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Erling Haaland Betting Specials 22/23: How many goals will the Man City star score?

Erling Haaland Betting Specials 22/23: How many goals can the 21-year-old phenom score this year?
Erling Haaland Betting Specials 22/23: How many goals can the 21-year-old phenom score this year?

20-year-old Norwegian Erling Haaland may have only cost Manchester City £51m up front but make no mistake, he will be THE highest profile transfer of the summer, as the will he, won't he transfer saga finally came to a close in June. We've analysed the odds on him to win the Premier League Golden Boot, as well as looking at what else he could win and exactly how many goals this unbelievable talent can score this season. Will he flourish.... or flop?

Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Boot?

Can a soon to be 21 year old step straight into the heat and intensity of the Premier League and beat off the likes of current incumbents Mo Salah and Son Heung-Min, as well as the usual suspects of Harry Kane, Cristiano Ronaldo, Jamie Vardy and finally the other new boy Darwin Nunez? Well, let's look back at his record in Germany over the last two years:

Bundesliga Golden Boot 2021/22

PLAYER TEAM GOALS
Robert Lewandowski Bayern Munich 35
Patrik Schick Bayer Leverkusen 24
Erling Haaland Borussia Dortmund 22

Bundesliga Golden Boot 2020/21

PLAYER TEAM GOALS
Robert Lewandowski Bayern Munich 41
André Silva Eintracht Frankfurt 28
Erling Haaland Borussia Dortmund 27

As you can see above, Haaland has only scraped the top three in the last two years but there's a few reasons for that:

1) Lewandowski is not only one of the world's best finishers, but also plays for easily the best team in Germany, who have just won their tenth straight title. 

2) Haaland is a lot younger, has less game time and has suffered injuries. If we study his actual appearances, he averages comfortably second for goals, shots and shots on target per game behind Lewandowski. Not only that, but he's getting better...

Haaland Stat

When you couple the above with the fact that he has moved to Manchester City; a team that won the league, has comfortably the most possession of any Premier League team and took the second most shots last season then you create a perfect storm. It's not a surprise to see Haaland at the head of the betting.

Premier League Golden Boot 2022/23

Erling Haaland
WIN PROB: 95%
1
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£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
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Harry Kane
WIN PROB: 8%
1
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£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
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Marcus Rashford
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
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£30 FREE BET
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Ivan Toney
WIN PROB: 1%
1
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Aleksandar Mitrovic
WIN PROB: 1%
1
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£20 FREE BET
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Mohamed Salah
WIN PROB: 1%
1
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£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
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Leandro Trossard
WIN PROB: 0%
Darwin Nunez
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£20 FREE BET
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£30 FREE BET
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£30 FREE BET
Rodrigo Moreno
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
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£30 FREE BET
Miguel Almiron
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Phil Foden
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
James Maddison
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Anthony Martial
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Julian Alvarez
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Roberto Firmino
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Son Heung-min
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Kai Havertz
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Gabriel Jesus
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Kevin De Bruyne
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Wilfried Zaha
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Callum Wilson
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£20 FREE BET
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£30 FREE BET
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Gabriel Martinelli
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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£30 FREE BET
Bukayo Saka
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Show More
Odds correct as of 2023-02-06 10:35 Odds subject to change.

How many goals will Erling Haaland score?

So, presuming that the young man arrives fit and injury free, exactly how many goals can he actually bag in the 2022/23 Premier League season. Paddy Power and William Hill have specials on him scoring 25, 27, 30, 33 and 40 goals this term.

If he plays every game (unlikely given Pep Roulette) and maintains his Bundesliga average of 0.9 goals per game over the last two seasons, he will score roughly 34 goals - enough to beat Mo Salah's record of 32 back in 2017/18. Paddy Power are offering just 11/1 on that exact scenario to occur. 

If you think he is going to even eclipse that and score a whopping 40 goals then you can get a 100/1 price at William Hill. Worth a punt?

If, on the other hand, you think Haaland is over-hyped, has been scoring against cannon-fodder in a poor league and will take time to adjust to the Premier League then for him to score 'just' 25 goals is available at Evens at Hills. 

Premier League Odds

What other awards will Erling Haaland win?

There are several other awards/achievements that Haaland has been priced up for. He's 5/1 to win the Champions League Golden Boot, 12/1 to win the Ballon d'Or and 25/1 to top score in the Premier League and the Champions League. 

One thing that might benefit him in all these markets, but won't benefit us as football fans, is that we won't be seeing Erling Haaland at this winter's World Cup in Qatar. Norway were knocked out after finishing third in UEFA Group G behind Netherlands and Turkey. Norway's loss but Manchester City's gain. 

Premier League Golden Boot Odds
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