Steelers vs. Commanders Picks & Best Bets 10th Nov 2024: NFL Week 10 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Washington Commanders will take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL action on Sunday at Northwest Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Steelers vs. Commanders bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Commanders will likely defeat the Steelers with a projected final score of 24-21.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Steelers vs. Commanders Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Steelers vs. Commanders picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Steelers vs. Commanders Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 10th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Northwest Stadium
- Spread: Steelers +1.5 / Commanders -1.5
- Moneyline: Steelers +112 / Commanders -120
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 44.5 Points (-120/-110)
Commanders -1.5 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Commanders have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Steelers have a probability of 47%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -115.
Total Points Over 44.5 @ -120 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -120.
- Our analysis suggests a 55% chance that the total will go over 44.5 points, providing an edge of 0.4%.
Steelers vs. Commanders Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Steelers at +112 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Washington Commanders are available at -120 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Commanders are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 59% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Commanders present the best betting value, with the odds of -120 available at DraftKings Sportsbook for an edge of 4.5%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Steelers vs. Commanders
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Steelers vs. Commanders game.
Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Najee Harris | 61 yds | 41% |
| Jaylen Warren | 33 yds | 28% |
| Russell Wilson | 16 yds | 26% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| George Pickens | 53 yds | 33% |
| Pat Freiermuth | 39 yds | 23% |
| Mike Williams | 32 yds | 19% |
Pat Freiermuth Over 2.5 Receptions (-106)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Freiermuth Over 2.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -106 |
- Our top prop bet for the Steelers is for Pat Freiermuth to record over 2.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 78.5%, giving us an edge of 27.0% on the -106 odds offered by FanDuel.
Washington Commanders Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 42 yds | 44% |
| Austin Ekeler | 38 yds | 37% |
| Chris Rodriguez | 19 yds | 14% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | 71 yds | 38% |
| Noah Brown | 35 yds | 27% |
| Zach Ertz | 30 yds | 17% |
Austin Ekeler Under 3.5 Receptions (-130)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Ekeler Under 3.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -130 |
- Our best prop bet for the Commanders is for Austin Ekeler to record under 3.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 77.1%, providing an edge of 20.6% on the -130 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Steelers vs. Commanders Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Steelers vs. Commanders trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Russell Wilson Over 208.5 Passing Yards
Russell Wilson has recorded more than 208.5 passing yards in 5 of his last 5 appearances (100% success rate). You can put money on him to record 209+ passing yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Najee Harris Over 9.5 Receiving Yards
Najee Harris has had more than 9.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 games (83%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 9.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Dyami Brown Over 7.5 Receiving Yards
Dyami Brown has had more than 7.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can wager on him to record over 7.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Pat Freiermuth of the Steelers to record Receptions 2.5 receptions, with an edge of 27% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Commanders -1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Steelers vs. Commanders predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL betting odds and insightful NFL computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets and dive into our NFL expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NFL betting sites.
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