Community Shield Bet Builder Tips: 36/1 stats based treble for the curtain-raiser
Posted: 10:23 Friday 29th July 2022
Community Shield 2022: Pep Guardiola and Jurgen Klopp are doing battle yet again. This time in the curtain raiser.
The new season officially gets underway on Friday night with the start of the EFL and we don't have long to wait until the Premier league joins in the action. First up we've got the little matter of the annual curtain-raiser, the Community Shield. This time the match will be played at the King Power, due to the final of the Women's Euro's being held at Wembley. We've asked our resident statto Adam Roberts to take a dive into the recent history between Liverpool and Manchester City, and look into last season's stats to see if there are any angles which you can use to your betting advantage.
Community Shield Tips
These two sides have battled each other right at the top of the Premier League, in domestic cups and on the European stage many times of late and that doesn't appear likely to stop any time soon. It's of course, Liverpool who have the best overall head-to-head record, winning 91 times, drawing 51 times, with City winning 48. The teams first played each other way back in the old Division Two in 1893 - a 1-0 away win for Liverpool. Over recent years, City have the slight edge, winning two, losing once and drawing three times. There have been 24 goals scored in the last six match ups between the rivals but the Community Shield is notorious for cagey low-scoring affairs.
| COMP | date | home | SCORE | away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FA Cup Final | 16/04/2022 | Man City | 2-3 | Liverpool |
| Premier League | 10/04/2022 | Man City | 2-2 | Liverpool |
| Premier League | 03/10/2021 | Liverpool | 2-2 | Man City |
| Premier League | 07/02/2021 | Liverpool | 1-4 | Man City |
| Premier League | 08/11/2020 | Man City | 1-1 | Liverpool |
| Premier League | 02/07/2020 | Man City | 4-0 | Liverpool |
We dive head first into the 'to be carded market' and first up a gentle warning: The Community Shield is notorious for low scores and low numbers of cards. The last five Community Shield matches have yielded yellow card totals of: 3,1,1,0,4, so card backers beware.
That said, there is a lot of recent history between these two sides and they will be keen to assert dominance early on in the season. I like the price on offer for Fabinho to be shown a card at William Hills of 7/2. The combative midfielder led the Reds in fouls and cautions last season and with referee Craig Pawson in charge, who can be fairly card happy, I'm happy to take a dip.
If you are looking for a longer priced punt, you could do worse than checking out Liverpool's new star striker Darwin Nunez. He picked up six yellows in Portugal last season and has a bit of a mean streak.
We move into the shots and goals markets and it's three new boys who dominate these alongside the old stager Mo Salah. Both Julian Alvarez and Darwin Nunez are odds-on to register a shot on target but I'm going for the other new signing Erling Haaland to net 2+ shots on target at 6/4. The 22-year-old phenom scored 23 goals for Dortmund last season in just 24 games and averaged 1.5 shots on target for the Bundesliga outfit. Now he has the likes of Bernardo Silva, İlkay Gündoğan, Phil Foden and Jack Grealish putting chances on a plate for him and I expect him to thrive.
Another man who loves letting shots off is João Cancelo who had comfortably the most shots by any defender in the Premier League last season (81) and the most for his club. Cancelo needs to improve his accuracy this season as he only scored one goal but he still averaged 0.6 SoT per game and I think he will have his shooting boots on from day 1 of the season.
We can combine all three options with Paddy Power's bet-builder function which pays 36/1 on the treble.
Enjoy the game and bet responsibly.
Fabinho to be carded, Joao Cancelo 1+ shot on target, Erling Haaland 2+ shots on target
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