Odds shown as:
Fri 5 Aug20:00
CRY
v
ARS
Sat 6 Aug12:30
FUL
v
LIV
Sat 6 Aug15:00
BOR
v
AVL
Sat 6 Aug15:00
LEE
v
WOL
Sat 6 Aug15:00
NEW
v
NOT
Sat 6 Aug15:00
TOT
v
SOU
Sat 6 Aug17:30
EVE
v
CHE
Sun 7 Aug14:00
LEI
v
BRE
Sun 7 Aug14:00
MUN
v
BHA
Sun 7 Aug16:30
WHU
v
MCI
Sat 13 Aug15:00
BRE
v
MUN
Sat 13 Aug15:00
WOL
v
FUL
Sat 13 Aug15:00
SOU
v
LEE
Sat 13 Aug15:00
NOT
v
WHU
Sat 13 Aug15:00
MCI
v
BOR
Sat 13 Aug15:00
LIV
v
CRY
Sat 13 Aug15:00
CHE
v
TOT
Sat 13 Aug15:00
BHA
v
NEW
Sat 13 Aug15:00
AVL
v
EVE
Sat 13 Aug15:00
ARS
v
LEI
Sat 20 Aug15:00
LEI
v
SOU
Sat 20 Aug15:00
MUN
v
LIV
Sat 20 Aug15:00
NEW
v
MCI
Sat 20 Aug15:00
TOT
v
WOL
Sat 20 Aug15:00
WHU
v
BHA

Premier League Stats: Expected Goals and Assists leaders this season

Mo Salah

The Premier League returns this weekend with 29% of the total matches in the 2021/2022 season having been completed. Chelsea currently sit top of the pile as we head towards the busy festive schedule but Manchester City, West Ham and Liverpool are all within four points of the leaders.

Here at BettingOdds.com we’ve taken a look at some of the modern metrics in football such as xG (Expected Goals) and xA (Expected Assists) and have also taken a look at which players rank highly this term.

First up let’s remind ourselves of what exactly Expected Goals (xG) is all about. Put simply, xG is the probability that a shot will result in a goal. This is based on the characteristics of the shot that is taken and the events leading up to it. There are four main characteristics that are analysed in order to give a probability of a shot resulting in a goal:

  • Location on the pitch: Where the player takes his shot from in terms of distance and angle from goal
  • Type of attack: Was the goal on the counter? Was it off a rebound? Had the defence been at fault?
  • How the shot was taken: Was the shot made with the foot or through a header?
  • Passage of play: Did the ball goal come via a set-piece or a corner, or was it from open play?

Expected goals are very much about the context of a scoring opportunity. Every shot is compared to thousands of other shots with similar characteristics. An xG of 1 is a certain goal, while an xG of 0 is a certain miss. An xG of 0.4 would indicate that if identical shots were taken 10 times, four would be expected to result in a goal.

Xg Leaders Pl Nov 2021
Premier League Odds

Premier League xG leaders 2021/2022

7.81xG - Mohamed Salah - Goals: 10

6.66xG - Sadio Mane - Goals: 6

6.54xG - Michail Antonio - Goals: 6

4.91xG - Pierre Aubameyang - Goals: 4

4.41xG - Jamie Vardy - Goals: 7

4.41xG - Cristiano Ronaldo - Goals: 4

4.35xG - Conor Gallagher - Goals: 4

4.17xG - Diogo Jota - Goals 4

3.98xG - Jarrod Bowen - Goals: 2

3.84xG - Bryan Mbeumo - Goals: 2

So now we’ve covered the xG leaders in the Premier League so far, let’s take a look at Expected Assists. Expected assists (xA) measure the likelihood that a pass will end up becoming an assist. Certain factors are considered when calculating the xA of a pass, with the most important being the finishing destination of the pass. For example, a pass that is received by a striker close to goal is more likely to result in an assist than a pass that finds a striker when he’s on the half-way line.

The type of pass is also taken into consideration, with aerial crosses generally being a lot harder to convert as opposed to ground passes. Expected assists (xA) credit all passes, no matter if they result in an attempt on goal. 

During a match, one player could make several key passes that result in a shot being taken, yet see none of them turned into goals. On the other hand, a different player might make a basic pass on the half-way line and be rewarded with an assist should his teammate score after picking up the ball in that position. This doesn’t reflect the quality of chances created by a player, so expected assists allow us to see who are the truly consistent creative players.

