s second leg last weekend.

Free Betting Offers
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets (APP Only)
#AD New UK, IE & Malta users only. Min. £10/€10 first deposit only using Debit Card or Trustly. Free bets expire in 90 days. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £60 in Bonuses
#AD New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
100% Up To £50 Welcome Bonus + 25 Spins
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org; New bettors get 100% of deposit up to £50; Once per household; Min deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller); Wager a total of 8 times deposit + bonus, with max qualifying bet stake equal to your initial bonus amount; Bonus expires after 60 days; Min odds of 4/5 on singles, or 2/5 per leg for acca; Some bet types excluded; Free spins validity: 7 days; Free spins max. winnings = £100; See full terms; Terms apply.
Bet £10 & Get £30 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD Promo code: 30FB • Min deposit £10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days • Free Bet stakes not included in returns • Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days and expires after 14 days • To withdraw any winnings from the Casino Bonus, wager the Bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & Full T&Cs apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins on Big Bass Bonanza, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD Place a min £10 bet on the Sportsbook on odds of min 1/2 (1.5), get £30 in Free Bets. Rewards valid for 30 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly
Get £35 In Free Bets
#AD Place a qualifying £25 fixed odds bet at odds of 1/2 or greater. Qualifying bet cannot be placed in-play or cashed out early. A first free £5 fixed odds bet will be credited upon settlement of the qualifying bet. 4 x following £5 free fixed odds bets will be added to your account on consecutive days. T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org