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Erling Haaland Betting Specials 22/23: How many goals will the Man City star score?

Erling Haaland Betting Specials 22/23: How many goals can the 21-year-old phenom score this year?
Erling Haaland Betting Specials 22/23: How many goals can the 21-year-old phenom score this year?

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20-year-old Norwegian Erling Haaland may have only cost Manchester City £51m up front but make no mistake, he will be THE highest profile transfer of the summer, as the will he, won't he transfer saga finally came to a close in June. We've analysed the odds on him to win the Premier League Golden Boot, as well as looking at what else he could win and exactly how many goals this unbelievable talent can score this season. Will he flourish.... or flop?

Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Boot?

Can a soon to be 21 year old step straight into the heat and intensity of the Premier League and beat off the likes of current incumbents Mo Salah and Son Heung-Min, as well as the usual suspects of Harry Kane, Cristiano Ronaldo, Jamie Vardy and finally the other new boy Darwin Nunez? Well, let's look back at his record in Germany over the last two years:

Bundesliga Golden Boot 2021/22

PLAYER TEAM GOALS
Robert Lewandowski Bayern Munich 35
Patrik Schick Bayer Leverkusen 24
Erling Haaland Borussia Dortmund 22

Bundesliga Golden Boot 2020/21

PLAYER TEAM GOALS
Robert Lewandowski Bayern Munich 41
André Silva Eintracht Frankfurt 28
Erling Haaland Borussia Dortmund 27

As you can see above, Haaland has only scraped the top three in the last two years but there's a few reasons for that:

1) Lewandowski is not only one of the world's best finishers, but also plays for easily the best team in Germany, who have just won their tenth straight title. 

2) Haaland is a lot younger, has less game time and has suffered injuries. If we study his actual appearances, he averages comfortably second for goals, shots and shots on target per game behind Lewandowski. Not only that, but he's getting better...

Haaland Stat

When you couple the above with the fact that he has moved to Manchester City; a team that won the league, has comfortably the most possession of any Premier League team and took the second most shots last season then you create a perfect storm. It's not a surprise to see Haaland at the head of the betting.

Premier League Golden Boot 2022/23

Erling Haaland
WIN PROB: 44%
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5/4
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5/4
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5/4
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6/5
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6/5
Mohamed Salah
WIN PROB: 17%
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9/2
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4/1
Harry Kane
WIN PROB: 13%
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6/1
Darwin Nunez
WIN PROB: 9%
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8/1
Gabriel Jesus
WIN PROB: 7%
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Son Heung-min
WIN PROB: 5%
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Aleksandar Mitrovic
WIN PROB: 4%
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Cristiano Ronaldo
WIN PROB: 3%
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Raheem Sterling
WIN PROB: 2%
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Callum Wilson
WIN PROB: 2%
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Jamie Vardy
WIN PROB: 2%
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Luis Diaz
WIN PROB: 2%
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Timo Werner
WIN PROB: 1%
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Kai Havertz
WIN PROB: 1%
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Ivan Toney
WIN PROB: 1%
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Kevin De Bruyne
WIN PROB: 1%
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Diogo Jota
WIN PROB: 1%
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Gianluca Scamacca
WIN PROB: 1%
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Julian Alvarez
WIN PROB: 1%
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Patrick Bamford
WIN PROB: 1%
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Ollie Watkins
WIN PROB: 1%
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Bruno Fernandes
WIN PROB: 1%
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Gabriel Martinelli
WIN PROB: 1%
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Anthony Martial
WIN PROB: 1%
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Jarrod Bowen
WIN PROB: 1%
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Eddie Nketiah
WIN PROB: 1%
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Dominic Calvert-Lewin
WIN PROB: 1%
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Patson Daka
WIN PROB: 1%
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Riyad Mahrez
WIN PROB: 1%
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Phil Foden
WIN PROB: 1%
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Bukayo Saka
WIN PROB: 1%
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Danny Ings
WIN PROB: 1%
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Michail Antonio
WIN PROB: 1%
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Richarlison
WIN PROB: 1%
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Kelechi Iheanacho
WIN PROB: 1%
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Dominic Solanke
WIN PROB: 1%
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Jesse Lingard
WIN PROB: 1%
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Marcus Rashford
WIN PROB: 1%
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Raul Jimenez
WIN PROB: 1%
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Deniz Undav
WIN PROB: 1%
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Neal Maupay
WIN PROB: 1%
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Wilfried Zaha
WIN PROB: 1%
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Roberto Firmino
WIN PROB: 1%
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Bernardo Silva
WIN PROB: 1%
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Christian Benteke
WIN PROB: 1%
Anthony Elanga
WIN PROB: 1%
Kieffer Moore
WIN PROB: 1%
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Mason Mount
WIN PROB: 1%
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Odsonne Edouard
WIN PROB: 1%
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Christian Pulisic
WIN PROB: 1%
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Jadon Sancho
WIN PROB: 0%
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Chris Wood
WIN PROB: 1%
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Jean-Philippe Mateta
WIN PROB: 1%
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Taiwo Awoniyi
WIN PROB: 1%
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Joe Gelhardt
WIN PROB: 1%
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Che Adams
WIN PROB: 0%
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Brennan Johnson
WIN PROB: 0%
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Demarai Gray
WIN PROB: 1%
Dejan Kulusevski
WIN PROB: 1%
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Armando Broja
WIN PROB: 1%