Chop Robinson Heavy Favorite to be First-Round Pick, Michael Penix, Jr. a Slight Underdog
DraftKings has unveiled the odds to be a first-round pick on a litany of prospects, and there are some interesting lines.
Penn State edge rusher Chop Robinson, who has been in and out of the first round in myriad mock drafts, is a heavy favorite to go within the top-32 picks at -600. That equates to an implied probability of about 85%.
Texas speedster Xavier Worthy is also favored to hear his name called on Day 1, as is Oregon quarterback Bo Nix.
Some players are absolute locks to be first-round picks, and aren’t listed among the betting possibilities. But for those that are deemed more borderline, DraftKings has set the lines.
Favorites to Be a First-Round Pick in the 2024 NFL Draft
- Graham Barton -1000
- Nate Wiggins -800
- Tyler Guyton -800
- Jackson Powers-Johnson -600
- Chop Robinson -600
- Adonai Mitchell -600
- Kool-Aid McKinstry -350
- Jer’Zhan Newton -270
- Xavier Worthy -250
- Jordan Morgan -220
- Bo Nix -175
Based on the odds for Adonai Mitchell and Xavier Worthy, six wide receivers are likely to go in the first round, since Marvin Harrison, Jr., Malik Nabers, Rome Odunze and Brian Thomas are locks. Ladd McConkey is +160 to be a first-round pick and could push that number to seven.
Kool-Aid McKinstry has seen his stock fall of late but he is still projected to be a first-round pick. Jer’Zhan Newton has regularly been mocked in the first round, and while he is favored to go there, it’s interesting to see his odds of -250 compared to Robinson at -600.
Arizona offensive lineman Jordan Morgan has usually been sent to teams in the 20s in mock drafts, so his odds line up.
As for the underdogs, Washington quarterback Michael Penix, Jr. leads the list with +120 odds, as DraftKings believes he will be right on the edge of being a first-rounder.
Penix, Jr. has arm talent and production, but is much older than many of his peers and has a long injury history, so he is a divisive prospect.
Here is a look at the rest of the underdogs to be chosen in the first-round, which can now be wagered on at DraftKings.
Underdogs to Be a First-Round Pick in the 2024 NFL Draft
- Michael Penix, Jr. +120
- Ladd McConkey +160
- Darius Robinson +170
- Kingsley Suamataia +180
- Edgerrin Cooper +250
- Ennis Rakestraw, Jr. +350
- Zach Frazier +380
- Keon Coleman +400
- Xavier Legette +425
- Kamari Lassiter +475
- Michael Hall, Jr. +500
- Tyler Nubin +550
- Troy Franklin +550
- Kris Jenkins +550
- Payton Wilson +700
- Braden Fiske +850
- T.J. Tampa +850
- Bralen Trice +1000
- Malachi Corley +1100
- Roger Rosengarten +1100
- Christian Haynes +1200
- Trey Benson +1200
- Roman Wilson +1200
- Jonathon Brooks +1200
- T’Vondre Sweat +1300
- Blake Corum +1500
- Mike Sainristil +1500
- Ja’Tavion Sanders +1600
- Kamren Kinchens +1600
- Javon Bullard +1700
- Chris Braswell +2000
- Ricky Pearsall +2800
- Spencer Rattler +3000
- Ja’Lynn Polk +3000
- Jalen McMillan +4000
- Brenden Rice +4000
- Bucky Irving +5000
- Braelon Allen +5000
- Jeremiah Trotter, Jr. +5000
- MarShawn Lloyd +5000
- Isaac Guerendo +6000
- Audric Estime +6000
- Luke McCaffrey +10000
- Frank Gore Jr. +10000