NFL Parlay & Picks for Sunday at +366 odds
Posted: 15:57 Friday 17th November 2023
NFL Parlay Picks For Sunday: Three-Leg Parlay Bet @ +366 odds 11/19
The Week 11 slate is coming up on Sunday, with some crucial matchups for playoff positioning. I have scanned the games and given my predictions for every one of them.
There are three I feel particularly strongly about, so the plan is to combine them into a daily NFL parlay for Sunday. Fingers crossed I can stay hot after cashing a +400 Same Game Parlay on the Ravens-Bills game Thursday.
The best value on this one came from BetMGM but it’s always a good idea to shop around at the different sportsbooks to find the best odds.
Here are the three NFL betting picks I am combining, with the rationale below.
- Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5 (-120)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers +11.5 (-110)
- Buffalo Bills ML (-300)
Parlay odds: +366 at BetMGM
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Leg 1: Jaguars -6.5 vs. Titans
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Jaguars -6.5 | BetMGM | -120 |
- Titans rookie QB Will Levis is averaging 5.9 yards per pass attempt with no touchdowns and two interceptions in two games since his blazing debut
- The Jaguars have a top-5 defense, according to DVOA
- Jacksonville WR Zay Jones could be back in the lineup after missing several weeks with a knee injury
- A touchdown margin results in a cover
Leg 2: Buccaneers +11.5 at 49ers
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Buccaneers +11.5 | BetMGM | -110 |
- The Buccaneers are allowing only 3.7 yards per rushing attempt and may be able to keep the 49ers from dominating on the ground
- Tampa Bay QB Baker Mayfield has an interception percentage of only 1.6 this year, tied for a career-low, and the Bucs can stay close if he takes care of the ball
- Even if the score is lopsided late, a garbage time touchdown against a relaxed 49ers defense can result in a cover
Leg 3: Bills moneyline vs. Jets
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Bills moneyline | BetMGM | -300 |
- Despite the hand-wringing this week, the Bills’ offense is still No. 3 in the NFL in DVOA and QB Josh Allen is No. 4 in Total QBR
- Buffalo has struggled on defense the past several weeks but gets to go against Jets QB Zach Wilson
- Even if the Jets keep this close by causing turnovers, a Bills moneyline bet means we only need the victory and scoring margin doesn’t matter
Three-Leg NFL Parlay Betting Prediction
- Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5 (-120)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers +11.5 (-110)
- Buffalo Bills ML (-300)
Parlay odds: +366 at BetMGM
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