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Premier League Cheat Sheet: Football tips, stats and offers

Kevin De Bruyne features in this week's Premier League cheat sheet
Kevin De Bruyne features in this week's Premier League cheat sheet

Welcome to BettingOdds.com’s weekly ‘cheat sheet’, where we’ll be bringing you our top football betting tips for the upcoming Premier League action. Below, you’ll find my plays for Gameweek 19, alongside justification for each selection.

Top three BTTS plays this weekend according to the stats

First, we’re looking at the both teams to score market to try and find you some Goals Galore value. 

My three BTTS tips for this week are as follows:

West Ham v Burnley - 19/20 

  • West Ham's last 4 home league games have resulted in BTTS
  • Burnley have a terrific record against the Hammers, winning the last 3 meetings between the pair so I expect them to at least score here

Leeds v Brighton - 8/15 

  • Brighton have the highest BTTS % in the PL this season (67%)
  • Leeds have been impressive going forward this term but have shipped 13 goals in 8 home games at Elland Road, and I can see this trend continuing against the Seagulls

Leicester v Southampton - 7/10

  • With so much attacking talent on display - the likes of Jamie Vardy, Danny Ings, James Maddison and Che Adams - this tie should yield plenty of goals
  • Leicester's last 3 league games has seen BTS, while the last two league meetings between this pair at the King Power have both ended 2-1

Treble pays: 4/1 with bet365

Premier League Betting

Players in form: Three goalscorers to keep an eye on in Gameweek 19

Jamie Vardy v Southampton -  5/6 to score anytime

  • Vardy is Leicester's leading goalscorer this season with 11 goals
  • The 34-year-old has a terrific record against Southampton, scoring 5 goals in 12 apps vs. the Saints

Son Heung-min v Sheffield Utd - 11/10 to score anytime

  • Son has been fairly quiet of late, but against a Sheffield Utd side who have kept just 1 clean sheet at home all season I expect him to find some joy in South Yorkshire
  • The South Korean is averaging 1.9 shots pG this season, and with just one goal in his last four PL outings, I simply think he is due one

Kevin De Bruyne v Crystal Palace - 11/8 to score anytime

  • De Bruyne is averaging 3.6 shots pG this season and should see some openings in front of goal against a Palace side who have won just one of their last five games away from home
  • The Belgian will definitely be on penalties after Sterling's horror show in midweek, enhancing his chances of finding the net

Treble pays: 8/1 with Paddy Power

Gameweek19

Ref Watch: Top three officials to back for/against in the cards market this week

Wolves v West Brom, Michael Oliver - 2+ cards for West Brom

  • Oliver averages 3 yellow cards pG and is never afraid to get the book out
  • This Black Country derby should see plenty of cards, and I'm swaying with the out-of-form visitors to be chasing the game which could therefore lead to them committing more fouls

Leicester v Southampton, Stuart Attwell - 2+ cards for Southampton

  • With players like Ward-Prowse, Bertrand, Romeu and Walker-Peters in action there will be plenty of opportunity for away cards here
  • Attwell averages just under 5 bookings a game - more than any other ref in the top-flight

Sheffield Utd v Tottenham, Andre Marriner - Under 4 match cards

  • Marriner is a very lenient official who has averaged just 2.6 yellows pG in 20/21, it takes a lot for him to get the book out and I think this pattern is set to continue at Bramall Lane
Ref Watch Treble
Sat
2+ cards for West Brom & Southampton, Under 4 match cards in Sheffield Utd v Spurs
3/1
Calculate your returns:
£79.00
Why this Tip?
By Jack Kitson
  • Oliver averages 3 yellow cards pG and won't be afraid to get the book out in a Black Country derby
  • Saints have so many card-merchants they could easily pick up a few against a high octane Leicester side
  • Marriner is a very lenient official who has averaged just 2.6 yellows pG in 20/21
Odds correct as of 2021-01-14 15:40 Odds subject to change.
Today's football tips

Longshot bet of the week

Another weekend, another longshot! This week it comes in the form of a 20/1 treble with bet365.

Leeds v Brighton - Draw - 11/4

  • No side have drawn more league games than Brighton this season (8)
  • This should be an evenly matched game with both teams possessing a good style of football; I see very little separating them

Fulham to win or draw v Chelsea - 13/8

  • Fulham have impressed me in recent outings, earning a good point away at Spurs midweek in a game they could - and perhaps should - have won
  • Chelsea have been really poor lately, winning just one of their previous six PL fixtures
  • Scott Parker's side have drawn their last five league games and I think they might nick something on home soil in this west London derby with their confidence uplifted

Arsenal -1 handicap v Newcastle - 6/5

  • Arsenal look a different side at the moment, playing some lovely football which has resulted in them winning their last three league games
  • This exact fixture took place last weekend in the FA Cup with Arsenal winning 2-0 AET, and given Newcastle's poor form at the moment I can't look past another comfortable home win - 6/5 seems good value for the -1 handicap
Gameweek 19 Longshot
Sat, 15:00
Leeds v Brighton - Draw, Fulham/Draw v Chelsea & Arsenal -1 handicap v Newcastle
20/1
Calculate your returns:
£79.00
Why this Tip?
  • No side have drawn more league games than Brighton this season (8)
  • Scott Parker's side have drawn their last five league games and I think they might nick something on home soil vs a poorly performing Chelsea side
  • Arsenal have won their last three league games, conceding just once, while Newcastle have looked poor in recent outings
Odds correct as of 2021-01-14 13:05 Odds subject to change.

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