Texans vs. Cowboys Picks & Best Bets 18th Nov 2024: NFL Week 11 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Dallas Cowboys will take on the Houston Texans in NFL action on Monday at AT&T Stadium, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Monday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Texans vs. Cowboys bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Texans will likely beat the Cowboys with a projected final score of 24-17.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Texans vs. Cowboys Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Texans vs. Cowboys picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to generate NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Texans vs. Cowboys Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, November 18th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: AT&T Stadium
- Spread: Texans -7 / Cowboys +7
- Moneyline: Texans -350 / Cowboys +300
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 41.5 Points (-105/-105)
Cowboys +7 @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Cowboys have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the Texans have a probability of 46%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of +100 for the Cowboys +7, presenting a favorable 4.2% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 41.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 41.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -105.
- Our analysis suggests a slightly higher likelihood that the total will stay under 41.5 points.
Texans vs. Cowboys Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Texans at -350 via BetMGM, whilst the Dallas Cowboys are available at +300 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Texans are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 75% chance of prevailing.
Although the Texans are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +300 odds on the Cowboys moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Texans vs. Cowboys
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Monday's Texans vs. Cowboys matchup.
Houston Texans Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | 78 yds | 61% |
| C.J. Stroud | 13 yds | 19% |
| Dameon Pierce | 7 yds | 5% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Collins | 91 yds | 46% |
| Tank Dell | 56 yds | 37% |
| Dalton Schultz | 41 yds | 25% |
Dalton Schultz Over 27.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Schultz Over 27.5 Receiving Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -113 |
- Our top prop bet for the Texans is for Dalton Schultz to record over 27.5 receiving yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 72.3%, providing an edge of 19.3% on the -113 odds offered by FanDuel.
Dallas Cowboys Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Rico Dowdle | 63 yds | 39% |
| Ezekiel Elliott | 13 yds | 14% |
| CeeDee Lamb | 6 yds | 31% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb | 71 yds | 31% |
| Jake Ferguson | 41 yds | 25% |
| Jalen Tolbert | 36 yds | 18% |
KaVontae Turpin Under 1.5 Receptions (+100)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| KaVontae Turpin Under 1.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +100 |
- Our best prop bet for the Cowboys is for KaVontae Turpin to record under 1.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 78.4%, giving us an edge of 28.4% on the +100 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Texans vs. Cowboys Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Texans vs. Cowboys trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
KaVontae Turpin Over 7.5 Receiving Yards
KaVontae Turpin has recorded more than 7.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 5 appearances (100% of the time). You can put money on him to record 8+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Nico Collins Over 74.5 Receiving Yards
Nico Collins has had more than 74.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 5 games (100%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 74.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
CeeDee Lamb Over 0.5 Rushing Yards
CeeDee Lamb has recorded at least one rushing yards in 5 of his last 6 games (83%). You can wager on him to record at least one more again at odds of +115 (47%), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing KaVontae Turpin of the Cowboys to record Receptions 1.5 receptions, with an edge of 28.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Cowboys +7 to cover.
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