NFL Best Bets Today & Expert Picks October 2024

Human emotion tends to seep into sports betting, and that's rarely a good thing. Here at BettingOdds.com, we have bypassed that issue by using our supercomputer algorithm to make NFL best bets every week.

Check out all the best bets in the articles below, along with the best NFL odds from our sportsbook partners.

What are NFL Best Bets

Our NFL Best Bets are done by a computer algorithm that combines numerous different factors to give our gamblers a unique look at each NFL game. Bettors can use the final score projections to bet on the moneyline, spread, or over/under, and our best bets also include NFL player props.

Benefits of Using BettingOdds Best Bets

Here are the reasons why BettingOdds is the place to come for your NFL Best Bets.

Unbiased Computer Picks

Our computer algorithm doesn't play favorites or have rooting interests. That's important in sports betting because placing wagers with your heart can go wrong quickly. The unbiased nature of these projections gives our supercomputer NFL Predictions a leg up on human predictions.

NFL Expert Insight

Our in-house expert, Kyle Odegard, has more than a decade of experience covering the NFL, first as a beat reporter and now as a sports betting guru. He can help guide your picks through news, NFL insights and analysis.

Steady Flow of Information

There aren't many sites that can compete with both the quantity and the quality of NFL insight given out here at BettingOdds. We are proud to have NFL picks for every game of the season.

Odds Shopping

BettingOdds will compare the odds at various sportsbooks and pass along to our readers the best value. Over time, this is a great way to find an edge in sports betting.

Best Betting Strategies for the NFL 2024 Season

It's important to have a strategy when it comes to sports betting. The most successful ones tend to find the edges and use them to push the odds in their favor. 

It's hard to do this long-term for the vast majority of bettors, but here are 13 ways to improve your sports gambling strategy for the 2024 NFL season.

1. Research Teams and Players: The no-brainer to start. A good bettor has to have in-depth knowledge of the teams and players it chooses to wager on. This is particularly important when opening lines drop so that savvy bettors can take advantage of any perceived misplacement of the odds compared to the personnel.
2. Analyze Home and Away Performances: As a general rule the home team gets a few points on the spread, but there can sometimes be more to factor than that. If the conditions are bad, the crowd is wild, or if the road team is coming in from a long flight, the location of the game can have a major effect on the outcome.
3. Factor in Home Field Advantage: To expound on the previous point, if you consider two teams evenly matched, don't just take the underdog on the moneyline, because that will be the road team. Plenty of research shows that home-field advantage is a real thing, and it must be considered. It's also important to know when a game is being played at a neutral venue overseas, and the decisions made by each team to prepare for it.
4. Scan The Initial Odds: Opening lines can sometimes be off because the oddsmakers don't yet have the benefit of seeing which way the money has flowed. It's not uncommon for a spread to move two or three points over the course of a week because of handle. See if you can spot early odds that look off and take advantage with an early wager.
5. Evaluate Trends: Full-season statistics are important to consider when making bets, but so too are shorter trends. Maybe a quarterback has found his rhythm or a great player has returned to form after injury, or a team is starting to jell or fall apart. A look at shorter trends is important.
6. Factor in weather conditions with team performance: Weather generally does not have an outsized effect on NFL games, but when December and January come around, it can really have a big impact on the odds. The Buffalo Bills and Chicago Bears are two teams known for their frigid outside conditions, and understanding which team is best equipped for certain weather is important late in the year.
7. Assess Odds Movement: It's not a perfect science to know when odds movement is going to stop or start, but assessing its trends can give you insight. If sharp bettors are consistently on a team early in the week, it could be an undervalued play. Same with a scoring total moving up or down by several points. If you can catch the odds movement before they settle, it adds value to wagers.
8. Stay Updated with our NFL News: From injuries to coaching decisions to big-time trades, the NFL landscape seems to change every day. It's critical to understand where every team sits heading to each game because all of those factors will affect the odds. Here at BettingOdds, we will look to bring you as much relevant information as possible every week.
9. Utilize In-Play Betting: There are times when all of the early analysis goes out the window once the action begins. This is where in-game betting comes into play, where eagle-eyed bettors are able to make wagers as the game moves along. The sportsbooks have the technology to put up accurate in-game odds, but it's still a viable way to find favorable lines.
10. Explore Different Bet Types: The spread, moneyline and over/under scoring total bets have been around for a long time, but lately there has been a proliferation of player prop and parlay wagers. The sportsbooks tend to stack the vig on these bets so they usually aren't as profitable as the more standard ones, but the variety does give bettors more options to consider for every NFL game.
11. Find the Best Sportsbooks Odds: Sports betting is a long game, and it's hard to consistently win 60% of your bets. But those that shop odds and take the best value every time will improve their chances at making a profit.
12. Manage Your Bankroll: A string of wins or a string of losses can push bettors to gamble with bigger and bigger amounts. But it's much better to stick to the script, and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
13. Stay Disciplined and Patient: Any sports gambler will tell you that the activity is full of heartbreak on bad beats. It's important to stick with your formula and not throw money away by making wagers that don't align with your strategy.

