Texans vs. Colts Picks & Best Bets 8th Sep 2024: NFL Week 1 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Indianapolis Colts will take on the Houston Texans in NFL action on Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to identify the best Texans vs. Colts bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Texans will likely beat the Colts with a projected final score of 25-22.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Texans vs. Colts Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Texans vs. Colts picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Texans vs. Colts Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, September 8th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Lucas Oil Stadium
- Spread: Texans -3 / Colts +3
- Moneyline: Texans -155 / Colts +136
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 47.5 Points (-110/-102)
Texans -3 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Texans and Colts have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Texans -3 based on FanDuel Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -105.
Total Points Under 47.5 @ -102 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -102.
- Our analysis shows a 51% likelihood of the 47.5-point total staying under.
Texans vs. Colts Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Texans at -155 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Indianapolis Colts are available at +136 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Texans are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 60% chance of prevailing.
Additionally, the Texans present the best betting value, with the odds of -155 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Texans vs. Colts
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Texans vs. Colts game.
Houston Texans Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | 59 yds | 40% |
| Dameon Pierce | 17 yds | 16% |
| C.J. Stroud | 13 yds | 18% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Collins | 85 yds | 39% |
| Tank Dell | 66 yds | 32% |
| Stefon Diggs | 56 yds | 39% |
Tank Dell Over 3.5 Receptions (-140)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tank Dell Over 3.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -140 |
- Our top prop bet for the Texans is for Tank Dell to record over 3.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 76.6%, giving us an edge of 18.3% on the -140 odds offered by DraftKings.
Indianapolis Colts Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 73 yds | 53% |
| Anthony Richardson | 50 yds | 51% |
| Trey Sermon | 12 yds | 8% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Pittman | 57 yds | 29% |
| Adonai Mitchell | 43 yds | 25% |
| Kylen Granson | 24 yds | 13% |
Alec Pierce Under 37.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Pierce Under 37.5 Receiving Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -120 |
- Our best prop bet for the Colts is for Alec Pierce to record under 37.5 receiving yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 79.7%, providing an edge of 25.2% on the -120 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Texans vs. Colts Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Texans vs. Colts trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Brevin Jordan Over 7.5 Receiving Yards
Brevin Jordan has recorded more than 7.5 receiving yards in 8 of his last 9 appearances (89% success rate). You can bet on him to go over 7.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Dalton Schultz Over 35.5 Receiving Yards
Dalton Schultz has had more than 35.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 appearances (83%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 35.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Tank Dell Over 54.5 Receiving Yards
Tank Dell has had more than 54.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 6 games (67%). You can wager on him to record over 54.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Alec Pierce of the Colts to record Receiving Yards 37.5 receiving yards, with an edge of 25.2% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Texans -3 to cover.
In addition to our Texans vs. Colts predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds for today and insightful NFL predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the NFL best bets today and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NFL betting sites.
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