Erling Haaland Betting Specials 22/23: How many goals will the Man City star score?
20-year-old Norwegian Erling Haaland may have only cost Manchester City £51m up front but make no mistake, he will be THE highest profile transfer of the summer, as the will he, won't he transfer saga finally came to a close in June. We've analysed the odds on him to win the Premier League Golden Boot, as well as looking at what else he could win and exactly how many goals this unbelievable talent can score this season. Will he flourish.... or flop?
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Boot?
Can a soon to be 21 year old step straight into the heat and intensity of the Premier League and beat off the likes of current incumbents Mo Salah and Son Heung-Min, as well as the usual suspects of Harry Kane, Cristiano Ronaldo, Jamie Vardy and finally the other new boy Darwin Nunez? Well, let's look back at his record in Germany over the last two years:
Bundesliga Golden Boot 2021/22
| PLAYER | TEAM | GOALS |
|---|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | Bayern Munich | 35 |
| Patrik Schick | Bayer Leverkusen | 24 |
| Erling Haaland | Borussia Dortmund | 22 |
Bundesliga Golden Boot 2020/21
| PLAYER | TEAM | GOALS |
|---|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | Bayern Munich | 41 |
| André Silva | Eintracht Frankfurt | 28 |
| Erling Haaland | Borussia Dortmund | 27 |
As you can see above, Haaland has only scraped the top three in the last two years but there's a few reasons for that:
1) Lewandowski is not only one of the world's best finishers, but also plays for easily the best team in Germany, who have just won their tenth straight title.
2) Haaland is a lot younger, has less game time and has suffered injuries. If we study his actual appearances, he averages comfortably second for goals, shots and shots on target per game behind Lewandowski. Not only that, but he's getting better...
When you couple the above with the fact that he has moved to Manchester City; a team that won the league, has comfortably the most possession of any Premier League team and took the second most shots last season then you create a perfect storm. It's not a surprise to see Haaland at the head of the betting.
Premier League Golden Boot 2022/23
-
95.2%
-
7.7%
-
1.2%
-
1%
-
0.8%
-
0.7%
-
0.5%
-
0.4%
-
0.4%
How many goals will Erling Haaland score?
So, presuming that the young man arrives fit and injury free, exactly how many goals can he actually bag in the 2022/23 Premier League season. Paddy Power and William Hill have specials on him scoring 25, 27, 30, 33 and 40 goals this term.
If he plays every game (unlikely given Pep Roulette) and maintains his Bundesliga average of 0.9 goals per game over the last two seasons, he will score roughly 34 goals - enough to beat Mo Salah's record of 32 back in 2017/18. Paddy Power are offering just 11/1 on that exact scenario to occur.
If you think he is going to even eclipse that and score a whopping 40 goals then you can get a 100/1 price at William Hill. Worth a punt?
If, on the other hand, you think Haaland is over-hyped, has been scoring against cannon-fodder in a poor league and will take time to adjust to the Premier League then for him to score 'just' 25 goals is available at Evens at Hills.
What other awards will Erling Haaland win?
There are several other awards/achievements that Haaland has been priced up for. He's 5/1 to win the Champions League Golden Boot, 12/1 to win the Ballon d'Or and 25/1 to top score in the Premier League and the Champions League.
One thing that might benefit him in all these markets, but won't benefit us as football fans, is that we won't be seeing Erling Haaland at this winter's World Cup in Qatar. Norway were knocked out after finishing third in UEFA Group G behind Netherlands and Turkey. Norway's loss but Manchester City's gain.
