Odds shown as:

Could Mike Dean be Chelsea’s lucky charm for their FA Cup semi-final vs City?

Mike Dean loves the big occasion
Mike Dean loves the big occasion

It’s that time of the year already, where four teams travel to Wembley for a chance to book their place in the final of the greatest cup competition in the world.

This Saturday sees two familiar visitors to the famous arched stadium where two of England’s most successful teams in the last decade face off to add more silverware to an already decorated cabinet. 

Twenty-two elite players will walk out onto the pitch at 5.25 but they will be accompanied by a man who has been at the top of his game for the last 20 seasons. Mike Dean will officiate his third FA Cup semi-final so we’ve delved into his - and Chelsea and City’s - stats to find you some value betting selections. 

  • Chelsea to win in 90 mins: 19/5
  • Chelsea double chance: 21/20 
  • Kante to be carded: 3/1 
  • Fernandinho to be carded: 15/8 
  • Sterling to be carded: 13/2
  • Yellow card Trixie: 75/1

Which teams love seeing Mike Dean in the middle? 

Md1

Dean famously celebrated a Dembele Tottenham goal at White Hart Lane but could that be a visard for the truth? The stats suggest that it is in fact Chelsea who have the best win ratio when the Wirral warrior has the whistle. Could Dean be Chelsea’s lucky charm again on Saturday? 

Chelsea love a semi! 

This week saw the Blues book their place in yet another semi-final after edging past Porto in the Champions League and in the last decade you can see below that the Stamford Bridge boys have a proven track record when it comes to this stage of a tournament… 

Md3

Chelsea’s price to beat City 

The bookies are at it again when pricing up Pep Guardiola’s men, which in our eyes opens up a great betting opportunity. Chelsea to win in 90 mins is best priced at 19/5 (4.8) with William Hill, which looks an outstanding bit of value when you consider they have had a day more to prepare for this game and City’s semi-final record against top opposition. 

Man City semi-finals 

Won 

Man Utd
Man Utd
West Ham
Everton 
Bristol City
Burton 
Brighton
Man Utd 
Man Utd

Lost 

Liverpool
Chelsea
Real Madrid 
Arsenal
Arsenal

Depending on your Man Utd persuasion, you could argue City much prefer to face a lower quality of opponent in semi-finals so Thomas Tuchel’s new side should have reason to be optimistic. 

You can also get Chelsea/draw double chance at 21/20 with William Hill. That’s for Chelsea to win or draw in 90 minutes and if you were to put £10 on it you’ll get more than double your money back. However, when looking at Chelsea’s last 10 semi-finals, 80% sees them get the job done in 90 minutes, so the 19/5 is what we’re suggesting for this one. 

FA Cup betting

Deano's bonus bet

We simply cannot write a Mike Dean-based article without suggesting some yellow card fancies. 

Chelsea & City players to be booked by Dean in the last 10 seasons… 

Kante: 6 
Sterling: 6
De Bruyne: 5
Rodri: 3
Gundogan: 3
Fernandinho: 2
Walker 2
Stones: 1
Ederson: 1
Dias: 1
Kovacic: 1 
Rudiger: 1
Jorginho: 1

Kante - 3/1, William Hill
 
Mike Dean must be the only man on the planet who dislikes NGolo Kante, giving him six yellows down the years and despite only starting 16 times for Chelsea this term he is their most cautioned player. Tuchel has started Kante and Kovacic against Arsenal, City, Man Utd and Atletico Madrid, and I think that will be his preferred midfield dynamic which will start on Sunday. 
 
Fernandinho - 15/8, William Hill
 
City’s Brazilian battleaxe may be 35, but has proved this season he will play a vital role if Pep’s men are going to win a historic quadruple. He’s played 28 times this term and with Rodri holding the fort against Dortmund in midweek I expect Fernandinho to be trusted in this one, and as he’s picked up six yellows in his last seven games, I’m confident he’ll make it a magnificent seven against a fast-paced Chelsea outfit.
 
Sterling - 13/2, bet365 
 
In the last six City games, Sterling has only started once - during their home defeat to Leeds - and appears to have fallen out of favour at the Etihad at the moment. With the short term around, I think Pep will give him a starting place vs Chelsea and with a point to prove, a revved-up Raheem could well find himself in Dean’s notepad for a seventh time. 
 
You can back the trixie on bet365, which means that if any two of the cards come in you’ll still be paid out a percentage, and if we nail all three it’ll be a 75/1 winner!

Kante, Fernandinho & Sterling all to be carded
75/1
Odds correct as of 2021-04-15 16:20 Odds subject to change.
Free betting offers
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets (APP Only)
#AD New UK, IE & Malta users only. Min. £10/€10 first deposit only using Debit Card or Trustly. Free bets expire in 90 days. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £60 in Bonuses
#AD New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
100% Up To £50 Welcome Bonus + 25 Spins
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org; New bettors get 100% of deposit up to £50; Once per household; Min deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller); Wager a total of 8 times deposit + bonus, with max qualifying bet stake equal to your initial bonus amount; Bonus expires after 60 days; Min odds of 4/5 on singles, or 2/5 per leg for acca; Some bet types excluded; Free spins validity: 7 days; Free spins max. winnings = £100; See full terms; Terms apply.
Bet £10 & Get £30 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD Promo code: 30FB • Min deposit £10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days • Free Bet stakes not included in returns • Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days and expires after 14 days • To withdraw any winnings from the Casino Bonus, wager the Bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & Full T&Cs apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins on Big Bass Bonanza, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD Place a min £10 bet on the Sportsbook on odds of min 1/2 (1.5), get £30 in Free Bets. Rewards valid for 30 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly
Get £35 In Free Bets
#AD Place a qualifying £25 fixed odds bet at odds of 1/2 or greater. Qualifying bet cannot be placed in-play or cashed out early. A first free £5 fixed odds bet will be credited upon settlement of the qualifying bet. 4 x following £5 free fixed odds bets will be added to your account on consecutive days. T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org