Premier League Stats

If a centre-back passes the ball to his other centre-back the expected assist (xA) figure awarded would probably be about 0.0001 (xA). On the other hand, if a midfielder plays in a striker who is then one-on-one with the keeper, they might be awarded an xG of around 0.45 (xA). This indicates that the average striker would have a 45% chance of scoring from his pass received, whereas the centre-back receiving a pass in his own half would have a 0.0001% chance of scoring. 

Expected assists models are created using a database of hundreds of thousands of shots. The xA is awarded from the probability that the average player would score as a result of the pass. 

Most Expected Assists in the Premier League 2021/2022

4.6xA - Mohamed Salah - Assists: 7

3.9xA - Trent Alexander-Arnold: Assists: 4

3.4xA - Bruno Fernandes - Assists: 3

2.9xA - Jack Grealish - Assists: 2

2.9xA - Youri Tielemans - Assists: 2

2.8xA - Michail Antonio - Assists: 2.8

2.8xA - Rodrigo - Assists: 0

2.7xA - Allan Saint-Maximin - Assists: 3

2.7xA - Ivan Toney - Assists: 3

2.4xA - Diogo Jota - Assists: 1

The Premier League returns this weekend after the International break and you can find a range of stats including game-by-game data in our Premier League Stats Zone

Xa Leaders Pl Nov 2021

Premier League Odds

Erling Haaland
WIN PROB: 22%
1
£30 FREE BET
7/2
REVEAL OFFER
7/2
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
3/1
Mohamed Salah
WIN PROB: 18%
1
£30 FREE BET
9/2
£20 FREE BET
9/2
REVEAL OFFER
9/2
£30 FREE BET
9/2
£20 FREE BET
9/2
£100 FREE BET
9/2
Harry Kane
WIN PROB: 14%
1
£30 FREE BET
6/1
£20 FREE BET
6/1
REVEAL OFFER
6/1
£30 FREE BET
6/1
£20 FREE BET
6/1
£100 FREE BET
6/1
Son Heung-min
WIN PROB: 9%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
9/1
£20 FREE BET
9/1
£100 FREE BET
9/1
£20 FREE BET
8/1
Cristiano Ronaldo
WIN PROB: 9%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
Darwin Nunez
WIN PROB: 6%
1
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Romelu Lukaku
WIN PROB: 5%
Gabriel Jesus
WIN PROB: 4%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Diogo Jota
WIN PROB: 4%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
Luis Diaz
WIN PROB: 3%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
Jamie Vardy
WIN PROB: 3%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Callum Wilson
WIN PROB: 2%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Kai Havertz
WIN PROB: 2%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Julian Alvarez
WIN PROB: 2%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Kevin De Bruyne
WIN PROB: 2%
1
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
Aleksandar Mitrovic
WIN PROB: 2%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
WIN PROB: 2%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Bruno Fernandes
WIN PROB: 2%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
Raheem Sterling
WIN PROB: 2%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Ivan Toney
WIN PROB: 2%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Timo Werner
WIN PROB: 2%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Ollie Watkins
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Eddie Nketiah
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Jarrod Bowen
WIN PROB: 2%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
Patrick Bamford
WIN PROB: 2%
1
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
Michail Antonio
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
Danny Ings
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Raul Jiminez
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Kelechi Iheanacho
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Patson Daka
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Raphinha
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Dominic Solanke
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Gabriel Martinelli
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Richarlison
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
Bukayo Saka
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Jesse Lingard
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Marcus Rashford
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Anthony Martial
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Riyad Mahrez
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
Neal Maupay
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Phil Foden
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Wilfried Zaha
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Mason Mount
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
Raul Jimenez
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
Jadon Sancho
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Brennan Johnson
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Bernardo Silva
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Anthony Elanga
WIN PROB: 1%
Deniz Undav
WIN PROB: 1%
Takumi Minamino
WIN PROB: 1%
Christian Benteke
WIN PROB: 1%
Jean-Philippe Mateta
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
Roberto Firmino
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Odsonne Edouard
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Che Adams
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
Emile Smith-Rowe
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Christian Pulisic
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
Chris Wood
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Joe Gelhardt
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
Pedro Neto
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Demarai Gray
WIN PROB: 1%
Bruno Guimareas
WIN PROB: 1%
Jack Grealish
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Danny Welbeck
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Adam Armstrong
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Allan Saint Maximin
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Hwang Hee Chan
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Philippe Coutinho
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Kieffer Moore
WIN PROB: 1%
Fabio Carvalho
WIN PROB: 1%
Keinan Davis
WIN PROB: 1%
Said Benrahma
WIN PROB: 1%
Dejan Kulusevski
WIN PROB: 1%