Texans vs. Vikings Picks & Best Bets 22nd Sep 2024: NFL Week 3 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Minnesota Vikings will meet the Houston Texans in NFL action on Sunday at U.S. Bank Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to pinpoint the best Texans vs. Vikings bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Texans will likely win with a projected final score of 23-21.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Texans vs. Vikings Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Texans vs. Vikings picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Texans vs. Vikings Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, September 22nd, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: U.S. Bank Stadium
- Spread: Texans -1.5 / Vikings +1.5
- Moneyline: Texans -125 / Vikings +114
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 46.5 Points (-110/-105)
Texans -1.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Texans have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Vikings have a probability of 48%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -110.
Total Points Under 46.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -105.
- Our analysis shows a 51% probability of the 46.5-point total staying under.
Texans vs. Vikings Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Texans at -125 via BetMGM, whilst the Minnesota Vikings are available at +114 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Texans are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 59% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Texans also present the best betting value, with the odds of -125 available at BetMGM for an edge of 3.4%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Texans vs. Vikings
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Texans vs. Vikings game.
Houston Texans Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Akers | 51 yds | 41% |
| Dare Ogunbowale | 15 yds | 17% |
| C.J. Stroud | 15 yds | 22% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Collins | 84 yds | 42% |
| Tank Dell | 59 yds | 34% |
| Stefon Diggs | 56 yds | 38% |
Tank Dell Under 6.5 Rushing Yards (+110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tank Dell Under 6.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Texans is for Tank Dell to record under 6.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 68.8%, giving us an edge of 21.2% on the +110 odds offered by DraftKings.
Minnesota Vikings Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | 60 yds | 54% |
| Ty Chandler | 37 yds | 33% |
| Sam Darnold | 10 yds | 16% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | 93 yds | 47% |
| Jalen Nailor | 39 yds | 22% |
| Johnny Mundt | 20 yds | 15% |
Johnny Mundt Under 2.5 Receptions (+106)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Mundt Under 2.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +106 |
- Our best prop bet for the Vikings is for Johnny Mundt to record under 2.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 71.0%, providing an edge of 22.5% on the +106 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Texans vs. Vikings Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Texans vs. Vikings trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Josh Oliver Over 6.5 Receiving Yards
Josh Oliver has recorded more than 6.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 5 appearances (100% success rate). You can wager on him to record 7+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Aaron Jones Over 49.5 Rushing Yards
Aaron Jones has had more than 49.5 rushing yards in 7 of his last 8 games (88%). You can place a wager on him to record over 49.5 rushing yards again at odds of +100 (50%), also available at Bet365.
Nico Collins Over 74.5 Receiving Yards
Nico Collins has had more than 74.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 appearances (83%). You can wager on him to record over 74.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Johnny Mundt of the Vikings to record Receptions 2.5 receptions, with an edge of 22.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Texans -1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Texans vs. Vikings predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds tonight and insightful NFL computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NFL bets and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
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