Texans vs. Patriots Picks & Best Bets 13th Oct 2024: NFL Week 6 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New England Patriots will go up against the Houston Texans in NFL action on Sunday at Gillette Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Texans vs. Patriots bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Texans will likely beat the Patriots with a projected final score of 22-16.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Texans vs. Patriots Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Texans vs. Patriots picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Texans vs. Patriots Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, October 13th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium
- Spread: Texans -6.5 / Patriots +6.5
- Moneyline: Texans -278 / Patriots +240
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 39.5 Points (-108/-110)
Texans -6.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Texans and Patriots have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Texans -6.5 due to DraftKings Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -108.
Total Points Over 39.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 39.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -108.
- Our analysis shows a 51% likelihood that the total will go over 39.5 points.
Texans vs. Patriots Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Texans at -278 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the New England Patriots are available at +240 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Texans are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 75% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Texans also present the best betting value, with the odds of -278 available at DraftKings Sportsbook for an edge of 1.6%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Texans vs. Patriots
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Texans vs. Patriots matchup.
Houston Texans Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Joe Mixon | 54 yds | 38% |
Dameon Pierce | 18 yds | 18% |
C.J. Stroud | 13 yds | 16% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Stefon Diggs | 60 yds | 41% |
Tank Dell | 56 yds | 34% |
Dalton Schultz | 42 yds | 28% |
Xavier Hutchinson Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Xavier Hutchinson Under 21.5 Receiving Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Texans is for Xavier Hutchinson to record under 21.5 receiving yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 74.6%, giving us an edge of 22.2% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
New England Patriots Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Antonio Gibson | 48 yds | 32% |
JaMycal Hasty | 30 yds | 18% |
Drake Maye | 25 yds | 17% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Ja'Lynn Polk | 39 yds | 18% |
Kendrick Bourne | 35 yds | 13% |
DeMario Douglas | 30 yds | 13% |
JaMycal Hasty Over 18.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
JaMycal Hasty Over 18.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Patriots is for JaMycal Hasty to record over 18.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 81.7%, providing an edge of 29.4% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Texans vs. Patriots Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Texans vs. Patriots trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
C.J. Stroud Over 8.5 Rushing Yards
C.J. Stroud has recorded more than 8.5 rushing yards in 5 of his last 6 appearances (83% of the time). You can wager on him to go over 8.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
C.J. Stroud Over 2.5 Rushing Attempts
C.J. Stroud has had more than 2.5 rushing attempts in 5 of his last 6 games (83%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 2.5 rushing attempts again at odds of -135 (57%), available at FanDuel.
Joe Mixon Over 13.5 Receiving Yards
Joe Mixon has had more than 13.5 receiving yards in 8 of his last 10 games (80%). You can bet on him to record over 13.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing JaMycal Hasty of the Patriots to record Rushing Yards 18.5 rushing yards, with a projection of 30 rushing yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Texans -6.5 to cover.
In addition to our Texans vs. Patriots predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets today and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.