Steelers vs. Falcons Picks & Best Bets 8th Sep 2024: NFL Week 1 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Atlanta Falcons will host the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL action on Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Steelers vs. Falcons bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Falcons will likely win with a projected final score of 22-19.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Steelers vs. Falcons Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Steelers vs. Falcons picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Steelers vs. Falcons Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, September 8th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Spread: Steelers +4.5 / Falcons -4.5
- Moneyline: Steelers +168 / Falcons -192
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 43 Points (-112/-108)
Steelers +4.5 @ -118 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Steelers have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Falcons have a probability of 48%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -118.
Total Points Under 43 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 43 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -108.
- Our analysis suggests a 54% chance that the total will stay under 43 points, providing an edge of 2.5%.
Steelers vs. Falcons Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Steelers at +168 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Atlanta Falcons are available at -192 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Falcons are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 64% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Falcons also present the best betting value, with the odds of -192 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Steelers vs. Falcons
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Steelers vs. Falcons matchup.
Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Najee Harris | 54 yds | 37% |
| Jaylen Warren | 49 yds | 30% |
| Justin Fields | 48 yds | 32% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| George Pickens | 49 yds | 30% |
| Pat Freiermuth | 34 yds | 20% |
| Van Jefferson | 24 yds | 18% |
Najee Harris Under 1.5 Receptions (+110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Najee Harris Under 1.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Steelers is for Najee Harris to record under 1.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 59.3%, giving us an edge of 11.7% on the +110 odds offered by DraftKings.
Atlanta Falcons Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 72 yds | 53% |
| Tyler Allgeier | 33 yds | 24% |
| Jase McClellan | 9 yds | 8% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Drake London | 71 yds | 40% |
| Kyle Pitts | 47 yds | 32% |
| Darnell Mooney | 40 yds | 25% |
Tyler Allgeier Over 27.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Allgeier Over 27.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Falcons is for Tyler Allgeier to record over 27.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 65.1%, providing an edge of 12.8% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Steelers vs. Falcons Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Steelers vs. Falcons trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Jaylen Warren Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts
Jaylen Warren has recorded more than 7.5 rushing attempts in 5 of his last 5 games (100% of the time). You can bet on him to go over 7.5 rushing attempts again at odds of -102 (50% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Jaylen Warren Over 11.5 Receiving Yards
Jaylen Warren has had more than 11.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 5 games (100%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 11.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Tyler Allgeier Over 0.5 Receiving Yards
Tyler Allgeier has recorded at least one receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can wager on him to record at least one more again at odds of -105 (51%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tyler Allgeier of the Falcons to record Rushing Yards 27.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 12.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Steelers +4.5 to cover.
In addition to our Steelers vs. Falcons predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds for today and insightful NFL expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets tonight and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
The people behind this page
DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online.
BettingOdds.com takes no responsibility for your actions.
