Vikings vs. Packers Picks & Best Bets 29th Sep 2024: NFL Week 4 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Green Bay Packers will meet the Minnesota Vikings in NFL action on Sunday at Lambeau Field, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We've performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using advanced AI technology to determine the best Vikings vs. Packers bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Packers will likely beat the Vikings with a projected final score of 23-21.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Vikings vs. Packers Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Vikings vs. Packers picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Vikings vs. Packers Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, September 29th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Lambeau Field
- Spread: Vikings +2.5 / Packers -2.5
- Moneyline: Vikings +120 / Packers -142
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 44.5 Points (-110/-110)
Vikings +2.5 @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Vikings and Packers have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Vikings +2.5 due to DraftKings Sportsbook's more favorable odds of +100.
Total Points Under 44.5 @ -110 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis shows a 52% likelihood that the total will stay under 44.5 points.
Vikings vs. Packers Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Minnesota Vikings at +120 via BetMGM, whilst the Green Bay Packers are available at -142 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Packers are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 58% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Packers also present the best betting value, with the odds of -142 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Vikings vs. Packers
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Vikings vs. Packers matchup.
Minnesota Vikings Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | 64 yds | 48% |
| Ty Chandler | 35 yds | 25% |
| Sam Darnold | 10 yds | 11% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | 91 yds | 44% |
| Jordan Addison | 58 yds | 32% |
| Jalen Nailor | 25 yds | 12% |
Jordan Addison Over 3.5 Receptions (+130)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Addison Over 3.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +130 |
- Our top prop bet for the Vikings is for Jordan Addison to record over 3.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 69.8%, giving us an edge of 26.3% on the +130 odds offered by FanDuel.
Green Bay Packers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 65 yds | 45% |
| Emanuel Wilson | 27 yds | 24% |
| Jordan Love | 13 yds | 21% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Romeo Doubs | 47 yds | 24% |
| Jayden Reed | 43 yds | 34% |
| Christian Watson | 39 yds | 25% |
Jordan Love Over 3.5 Rushing Yards (+100)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love Over 3.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +100 |
- Our best prop bet for the Packers is for Jordan Love to record over 3.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 68.0%, providing an edge of 18.0% on the +100 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Vikings vs. Packers Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Vikings vs. Packers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Ty Chandler Over 6.5 Rushing Attempts
Ty Chandler has recorded more than 6.5 rushing attempts in 5 of his last 5 appearances (100% success rate). You can put money on him to record 7+ rushing attempts again at odds of -125 (56% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Josh Oliver Over 4.5 Receiving Yards
Josh Oliver has had more than 4.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 games (83%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 4.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Aaron Jones Over 59.5 Rushing Yards
Aaron Jones has had more than 59.5 rushing yards in 7 of his last 8 games (88%). You can bet on him to record over 59.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jordan Addison of the Vikings to record Receptions 3.5 receptions, with an edge of 26.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Vikings +2.5 to cover.
In addition to our Vikings vs. Packers predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds tonight and insightful NFL predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets and dive into NFL sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online NFL betting sites.
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