Bournemouth vs. Newcastle Betting Tips: Newcastle to make it 17 unbeaten on the south coast

Bournemouth take on Newcastle in Saturday’s late Premier League match and they will be hoping to arrest the slump that has seen them drop into the relegation zone. Scott Thornton is on hand with two data-driven tips.

Newcastle continue to impress in the league and they have their sights firmly set on Champions League football next season. They could overtake Manchester United with a win here; the side who they are preparing to take on in the League Cup final at the end of the month. Eddie Howe’s side have drawn their last two league games 0-0 but will be confident of posing a greater attacking threat against a side who have really struggled in recent weeks.

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Bournemouth have just one win in their last 12 Premier League matches. That solitary win came against an Everton side who have since sacked their manager. The Cherries are hurtling back down to the Championship if current form is anything to go by, but there are plenty of sides who are within their reach. A morale boosting win over Newcastle could be just the catalyst they need to turn their season around.

The home side have a number of injuries for this one but the visitors will also be without Bruno Guimaraes. The Brazilian is serving a suspension after he was red carded in the League Cup.

Bournemouth have lost nine of their last 11 Premier League matches and have been under the cosh for large periods of the games. During that run, their opponents are averaging 1.91 goals and 16.82 shots per game. Teams that have visited the Vitality Stadium this season in the league are having 15 shots per game on average but Newcastle could easily have more here.

Eddie Howe’s men had 20 shots in the reverse fixture in the league. They also managed 17 shots when these teams met in the League Cup. Newcastle are averaging 13.5 shots per game in the league this season. However, in their last five matches where they have been similarly priced to win they have had an average of around 18 shots per game.

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As well as shots, we are also going to back the visitors to come out on top. Improvements were expected this season but even the most optimistic Geordie couldn’t have predicted just how well it would go. Newcastle are 16 games unbeaten in the Premier League. However, they have drawn four of their last five league matches and will be keen to return to winning ways against one of the weakest sides in the division.

Bournemouth are averaging just 0.17 goals per game since the World Cup. They have failed to find the net in five of their six matches and the signs are ominous heading into this one.

Newcastle are more than capable of exceeding the higher shot line for this bet to land. The 20 they managed in the reverse fixture serves a good indicator.

Four of Bournemouth’s last six league opponents have won by two goals or more so this Newcastle side that are full of confidence have a great chance of winning by a comfortable margin. Three of Bournemouth’s opponents since the World Cup have also managed 18 shots or more.