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Same Game Multi Tips: Sergio Ramos can deliver against the Swiss

Same Game Multi Tips: Ramos always a goal threat for the Spanish
Same Game Multi Tips: Ramos always a goal threat for the Spanish

Resident European expert James Cantril aka @JimmyThePunt has picked out three tips for this weekend's Nations League action including a big priced same game multi in the Spain v Switzerland game...

When representing his country,  Aleksander Zinchenko plays a very different role to the one he does domestically at Man City. He's usually a full back but when playing for the Yellow and Blue he plays a more advanced role in midfield. Depending on what system Andriy Shevchenko deploys that's either; the left hand side of a midfield three, centre defensive midfield or as a centre attacking midfielder.

Regardless of exactly where he plays, he gets a lot shots off as a midfielder; in his last nine competitive international starts he has registered 13. In his last six competitive starts he has averaged 0.67 shots on target per game with a shot on target landing in half of those

Price wise, Betfair are out on their own pricing him at 6/1. Ladbrokes (9/4) and William Hill (12/5) are the only other bookies to price this market and both have him considerably shorter.

Zinchenko is expected to start in midfield with Milinovskyi and Stephaneko, both of which are considerably shorter in the shots on target market. Stephaneko (7/2) hasn't registered a shot on target in any of his last five international appearances and Milinovskyi (10/11) has only registered a shot on target in two of his last six competitive international games.

A concern with this angle is that the Man City man register's the majority of his shots against lesser nations, he didn't have any vs Spain or Portugal. However, all things considered, I'd Betfair price is justified and it certainly represents value. 

Germany v Ukraine
Sat - 19:45
Jimmy The Punt - Oleksandr Zinchenko 1 Shot on Target
WIN PROB: 14.29%
6/1
Calculate your returns:
£79.00
Why this Tip?
  • Playing further forward than for his club side Zinchenko has registered 13 shots in his last nine competitive internationals.
We’re used to seeing football odds displayed in either fractions (2/1) or decimal (3.0), but what the Win Percentage Probability score does is show you exactly what percentage chance the bookmaker gives that selection of winning based on their odds.
Odds correct as of 2020-11-13 23:55 Odds subject to change.
Football Tips

Andrea Belotti had his name taken in his most recent game for Torino, he was also booked in both of his last starts for Gli Azzuri, which includes when these sides last met. Plus, no one is averaging more than the three fouls he has averaged a game. Coincidently, it looks like his direct opponent will be Poland's most carded player (3) with the highest fouls per game average (3.3); Jan Bednarek. You can combine the pair to be booked under William Hills your odds feature at odds of 23.5/1.

The referee is Clement Turpin and this season he has averaging four cards per game. Over the course of his international career his has averaged 3.5 cards per game and the Frenchman brandished six in his last international game. 

In the Nations League this season only Rodrigo has a higher shots per game average than centre back Sergio Ramos' 2.8. In his last three international starts he's registered; eleven shots- five of which on target and 64% goal-bound- with two shots on target landing in two of those three games. In the game it failed to land, he had two goal bound shots blocked.

Betfair have Richardo Rodriguez to be carded at 6/1, he's as short as 17/5 elsewhere. He's only had his name taken in one of his eight appearances for club and country this season, however, last season the only two cards he received last season both came while representing Switzerland. Rodriguez could also be lining up against Adama Traore who is notoriously good at drawing fouls.

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