Assessing NFL Team Performance for Choosing Your Best Bets

There are myriad team performance factors that a bettor must consider before placing a wager. Here are the main seven that gamblers shouldn't forget.

1. Player Availability: The NFL injury reports are unveiled on Friday afternoon for the Sunday slate, and it's a crucial time for gamblers. If a star player is out, it could have an effect on almost every individual wager for a game. Inactives are then announced 90 minutes before a game, which solidifies which players will miss that contest.
2. Player Travel Fatigue: Long road trips might be a bigger factor in the NBA and MLB, but cross-country flights before a game can certainly take their toll. There was a famous study showing the struggles of West Coast teams that played in road East Coast games at 10 a.m. on their body clock, so the location of a game is something to keep in mind.
3. Passing Efficiency: Individual game results can vary, but by in large the teams that throw the ball best in the NFL eventually rise to the top. So if a team has a mediocre record but a healthy yards per attempt average, a turnaround could be coming.
4. Past Luck: It's been well-established that winning a bunch of close games is luck, not being clutch. And recovering the majority of fumbles on the season is also luck. Consider these things when looking at the strength of teams, because most clubs will regress to the mean eventually.
5. Psychological Factors: Real-life factors can bleed into the games. Trash talk, off-field issues, motivation and other topics should be considered when making a bet.
6. Coaching: It makes sense to evaluate a roster and its talent when making a wager, but don't forget about the coaching aspect. From game-planning to in-game management, the decisions made by head coaches end up being huge on Sundays. Some have far better track records than others.
7. Team Motivation & Upcoming Schedule: This is a bigger deal in a league like the NBA where load management has become en vogue, but scheduling is important. For example, if a team played on the road Sunday and then turns around and plays a road game on Thursday, that could have an adverse effect. And coaches may be more apt to sit injured players on short rest knowing a mini-bye is coming.

Top Betting Sites to Place NFL Best Bets

Multiple different sportsbooks have legalized sports betting in the United States. Customers should be on the lookout for the best NFL betting sites, and we are here to help.

DraftKings

DraftKings has the most comprehensive sportsbook around, as the bets available for the NFL are numerous. Not only are there in-season and futures bets, but there are plenty of available NFL picks for free agency and the draft. DraftKings has very competitive odds and often is the operator to use.

FanDuel

FanDuel is neck-and-neck with DraftKings as the industry leader in the sports betting space. FanDuel also has copious amounts of wagering options and has many intriguing player prop bets throughout the season. FanDuel has a great app, making mobile betting a breeze.

BetMGM

BetMGM has made great strides to become the No. 3 sportsbook in the United States. It has regular promotions for sports bettors, which means savvy ones have a better-than-usual shot at becoming profitable. The app also has a nice interface and is very intuitive.

Previous NFL Super Bowl Winners

• 2023 - Kansas City Chiefs
• 2022 - Kansas City Chiefs
• 2021 - Los Angeles Rams
• 2020 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• 2019 – Kansas City Chiefs
• 2018 – New England Patriots
• 2017 – Philadelphia Eagles
• 2016 – New England Patriots
• 2015 – Denver Broncos
• 2014 – New England Patriots
• 2013 – Seattle Seahawks
• 2012 – Baltimore Ravens
• 2011 – New York Giants
• 2010 – Green Bay Packers

Our Experts' Best Bet on NFL Winner for the 2024/25 Season

The Buffalo Bills are the pick to get over the hump and win the Super Bowl after the 2024 season. The Bills are priced at +1100 to win this year's Super Bowl. They have been fantastic this season and with Josh Allen in amazing form this could finally be their year. The best value could be the Dallas Cowboys, who will be serious contenders if they can improve their current form. You can back the Dallas Cowboys to win the Superbowl at odds of +2200.

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