Liverpool v Everton Stats: We've analysed all the numbers for your derby day bets
There's four Premier League games being played on Sunday including the huge televised clash between Merseyside rivals, Liverpool and Everton. We will have a full match preview and best bets on the site from Saturday onwards, but we've also asked our statman @OddsT3rrier to take a deep dive into the recent history between the two sides, and look into this season's stats to see if there are any angles which you can use to your betting advantage.
I was surprised when I saw the above graphic as it seems like Liverpool's dominance over Everton in recent years has been total. However, that's rarely been the case in the actual derby match ups, where Everton have often held their own. The draw has actually been the result that's occurred most frequently recently and can be had for as large a price as 7/1.
If you fancy either Liverpool or Everton, you could do far worse than to open an account with William Hill using the link above and taking the 20/1 on Liverpool or a whopping 150/1 on Everton.
In terms of overall head-to-head record and it's The Reds who have by far the greater record since the first game between the two, back in 1894 - a 3-0 win for Everton. A repeat of that on Sunday pays 350/1!
LIVERPOOL | DRAW | EVERTON |
---|---|---|
122 | 85 | 83 |
Next we move into the fascinating world of the To Be Carded betting markets. This is a hugely popular market nowadays and utilising team news and player match-ups can often add to the value of the prices on offer.
As expected the Everton players are in general much shorter prices than their Liverpool counterparts. The Toffees have picked up 65 cautions in the Premier League this season, while the Reds have only accumulated 41.
The bookmaker odds don't always correlate with the stats here either. Andre Gomes is the same price as Allan yet has half as many yellows this season and both men are shorter in price than Richarlison, who leads the team in fouls (33) and cautions (8). He picked up another (as well as scoring) in midweek and will likely be deployed as a lone striker here, as Calvert-Lewin is out with a thigh injury. This could lead to him being increasingly frustrated and putting in a late challenge on one of the Liverpool defenders. The 19/10 looks very short though.
One man I like to be booked is Diogo Jota. He was rested in midweek so should start in the central forward role here. He is 2nd in fouls (36) for Liverpool , yet has somehow only picked up two cards. He is 6/1 to be shown one here in what should be a feisty atmosphere.
We've also taken a look at the goals and shots stats, to help us analyse the Goalscorer and Shots on Targets markets which again are massively popular amongst punters. The Liverpool front three of Mo Salah, Diogo Jota and Sadio Mane obviously dominate these markets and are extremely short priced. Mane looks a decent price to score anytime at BetVictor (23/20) when compared to the miserly 3/4 at Betfred. Salah and Jota are both odds on across the board to score here. Richarlison at 9/2 could be worth a punt for an Everton consolation goal as he will be Everton's focal point up front and they will likely need to score to have any chance at all.
In terms of shots on target the 2+ SoT for Jota looks a big price at William Hill (23/20) when compared to the 8/13 at BetVictor. He's cleared that line in his last two starts. If you are looking for a longer priced shot then Richarlison 2+ 5/1 at BetVictor looks chunky. He has hit that line in his last three games.
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