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Newcastle v Man City Tips: Best bets as the champions take on the Magpies

Newcastle v Man City Tips: Guardiola's side travel north as champions
Newcastle v Man City Tips: Guardiola's side travel north as champions

Newly crowned Premier League champions Manchester City travel to St. James’ Park to face Newcastle United to play their first game as the current holders as Manchester United’s defeat against Leicester City on Tuesday handed them the title. Furthermore, Newcastle officially claimed a place in next season's league with Burnley defeating Fulham.

Therefore, both sides both have nothing to play for which does limit the betting angles for this one. However, Guardiola won’t allow his side to take their foot off the gas and allow for any inconsistencies before an upcoming Champions League final, which has allowed for me to find a few value selections for this game.

Newcastle v Man City Tips

Today's football tips

Man City to have the most shots on target & most corners in each half
1/1
Odds correct as of 2021-05-14 10:00 Odds subject to change.

This has landed in 4 of the last 6 head-to-head games. My main concern with this type of bet is that City have the potential to blow sides away in the 1st half leading to a foot of the gas 2nd half approach which allows for the opposition to get shots away leading to attempts on target and corners.

However, having wrapped up the title the 1st game since claiming the league could see them in a more chilled approach and I expect a City side to not come out the blocks firing but having enough which should see it land comfortably in the usually more difficult 2nd half.
 

Premier League betting
Under 2 cards in the match for Newcastle and Under 1 card in the Match for Man City
11/4
Odds correct as of 2021-05-14 10:00 Odds subject to change.

Kevin Friend is at the whistle for this one who is a referee who averages just 2.17 cards per game. This bet has landed in 4 of the last 6 league head to heads and also landed in Newcastle United’s most recent game v Leicester, falling just 1 card short in the Manchester City game vs Crystal Palace, who’s approach to that game in terms of team set up and style of play should be similar to the one of Newcastle tonight.

Under 1 match cards, over 7.5 Newcastle goal kicks & over 17.5 shots in the match for Man City
20/1
Odds correct as of 2021-05-14 10:05 Odds subject to change.

As mentioned earlier, Manchester City will look to be consistent in their form with the UEFA Champions League final approaching. Although my longshot at 20/1 seems difficult to achieve, the recent stats and a particular CRAZY head-to-head stat suggests the price for this one is too big a price.

  • Manchester City have had 18+ shots in 6 of their last 7 head-to-heads vs Newcastle.
  • Newcastle have had over 7.5 goal kicks in their last 4 Premier League games
  • Although the 0 card seems far off this exact bet has landed not once but TWICE
  • Furthermore, this exact bet won in game week 4 back in 2018 where Manchester City were victorious in a 2-1 win and the referee for that game was…. Kevin Friend.
     
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