Commanders vs. Lions Picks & Best Bets 18th Jan 2025: NFL Week 20 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Detroit Lions will face the Washington Commanders in NFL action on Saturday at Ford Field, starting at 8:00 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Commanders vs. Lions bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Lions will likely beat the Commanders with a projected final score of 31-23.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Commanders vs. Lions Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Commanders vs. Lions picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Commanders vs. Lions Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, January 18th, 2025
- Game Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Ford Field
- Spread: Commanders +7.5 / Lions -7.5
- Moneyline: Commanders +400 / Lions -430
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 55.5 Points (-105/-108)
Lions -7.5 @ -115 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Lions have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Commanders have a probability of 48%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -115.
Total Points Over 55.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 55.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance that the total will go over 55.5 points.
Commanders vs. Lions Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Commanders at +400 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Detroit Lions are available at -430 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Lions are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 75% chance of coming out on top.
Although the Lions are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +400 odds on the Commanders moneyline, providing an edge of 5.5%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Commanders vs. Lions
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Saturday's Commanders vs. Lions game.
Washington Commanders Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Brian Robinson | 53 yds | 35% |
Jayden Daniels | 42 yds | 39% |
Austin Ekeler | 25 yds | 35% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Terry McLaurin | 81 yds | 44% |
Zach Ertz | 41 yds | 19% |
Dyami Brown | 33 yds | 23% |
Olamide Zaccheaus Under 3.5 Receptions (-145)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Olamide Zaccheaus Under 3.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -145 |
- Our top prop bet for the Commanders is for Olamide Zaccheaus to record under 3.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 82.8%, providing an edge of 23.6% on the -145 odds offered by DraftKings.
Detroit Lions Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Jahmyr Gibbs | 74 yds | 67% |
David Montgomery | 40 yds | 52% |
Craig Reynolds | 8 yds | 5% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Amon-Ra St. Brown | 80 yds | 45% |
Jameson Williams | 65 yds | 33% |
Sam LaPorta | 53 yds | 40% |
David Montgomery Under 49.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
David Montgomery Under 49.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Lions is for David Montgomery to record under 49.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 80.4%, providing an edge of 28.0% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Commanders vs. Lions Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Commanders vs. Lions trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Kalif Raymond Over 5.5 Receiving Yards
Kalif Raymond has recorded more than 5.5 receiving yards in 8 of his last 9 games (89% of the time). You can put money on him to record 6+ receiving yards again at odds of -102 (50% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Jared Goff Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns
Jared Goff has had more than 2.5 passing touchdowns in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 2.5 passing touchdowns again at odds of +162 (38%), also available at FanDuel.
David Montgomery Over 12.5 Receiving Yards
David Montgomery has had more than 12.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 6 appearances (100%). You can wager on him to record over 12.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing David Montgomery of the Lions to record Rushing Yards 49.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 28% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Lions -7.5 to cover.
Beyond our Commanders vs. Lions predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds for today and insightful NFL predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NFL bets tonight and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NFL betting sites.